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| mary cummins, real estate appraiser, los angeles, california, real estate appraisal, fhfa, ltv, avm, appraisal, real estate,low income, poc, great recession, foreclosure |
The Federal Housing Finance Agency FHFA has expanded the eligibility for alternative appraisal methods on purchase loans by increasing the allowable maximum loan-to-value (LTV) requirements. The maximum LTV ratios will increase from 80% to 90% for appraisal waivers and from 80% to 97% for inspection-based appraisal waivers.
“To be clear, the expanded eligibility of appraisal waivers does not constitute an expansion of a credit box, but rather it will allow more first-time home buyers, and particularly low- and moderate-income first-time homebuyers, to recognize the benefits associated with appraisal waivers,” Naa Awaa Tagoe, deputy director of the division of housing mission and goals at the FHFA, said on stage."
More purchase loans will not utilize a regular inspection appraisal by a licensed real estate appraiser. They will be using non-licensed non-appraiser property inspectors and AVMs Automated Valuation Methods similar to Zillow. This means lenders can use their AVMs, in house approval departments to get higher values so they can approve more loans so they can make more money. These loans will be riskier to new buyers, investors and the government. The housing industry players have been directly lobbying the government to do this for years now under the guise of helping lower income "save money" and fighting nonexistent "appraiser bias."
Never forget the Great Recession. Real estate prices were booming and fewer lower to mid-income, first time buyers could afford to buy a home. The people complained it was discrimination against lower income and POC. There is a correlation between lower income and POC. The correlation is based on socioeconomic factors and not race. There are also plenty of lower income non POC.
The government stepped in to "help" by lowering credit and loan requirements. More lower income first time buyers were then able to buy a home at the peak of the market for almost no money down. They had very little to no savings and were spending most of their income on home expenses. They were set up for failure by the government.
The real estate bubble of course burst and those people ended up underwater. Low teaser rate loans adjusted, some had financial emergencies and they couldn't pay their sky high mortgage, insurance, property taxes and property maintenance. It was cheaper to rent than own. The real estate market collapsed and people lost their homes in foreclosure. They lost more than just the cost of the home due to associated costs and fees. The psychological effect on the families was devastating. Oddly enough the people and government blamed appraisers even though it was the fault of the government and the bubble bust real estate market driven by buyer demand. Appraisers just report the market. We don't set it.
Today we're in a similar though slightly different situation. We're in another real estate upswing caused by previous lower interest rates and severely restricted supply due to rate lock. Everyone wants to buy a home that will appreciate 50% like they have in the last few years. They are again complaining to the government that it's discrimination against lower income and POC because they can't afford to buy a home today.
People are blaming the government for the wealth gap which they say is mainly caused by the home ownership gap. The wealth gap is mainly caused by the income gap. Owning a home alone is not the cause of the wealth gap. You need to be able to first afford to buy and own a home by having higher income, more savings and good credit. Higher income, savings, good credit must come first otherwise you just saddle yourself with debt and higher monthly costs you can't afford. You'll lose your home if you have one financial emergency.
Government did the same thing with student loans. "If you get a college degree, you'll make more money. Here are loans so you can afford to go to college." You'll also end up with $100,000 high interest debt which make it impossible to pay bills, have children, start a business or save to own a home. The correlation between having a degree and higher income is related to first being able to afford to pay for and go to college. It's not the degree itself as many people have realized. Same with owning a home.
The government again responds by lowering loan requirements. Now you can put almost nothing down and get stuck with hefty mortgage payments, rising insurance costs, high property maintenance costs and rising property taxes at the top of the market. Property taxes, insurance increase as property value increases. Insurance costs are through the roof today due to natural disasters exacerbated by climate change. The appraisal waivers and use of value acceptance, AVMs make the loans even riskier for buyers and investors. It's even riskier today as we are at the peak of the market. Two to five years ago and it would have made a little sense. The government always reduces regulations at the peak of the market because of lack of affordability and politics.
AVMs will over value lower priced properties which are generally in inferior condition, inferior locations, smaller than average, have deferred maintenance, include buyer concessions for repairs/costs... These are the properties lower income people are buying because they can afford them because they cost less. The government is again setting these people up for failure. They always do this at the peak of the market.
I was screaming from the rooftops about this issue before the Great Recession. I'm now screaming from the mountain tops. Nothing will change. The government is hurting the people they claim they want to help.The election year campaign promises to get votes is making it worse. You know they will again blame real estate appraisers for a downswing even though we didn't appraise the properties that are most likely to be foreclosed. It's déjà vu all over again.
November 1 Jeremy Bagott just wrote a good piece on this.
Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.
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