Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
WEBSITE       RESUME       CONTACT       FACEBOOK        LINKEDIN       
Showing posts with label latino. Show all posts
Showing posts with label latino. Show all posts

Thursday, October 13, 2022

FREE TACOS with Purchase of Real Estate Appraisal! Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

FREE TACOS   with purchase of real estate appraisal, mary cummins,real estate appraisal,real estate appraiser,real estate,appraisal,appraiser,los angeles,california,hispanic heritage month,latino, hispanic,woman,free tacos,tacos,mexican,
FREE TACOS   with purchase of real estate appraisal,
mary cummins,real estate appraisal,real estate appraiser,real estate,appraisal,appraiser,los angeles,california,hispanic heritage month,latino, hispanic,woman,free tacos,tacos,mexican, 

When times are tough the tough get tacos! Two more days left in Hispanic Heritage Month. I'm Latino and speak Spanish. Ven por tacos! Joking not joking ;-) Cummins Real Estate Services #tacos #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #losangeles #california #marycummins 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, June 26, 2022

Wealth gap, income gap, home value gap, race, gender, marital status and Roe v Wade by Mary Cummins

Research has unequivocally shown there is an income and wealth gap between whites and blacks, Latinos. This is why homes owned by white people are worth more than homes owned by blacks, Latinos. People buy the homes they can afford and whites can afford to buy more expensive homes. Appraisers aren't appraising them differently. 

We also know there is a wealth, income gap among men and women, married verses single and especially single mothers with children under 18. Research has also shown that poor, black, Latino women were more likely to get abortions than white women. https://abc7.com/abortion-cdc-data-women/11815941/ 

The reversal of Roe v Wade forcing poor women especially of color to have babies is just going to make the wealth, income gap that much worse. It's also going to cost the states money in welfare, Section 8 housing, Medicare, EBT.... I don't think the GOP really thought about the repercussions of banning abortions. White Supremacists who tow the GOP line including anti-abortion will only have themselves to blame when POC actually do replace them via a higher birth rate. That's already happening but banning abortions will make it happen faster. 

Here's a great article to share with lots of pictures for those who don't care to read.

https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/23182150/abortion-rights-economic-justice

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, March 13, 2022

Misleading False Race Related News from Bloomberg Analyzed by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser





Bloomberg writers Shawn Donnan @sdonnan , Ann Choi @annjychoi , Hannah Levitt @hannahlevitt and Christopher Cannon @homiedonttweet just published an article titled "Wells Fargo Rejected Half Its Black Applicants in Mortgage Refinancing Boom. Fewer than half of Black applicants were approved by the biggest bank mortgage lender." This is an incredibly misleading article full of misinterpreted information and some fake data. (editors, contributors Robert Friedman @rfriedman305 Alex Tribou @AlexTribou David Scheer @david_scheer Jason Grotto @jasongrotto)

In the first anecdote with no evidence it's stated Mauise Ricard III tried to refinance a home he didn't live in. Non owner occupied is considered investment property. It's a riskier loan so there is always a higher rate, lower loan to value ratio and stricter loan requirements. They didn't charge him a higher rate because he's black. There is plenty of racism in this world but not everything is racism. Why didn't the writers talk to a loan agent or appraiser to get some accurate information? They wanted more traffic to their article so they intentionally made these false sensationalist claims of racism and outlandish click bait title. 

Let's start with some real facts based on real independent data. Whites make and have more money than blacks, Latinos. "As of 2020, black families have a median household income of just over $41,000, whereas white families have a median household income of more than $70,000." Ref. 1. People who make more money have more money, assets and a higher FICO score Ref. 2. They are a lower credit risk when it comes to loans because they are more likely to be able to afford to pay back the loans. The higher the FICO, the more likely you are to get loan approval, see top chart. Chart below shows the correlation between income and FICO scores. National Association of Realtors NAR research shows the higher the income, the less likely you are to be denied a loan. This is a money issue and not a race issue. 



People buy homes they can afford. Someone who makes less money will buy a less expensive home in a less expensive area because that is what they can afford. That is the correlation. If you want blacks to have higher credit ratings and own more expensive homes, help them make more money. Don't yell at banks and home appraisers for not giving them loans and not appraising their homes over market value. You can complain all day and banks, appraisers can't do anything to fix it. In fact when banks were allowed by the government to be looser with loans and home values were skyrocketing, black homeowners got loans then lost their homes in the great recession because they couldn't afford the payments. You would do a disservice to someone with less money, less income if you gave them a loan they couldn't afford because they are more likely to be foreclosed upon and lose their entire investment and home. You'd be hurting and not helping them.

Here's an analogy maybe people can more easily understand. Blacks and Latinos own cars which are in general worth less money than cars owned white people because they make and have less money. Is Kelly Blue Book the reason why black, Latino owned cars are worth less than white owned cars? No, it's because they bought less expensive cars to begin with because that is what they could afford. Why aren't these people calling KBB racist and biased like they're calling banks and appraisers? It would make just as much sense. 

The article goes on to state that whites were able to refinance more often than blacks in the recent real estate run up with low interest rates. This goes back to income inequality. Even if black, Latino owned homes increased in value, the borrower is still making the same amount of money. While the loan to value ratio is important your home loan amount is based on your ability to repay the loan. Banks don't want a repeat of the great recession where they gave loans to people with equity but no ability to repay those loans. People blamed appraisers for that when it was actually caused by less government oversight and the resulting loose lending. The government and people forced banks to give risky loans to blacks, Latinos and people with low credit ratings. They're trying to do it again now. They do it every time there is a run up in home values. When they did it before the great recession many poorer people just took all the equity out of their homes and spent it on personal items. Then they lost their homes. 

"Wells Fargo, which declined to comment about individual customers, didn’t dispute Bloomberg’s statistical findings. It says it treats all potential borrowers the same, is more selective than other lenders, and an internal review of the bank’s 2020 refinancing decisions confirmed that “additional, legitimate, credit-related factors” were responsible for the differences." (FYI the bank can't comment about individual customers to the media or anyone except the borrower based on privacy, confidentiality law)

Banks have the right to set their lending requirements based on finances. They can discriminate based on finances. After Wells Fargo's tough times a while back you can bet they will tighten lending requirements which is their right. Do people want them giving fast and loose loans to anyone then have another banking crisis and have to bail them out? Remember this below?!

"Wells Fargo agreed in 2012 to pay more than $184 million to settle federal claims that it unfairly steered Black and Hispanic homeowners into subprime mortgages and charged them higher fees and interest rates. The bank didn’t admit to any wrongdoing and said at the time that it treated all customers fairly regardless of race." (FYI government doesn't have to prove bias in these cases. They just have to show one race was treated differently than another).

Previously Wells Fargo gave loans to riskier borrowers and they defaulted. This goes back to income inequality. The less money your make and have, the more likely you are to default on a loan. This time around Wells Fargo decided to reject riskier borrowers and people claim racism, bias and discrimination. No win situation here. Damned it you lend to riskier borrowers, damned if you don't. 

"Rohit Chopra, head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, said at a press conference in October announcing a new push by the Justice Department and regulators to combat so-called redlining by financial institutions. Among the issues he singled out was the role of mortgage underwriting algorithms that banks have long used, calling the disparities in lending outcomes a sign of “digital redlining, disguised through so-called neutral algorithms.”"

The algorithm is based on income, assets, debts, loan to value ratio, debt to income ratio... Research based on millions of loans over decades has shown a positive correlation between higher income, more assets to the ability to repay a loan. The opposite correlates with the inability to repay a loan. It's not redlining. Credit cards, auto loans, other loans are based on the same FICO scores but they're not tied to a property address. That is how people have made lending decisions for centuries all over the world. If a nonprofit or the government wants to loan money to high risk people, let them do it. Don't force private businesses to do it especially government insured banks.

"Kristy Fercho, who in August 2020 became the first Black woman to oversee Wells Fargo’s home-lending business and its more than 25,000 employees, says the bank’s processes are race-blind and that its lending decisions were “consistent across racial and ethnic groups.” Any racial disparity in outcomes for refinancing in 2020 was the result of variables Wells Fargo doesn’t control, she and other executives say, including credit scores, the appraised value of homes and broader inequities in the U.S. economy."

Finally the article speaks a truth, "A typical White family had eight times more wealth than a Black one, according to a triennial Fed survey last published in 2019." And now a huge misleading statement, "The refinancing gap gets at the ability of Black families to build on the wealth they have. Not being able to refinance a home “means that people have less resources to invest in their children, less resources to start businesses, less resources to renovate their homes, less resources to buy additional homes,” says Andre Perry, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution whose 2018 study found that the average Black home was valued at $48,000 less than its White equivalent. That differential amounts to $156 billion in missing Black wealth."

Andre Perry's "study" is a paper written by himself that was not published or peer reviewed Ref 3. It was based on inaccurate Zillow robot home estimates. No appraisers were involved. Perry intentionally chose two very different groups made up of homes in areas where 0-1% were black and homes in areas well over 50% were black. He didn't know if the homes were owned by white or black people because it's impossible to tell ownership. He compared the very different group values to each other. He did not adjust for location because it's impossible to adjust for location. Everyone knows the main indicators of home value are location, location, location. That misleading paper based on a very small intentionally misleading sample allegedly showed a difference of $48,000 in value between homes in majorly white verses black areas. 

We again go back to the real research which shows whites make more money than blacks, Latinos. Again, people buy homes they can afford. Someone with only $1,000 and a low credit score is not going to buy a $5,000,000 home in Beverly Hills no matter what race they are. They may buy a $75,000 home in Detroit with government financing. Is the bank or appraiser responsible for the differences in value between the $5,000,000 home and the $75,000 home? Not in reality but according to the article they are. 

The article stated that blacks were even less likely to refinance more recently. This goes back to income, credit rating. Even if their home appreciated in value their income, assets, credit rating stayed the same. Banks are more cautious after the great recession. They now make sure people can pay back the loan, make the loan payments based on their income.

Finally after reading the entire article they post a truth, "A 2021 study by Fed researchers given access to a privileged version of the same data used by Bloomberg that included applicants’ credit scores showed racial gaps can be largely attributed to those scores and the recommendations automated underwriting systems make to lenders." Credit scores are the main indicator of underwriting decisions! 

Of course the article went on to state that the credit score algorithm is biased and should be changed. It should include rent payments. Fine, let it include rent payments then do some research to see how that affects ability to repay home loans. Clearly it would only affect first time buyers as second time buyers don't pay rent.

The article then promotes the false biased appraiser myth. Then the article stated that banks raised the credit scores needed to get loans after the great recession which they state is not fair for black people. These people complained when black people lost their homes after the great recession and now they're complaining that they can't get a loose and easy loan? The only way some of these people will be happy is if people just gave them free money and houses. They might think that is fair. 

The authors end their article on the big lie, "He and his wife moved their young family to a bigger home in the more expensive, and predominantly White, Fulton County suburb of Sandy Springs in 2017 to be closer to better schools. (snip)” The move has also given him a rare perspective on the economics of segregation. His new home and those around it are valued far higher than those in the predominantly Black southwestern Fulton County suburb they left behind, where they still own the property they sought to refinance with Wells Fargo. But Ricard says he pays almost as much for the home insurance on his old home, which he now rents out, as his new one."

Ricard wanted to move out of his old predominantly black neighborhood into a predominantly white neighborhood per his own words. He was willing to pay more for a home in a different whiter location. He noted the better schools. Property taxes pay for most of a school's budget. Property taxes are based on home values. The higher the home values, the more money for schools and the better they are. There is also a correlation with lower crime. Lower crime, lower home insurance rates. Of course his insurance is lower in the more expensive neighborhood. This has nothing to do with segregation today. These are all common sense facts for anyone especially anyone in finance, banking and real estate. 

I believe these writers wrote this article knowing full well it's totally inaccurate. The real cause of the wealth gap between whites and blacks is the income gap. Fix the income gap and you will fix the wealth gap. White and black owned homes would eventually appraise the same if their incomes were the same. Stop blaming banks and appraisers for the income gap. Stop spreading this false and misleading misinformation. This misinformation has been weaponizing race to further divide our nation. Racism is a big enough problem as it is. We must do everything we can to stop racism but false and misleading articles like this just make it worse. They detract from the real issues of racism. 

*I sent this blog article to all of the writers, contributors and editors of this misleading article.

Article: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-wells-fargo-black-home-loan-refinancing/

Ref. 1. Szapiro, Aron (October 6, 2020). "Can Baby Bonds Shrink the Racial Wealth Gap?". Morningstar.com. Retrieved October 8, 2020.

Ref. 2. People who make more money, have more money and a higher FICO score.August 13, 2018. "Are Income and Credit Scores Highly Correlated?" Rachael Beer, Felicia Ionescu, and Geng Li1

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/are-income-and-credit-scores-highly-correlated-20180813.htm

Ref. 3. Andre Perry's paper is based on erroneous data and contains major statistical and analytical errors making the results meaningless.

https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2021/06/false-statement-by-president-joe-biden.html

Chart below shows loan approval rating for difference FICO scores for FHA loans. They have looser requirements. Still, the higher the FICO, the higher the chance of loan approval.



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Tuesday, November 9, 2021

ASC Roundtable Event: Building a More Equitable Appraisal System - 2021 by Mary Cummins


"On November 9, 2021, the Appraisal Subcommittee (ASC) will convene its second ASC 2021 Roundtable: Building a More Equitable Appraisal System, to build upon the success of the first roundtable and address historical and contemporary factors that have contributed to the inequities challenging the appraisal system today. Please join us for the second event of this groundbreaking series, which will bring together leaders in government, finance, real estate, non-profits, and communities impacted by the appraisal system."

https://hopin.com/events/asc-2021-roundtable-building-a-more-equitable-appraisal-system

Schedule

November 09, 2021
10:30 AM - 01:00 PM

Main Session (Keynotes)

Please join us in the main session to hear keynote presentations and remarks from our featured speakers!

Speakers

Danny Wiley
Senior Director of Single-Family Valuation, Freddie Mac

Vivian Li
Quantitative Analytics Director, Freddie Mac

Erika Poethig
Special Assistant to the President for Housing and Urban Policy

Melody Taylor
Executive Director, Task Force on Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity

Congresswoman Maxine Waters
Chairwoman of the House Financial Services Committee

Jim Park ASC

11:30 AM - 12:30 PM

Sessions Area PAVE Listening Session

Speakers

Melody Taylor
Executive Director, Task Force on Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity

11:30 AM - 12:30 PM

Sessions Area Freddie Mac Report

Speakers

Vivian Li
Quantitative Analytics Director, Freddie Mac

Danny Wiley
Senior Director of Single-Family Valuation, Freddie Mac

Hosts

Jevin Hodge a politician running for office
Michael Akin a professional webinar organizer at Link Strategic Partners

My comments are in parenthesis "(  )." All of the speakers read their opening remarks. There was a lot of happy positive speak and pats on the back for other members of the task force and government. A few said that they aren't saying appraisers are racist or appraise in a racist manner. A few others said "it's been shown that appraisers are racist and appraise in a racist, biased manner against black people. There have been media articles." 

FreddieMac speakers went over the recent research on appraisal gap. Other speakers talked about the goals of the PAVE Task Force. There were quite a few appraisers attending asking good questions. Some of those questions were about some of the crazy ideas floated around about using comps from a different location, neighborhood than the subject. There were many comments about Practical Applications of Real Estate Appraisal PAREA and making it easier for trainees to become full appraisers. 

At the previous ASC Roundtable Event black Cy Richardson stated to white host Michael Akin "Pale, male and stale. That's what appraisers are." The general consensus is that "pale, male and stale" is racism, sexism and ageism. Akin replied that he wasn't "stale." It appears he didn't want to be name called again so he had black Arizona politician named Jevin Hodge who is running for office on an equality platform be the second host today. 

Jevin Hodge introduced the speakers to the main session in a very positive upbeat manner. 

Speaker: Jim Park of ASC: I'm a certified general appraiser. I've been with ASC since 2009. Bias is not due to racist appraisers. The definition of "implicit bias" per ADL (Anti Defamation League ) is assumptions, stereotypes we make towards others, positive or negative, that is stored in our unconscious (subconscious). 

We need to change the recruitment training model. We don't want to alienate people (appraisers) to solve this problem.  We must be careful not to blame dedicated professionals who perform this work day to day. 

Speaker: Danny Wiley of FreddieMac. I've been an appraiser for 40 years. We (at FreddieMac) looked at 12 million reports from 2015 to 2020 (during a time of appreciating values when there is more likely to be an appraisal gap) to see how often the appraisal value came in below the contract. We call this the appraisal gap. We compared appraisals of homes in census tracts with mainly white occupants against those with mainly blacks and Latinos. We have not reached any conclusion for cause of the gaps or correlation. Our research showed that further studies are warranted. (They only used purchases and not refinances. The borrowers for purchases are the buyers. Appraisers NEVER see or meet the buyers. It's impossible for us to be biased against the buyers. In fact their research showed there was no difference in the gaps if they only looked at race of the borrower. Gaps happen in quickly appreciating markets such as mainly minority areas which are revitalizing or as others say gentrifying. Appraisal values are based on sold comps which means the value could be two months behind the market from contract date to escrow closing to recording time.).

Speaker: Vivian Li also of FreddieMac: (It was difficult to understand her accent. Wiley and Li basically just talked about this research here) Media articles have shown appraiser, appraisal bias against blacks. (So much for not blaming appraisers) There were appraisal gaps from many appraisers (47%). We worked with BetterMortgage (a private for profit mortgage broker with a pro racism agenda and Jillian White. They worked with Andre Perry who released the early results of their study July 15, 2021. They also worked with Urban League. All of these people, groups publicly state and support the false narrative that appraisers are racist) to better understand them. 

Speaker Erika Poethig: The Federal Government had a role in discrimination. The government reinforced housing segregation with redlining and discrimination against people of color. Blacks, Latinos rely more heavily on their home for their wealth. The great recession caused POC to lose their homes. The black home ownership rate is the same as it was in 1968. 

The first goal of the current government is to stop foreclosures caused by the pandemic. The second goal is to expand access to credit more broadly. There will be more credit options for 2-4 units. We hope to root out discrimination in housing. 

Speaker Melody Taylor with HUD: Joe Biden started PAVE task force to deal with racial inequity. PAVE has four core objectives... (she read this list https://pave.hud.gov/about/objectives)
We will also focus on the ROV Reconsideration of Value and lack of diversity in the appraisal profession. Your voice matters. Thanks.

Congress person Maxine Waters: When black families leave portraits of their black family members up in their house they get a lower appraisal. They have to put up photos of white people to get a higher value and the appraisal jumps. These are not just anecdotes. The appraisal gap is real. People of color have been locked out of low rates and being able to buy homes due to appraisal bias. There is unequal values of homes in black areas. Discussions haven't solved the problems. 2019 had the lowest black home ownership rate ever. 76% of whites own a home. That's over 27% more than black or latino homeowners. The Build Back Better Act will increase the supply of housing. We must help more POC become homeowners. The big boy appraiser companies run the  show. Smaller appraisal businesses are locked out. We must break up the big boys. Thank you. (I like Maxine Waters. I'm near her district. Someone has filled her head with nonsense and false, misinterpreted information on this issue. She needs some education by someone who knows the issues. Who are the big boy appraisers?)

Breakout Sessions. I went to FreddieMac first then PAVE.

FreddieMac with Dan Wiley, Vivian Li.

Wiley: We only used purchases for our research because there is a "true north." 99% of the time the contract price will reflect the true value. (Assumption) We didn't use refinances for this reason.

We didn't consider any contracts with concession 3% or more. We got rid of other outliers such as a home having five stories, ten bedrooms...

Li: We excluded distress sales and non arms-length sales.

Wiley read my question which was "To Lee, Wyley: Did you compare the appraisal gap and price of the homes? Based on my experience I've seen more gaps in lower priced properties which correlates w/ Black, Latino area."

Li: Great question. We looked at it. We broke it into five brackets. We saw similar patterns overall. (but similar amounts, %? It would have been good for them to post that information even if it showed no effect. I appraise in these areas and others because I speak Spanish. I see more of a gap in these areas. It could be because these areas are being revitalized or as some say gentrified. Homes are appreciating quickly which always causes a gap like the common current appraisal gap. Others pushed out of more expensive areas into more minority areas also tend to over pay as do first time buyers desperate for homes in these areas. They looked at sales 2015-2020 which is during a time of faster appreciation when there is more likely to be a gap. They're also only looking at FreddieMac loans and not all loans. FreddieMac only buys conforming loans under a certain amount so this doesn't effect all loans.)

Wiley: We only considered appraisal reports. We didn't consider everything like whether the area had potable water or not.

Li: Potable water may affect valuation. We didn't look into it. I can look into it further. 
 
Wiley: We didn't check to see if the appraisals were accurate or not. (That would have been the better test). We just compared it to contract price. We know if the appraisal comes in low the contract gets renegotiated so we only looked at the appraisal and first contract not later contracts.

Joseph Mier: I've been an appraiser for 30 years. We all know location, location, location when it comes to value. I'm concerned the discussions could harm consumers and the profession if don't use local comps. If appraisers are using local comps, that is the proper data.

Wiley: You haven't heard that from us. We need to know what we can actually sell the property for. We're in the collateral business. We look at risk.
 
Mier: We must be careful to not leave data behind. There is a risk if you're not using certain comps. 

Wiley: Agreed. It gets dangerously close to crossing the line to advocacy. We are supposed to measure bias in the market. Bias is just preference. Buyers prefer some areas over others by being willing to pay more. The job of the appraiser is to be an objective observer of market bias and not driving it. We're not exploring that. 

Question: Why not use a comp in a white area to appraise a home in a black area instead of using a comp in the same black area?

Wiley: We are only concerned with what we can sell the property for today. We should use the most similar comp sales in the subject neighborhood.  There is no reason to go to another area. We are concerned with two things, the objective measurement of current value. The other is the long term effect of discriminatory policies from the past and how to rectify that. We support that. We don't believe the answer to that problem is to tweak the appraisal in some way. We need to affect long term change. We don't think the appraiser is the engineer of that process. 

Question: Why did you only look at, report about white, black and latino groups?

Li: Most data is for black, latinx groups. The gaps for these two groups stand out the most. (How would she know unless she looked at the other groups?) 

I moved to the PAVE breakout session

John Brenan of Clear Capital: PIREA, we support it. It must be approved by all states. We need diversity among appraisers. That is what we're trying to do, recruit more diverse appraisers.

Joseph Mier: Trainees can't do site inspections. Using trainees will bring more professionals into the profession. We should use local comps because value is based on location, location, location. We shouldn't use comps from outside of the area. 

Melody: If you want to send a comment, information, email pave@hud.gov

David Bunton: Appraisers must now take two hours on bias in the seven hour USPAP update. It would be good to know how many bias complaints there are and what are the results of investigations. (I sent in a FOIA request for the results of the two most well known recent complaints. I'll post them when I get them.)

Melody: We were given 180 days to formulate and write a response with an action plan for the PAVE task force. (Task force announced June 1, 2021. First meeting was August 5, 2021. December 1, 2021 the reply is due?)

Summary end of meeting.

Jim Park: This is not about how to get rid of appraisers but how to make appraisals more reliable, credit worthy and to diversify the profession. The bureau of labor statistics showed that appraisers are last (when it comes to diversity with 96% white).(The statistics are based on someone calling someone's house, asking one person about the professions of all the different people in the house and their different races. They're calling land lines. Not very reliable stats. Per AI 76% of appraisers are white. That's very close to the same percentage as real estate agents which is 75% and the general population overall which is 72%). We will do a third roundtable by ASC but not this year. It'll be first quarter next year. 

The video should be posted here. I still haven't found the video from the last meeting. I even emailed twice asking where it was and no reply.

______________________

Some screen grabs from the session.












Some questions asked in the chat.

Fontana Pete

Congresswomen Watters mentioned getting rid of the "big boys" in the appraisal process! Can you elaborate on who she is referring to as the big boys? AMC's, banks, GSE's? Thanks kindly

Kennedy Chester

Question 3: What areas of regulation and policy could be improved to have an impact on eliminating bias in property valuations?

Kennedy Chester

Question 2: What role can private sector and the appraisal regulatory system play in advancing equity and diversity in the appraiser workforce?

Kennedy Chester

Question 1: How do lenders, regulatory agencies, GSE, HUD and VA policy affect the frequency and outcomes of ROV cases, and how might these regs and policies be improved? 

Sergio Johnson

In regards to the range option. Who would make the decision on the point of value being used for the lending decision in the range? (You probably still need a point of value to determine LTV etc)

Tanya Bates

Building relationships = A better understanding of the appraisal profession and in turn relevant ROV. Falls in line with what Bill is discussing.

Sergio Johnson

Bill, the problem there would be that in the lending world, many UW's report to folks who are part of the originations side. You'd have to revise the laws for that piece of it.

Lori Noble

With millions spent toward PARREA and alternatives while small businesses dedicated to mentorship are paying the price. The anti-competitive practices are prevalent and obvious in our regulations.

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

Sunday, October 31, 2021

Appraising Real Estate during Dia de los Muertos or Day of the Dead by Mary Cummins real estate appraiser

dia de los muertos, day of the dead, mexico, mexican, latino, altar, ofrenda, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, los angeles, california, real estate, appraisal, appraiser
dia de los muertos, day of the dead, mexico, mexican, latino, altar, ofrenda, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, los angeles, california, real estate, appraisal, appraiser

Free class in cultural appreciation in real estate! Sorry, no C.E. credit ;-) Dia de los Muertos or Day or the Dead is generally celebrated October 31 to November 2. If you're appraising a Latino home, you may see altars or "ofrendas" honoring their loved ones who've passed. The altars could include the loves ones' favorite food, drink, photos, memorabilia, flowers, candles... There is no special greeting so no need to say "Feliz Dia de Muertos" because it's a remembrance day. If you want to acknowledge their altar, you can say "es una ofrenda hermosa" i.e. "it's a beautiful altar" or "tiene una familia hermosa" i.e. "you have a beautiful family." They would appreciate it in English or Spanish. If you really praise their altar, beware because they will probably sit you down and stuff you full of wonderful food ;-) 

Sometimes I enter a Latino home and see the ofrenda and someone will say "that's not mine. It's my grandfather's" when it's clearly their own ofrenda. As soon as I tell them in Spanish that it's lovely they're fine. Being Latino with Latino customs and speaking Spanish can get your discriminated against in the United States so many hide it. I can't tell you how many times I've been attacked just for speaking Spanish in public. Because I have light skin most don't know I'm Latino so I end up hearing so many racist things. That's why it's nice to show that you acknowledge and appreciate the customs. 

Here is a virtual ofrenda I made for my family members who were born in Mexico City. This is not an authentic ofrenda which is more involved and elaborate. #diadelosmuertos #dayofthedead #altar #ofrenda #marycummins #diademuertos #mexico #family #latino #mexican #realestateappraiser, #realestate #appraiser #appraisal #spanish 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Redlining in home loan financing - Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Los Angeles, California


UPDATE: 08/12/2023 AEI just posted an op-ed about redlining. It stated only 20% of people living in redlined areas at the time were black owners. I previously stated most who owned property in redlined areas were white. Now we know it was 80% which proves my point with research. Whites were primarily negatively affected by redlining because whites owned the property. This proves that blacks were not the target or "victim" of redlining.

This also shows that blacks and others were pushed into these areas because they were cheaper to rent. That is why they were drawn to those areas. No one corralled them into these areas. Poor whites, Latinos, newer immigrants were also in these same areas for the same reasons. Redlining did not cause the areas to deteriorate.

“Our results suggest that racial bias in the construction of the HOLC maps can explain at most 4 to 20 percent of the observed concentration of Black households in the lowest-rated zones. Instead, our results suggest that the majority of Black households were located in such zones because decades of disadvantage and discrimination had already pushed them into the core of economically distressed neighborhoods prior to the federal government’s involvement in mortgage markets.”

Redlining did not keep black people from owning homes. "However, there was a robust growth of black home ownership during the postwar era; continuously increasing from 21% in 1940 to 54% by 1980."

Another point is the condition of the homes in primarily black owned areas. They previously were middle class white areas which experienced deterioration and decline which is a natural real estate cycle. This made the properties cheaper and blacks and others were more easily able to afford to rent them. Some even owned them. Redlining didn't cause this. It's just a real estate cycle which happens all over the world. Blacks, Latinos ended up reaping the benefit of buying the depreciated homes when the areas went through the revitalization stage and greatly increased in value. They sold the properties at a large profit.

"Unlike the Oliver-Shapiro assertion that “their homes and communities deteriorated and lost value,” many of these black neighborhoods were previously upper-middle class ones. This filtering down housing process provided a financial foundation for many black families. And when the professional classes chose to repopulate some of these neighborhoods, black homeowners, including Washington DC’s Shaw district, reaped the gains from further housing appreciation."

Another interesting point is the wealth gap between whites and blacks. It's not caused by the median or average family wealth differences. It's mainly caused by the upper class wealth. I would bet that most of the overall wealth gap is driven by the 5% most wealthy people who are white. If you removed people worth over $5,000,000, the wealth gap would shrink immensely. It's probably the billionaires driving most of the wealth gap.

"The left-wing blogger Matt Bruenig found that if black households in the lower half of their distribution had their wealth raised to be exactly the same as white households in their lower half, the overall racial wealth gap would be reduced by just 3 percent. As a result, he concluded, “What this shows is that 97 percent of the overall racial wealth gap is driven by households above the median of each racial group.” Indeed, over two-thirds of racial gap reflects the differences in assets held by the top ten percent of households in each group. Class, not race is the major driver of wealth inequality. "

Another reason for the wealth gap is the difference in family structure. Couples have more money than single people.

"To be sure, racial disparities in home ownership rates persist. But a significant share can be explained by family structure. In 2022, overall black homeownership was 44 percent; but for married couples it was 64 percent, virtually the same as the overall white homeownership rate. "


ORIGINAL: Redlining - Definition: To refuse (a loan or insurance) to someone because they live in an area deemed to be a poor financial risk.
The National Housing Act of 1934 created the Federal Housing Administration FHA to help revive the US economy after the Great Depression. The purpose of the FHA was to provide affordable loans so people could buy homes. Private lenders would make the loans and the federal government would insure them for losses. The new loans would have lower down payments, smaller monthly payments and were more affordable.
President Roosevelt's New Deal created the Home Owners Loan Corporation to help process the home loans. "To facilitate private investment through the FHA, the HOLC, and the Federal Home Loan Board Bank (FHLBB), the federal government crafted a national set of standards for assessing mortgage risk. Through its 1935 City Survey Program, the HOLC gathered data about neighborhoods from approximately 239 cities and compiled the results into a rating system ranging from A to D. Communities with A ratings represented the best investments for homeowners and banks alike; B, neighborhoods that were still desirable, C, those in decline, and D, areas considered hazardous. "A" communities generally had access to better amenities such as better schools, parks, shopping, transportation and were therefore more desirable. "D" communities generally were located near less desirable features such as industrial properties and they had fewer and lower quality amenities." To visually capture these rankings, the HOLC then turned these ratings into color-coded maps, using green for A, blue for B, yellow for C, and red for D – the origin of the term “redlining.”

Many researchers have stated the HOLC maps were more a consequence of existing ordinary and discriminatory lending practices as opposed to being a cause for them. Still, the spatial isolation could make it a self-fulfilling prophecy over time. Many have stated the ratings were just a description of the current state of the real estate cycle for each neighborhood. A "D" area could be revitalized, redeveloped into a "B" area. If that area improved with the addition of more public transportation, parks, schools, shopping, it could become an "A" area. This is what has happened in downtown Los Angeles and other areas such as Boyle Heights which some refer to as gentrification. Areas which were in a then D zone are now a B zone. The reverse has also happened. Some areas which were B are now D. Real estate risk constantly changes.

Others have shown how the HOLC grades were more a function of factors such as housing condition, residential density, and housing type, as opposed to solely ethnic and racial composition. If the ethnic and racial compositions were not included in the maps, it would not have affected their accuracy in determining loan risk. Over time some of these ratings became more associated with race and immigration status than unbiased risk. The term "red zone" ended up having a connotation of POC, immigrants living in poor areas. Generally poorer people, people of color and immigrants lived in the C, D areas because it was less expensive. Over time the redlining caused less investment in C, D areas and more in A, B areas causing a greater divide between the areas. As people were pushed out of more expensive A, B areas and into C, D areas, those areas became A, B areas.

It must be noted that the actual HOLC maps never stated "D is a black area" or "D is an immigrant area." There were worksheets prepared by individuals which were used to determine the risk of each specific area. Those worksheets included many factors and descriptions including the following from top to bottom (see worksheet for an area of Los Angeles below), population, class and occupation, nationalities, income, sometimes "negro" %, building type, size, age, condition, owner/tenant % occupancy, home price bracket, sales demand, predicted price trend, sales demand, new construction, rate of sale of new construction, overhang of HOLC properties, description and characteristic of area. It's important to note that the maps only covered 239 cities. We have 108,000 cities in the US. The entire US was never mapped. Only .2% of cities were mapped, 1/5th of 1%. It's clearly impossible for the mapping of only .2% to affect all cities today.

Today in real estate appraisal and analysis we use all of the above factors except race and nationality. It's a violation of the Fair Housing Act to consider or mention race or nationality because it would be discrimination. All of the other factors are good indicators of value and trends. Now the US Census does include race and whether or not someone is "foreign born." The census has nothing to do with real estate sales or loans. It's a population study.

That said the areas ended up correlating with higher populations of POC, immigrants and poor people based on affordability. There is a direct correlation between income and POC. Whites make more than Latinos and Blacks. People with more money buy more expensive homes in more expensive areas. If the government wants to correct the wealth gap, they need to fix the income gap. Appraisers can't do it. If one were to note today property in the four distinct phases or life cycles of real estate, one would probably find a higher percentage of POC, immigrants and poor people in those same areas because hazardous, run down, less desirable areas have lower rent and less expensive homes to buy. In some areas, it's all poor white people. The correlation is income and wealth. People buy or rent what they can afford based on their income. Wealth is tied to income. Race correlates with income. The correlation is NOT race = home valuation. The causation is income.
The Fair Housing Act of 1968 made redlining due to race illegal. It became "unlawful to discriminate in the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale of a dwelling because of race or national origin." A bank could no longer refuse to make loans in certain areas based on those specific factors. Banks can only refuse loans based on the credit, credit history, income, assets, debts, expenses of the buyer, borrower. Those were the only factors that ever mattered in relation to risk anyway.

I am using this example below because it specifically mentions race, nationalities. Not all of the worksheets noted it. It was up to the individual filling in the form. The race, nationality had no effect on the rating. It was just reporting. They could have omitted it and ratings would have been the same. We know that race, immigrant status, being poor correlated with the lower C and D ratings because they correlated with lower income, lower net financial worth, lower credit ratings which affects affordability. This is not to say one caused the other. This is just to aid in the explanation of what "redlining" was.


Another important thing to consider is most people in the "redlined" areas were renters. Generally these areas are 80% tenants. The people who owned the property were mainly white. White property owners were the ones being denied loans or charged more for the loans. POC property owners were in the minority but they were also denied loans or charged more. And again this is only for government backed loans. People still got loans on the properties from sub prime lenders. We still have sub prime lenders today who do riskier loans. Those riskier loans are for riskier borrows or properties. A risky borrower has little cash, poor credit, lots of debt, shorter confirmed work history, undocumented work history, little income showing on tax returns, income only from retirement funds or investment property... A risky property is located in a wildfire area, higher risk flood zone, lava zone, tornado zone, next to river/ocean/lake, landslide area, on an earthquake fault, condo development with a major lawsuit, condo development with insufficient repair funds, older property, property not in average condition, property that needs seismic word, property with tenants that refuse to move, property that is behind on property taxes... Notice all these risk factors have nothing to do with race or color. These are just loan risk factors. Any safe bank would consider all of these risk factors especially if they are offering and reselling government backed loans.

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Real estate cycles - "Gentrification" - Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser Appraisal in Los Angeles California



What some call "gentrification" is actually just a real estate cycle. There are four stages through which an improved property will pass in its lifetime. The stages are caused by ordinary physical deterioration and market demand. Those four stages are as follows:

1. Growth -  When improvements are first made and property demand expands.

2. Equilibrium or Stability - When the property undergoes little change.

3. Decline -  When the property requires an increasing amount of upkeep to retain its original utility while demand slackens. Rents and property values decline.

4. Revitalization or Rehabilitation - When demand increases for any reason serving to stimulate property renovation. Demand generally increases when people are priced out of adjacent areas and need more affordable housing. 

The first three stages of a property's life cycle are also termed development, maturity and old age. The principle of growth, equilibrium, decline and revitalization can also apply to entire neighborhoods.

Los Angeles’ neighborhoods are ever changing. One example of this is downtown Los Angeles. It’s gone through many cycles of change. It currently is nearing a peak with all the new construction and rising interest rates. Read this article as of today’s date of April 5, 2017. 

In a year or so there may be an oversupply of luxury apartments, condos and lofts (happened October 2017 with 12% vacancy rate for luxury units) like there was during the great recession which started November 2007. The great recession was caused by a real estate bubble bursting while at the same time poor quality home loans were made and sold on the derivative market.  Downtown Los Angeles (DTLA) properties went down just a little over 50%. Some luxury loft projects which weren’t finished at least six months before this date were foreclosed upon. HOAs even went bankrupt. Some luxury loft buildings became rentals instead. 

A real estate cycle which irks renters in the DTLA areas is “revitalization.” They like to call it “gentrification.” Gentrification is defined as “the process of renovating and improving a house or district so that it conforms to middle-class taste.” People living in say West Los Angeles can no longer afford the rent or cost of a home in West Los Angeles because their wages have been stagnant. They seek out cheaper up and coming areas to rent or buy such as Boyle Heights. It's about money.

Current renters in Boyle Heights are upset that the area has improved, new luxury condos were being built and more importantly their rents have risen or they’re being evicted so the building can be renovated or torn down and a larger, newer one built. They feel their rent should stay the same even though the landlord’s property tax, utilities, interest rates, repair costs ... have risen significantly. There’s also new development, new stores, boutiques, coffee shops, more people and more demand for housing. The area has improved so market rent will of course be higher. Rents correlate directly with property values. In 2020, 2021 home values increased 15% or more a year. So did the corresponding rents.

Some of these lower income renters go so far as to say it’s wealthier whites pushing out poorer Hispanics, Blacks and their culture. They even broke the windows of and vandalized a new coffee shop and book store to hopefully “scare” away the newcomers. One of the coffee shop owners is Latino. They don’t realize that before Boyle Heights was a Hispanic community it was a Jewish and Chinese community. Before that it was Mexico. Before that it was part of Spain. Before that the land belonged to the Native Americans. These people are only upset about “their” rents rising. They don’t care about the people who own the buildings with rising costs who are generally also Latino or Black. They didn’t care about the people who were there before them whom they pushed out. These people are actually guilty of and benefiting from what they call "gentrification." They took someone else's home. If the area were not improved, it would still be unimproved farm land, vacant land or small run down single family residences. They would not want to live there. The rent they are paying supports revitalization. And the people moving in aren’t all whites. They’re also Hispanics, African Americans, Asian.... The main difference is income.

The main change in the race, color, ethnicity ... of an area has to do with changing socio-economic factors such as income, buying power, marital status, single mother household with young children under 18, credit scores ... The more income you have, the more wealth you have, the more expensive home you can buy, own or rent. Research has proved that whites make more money than blacks and Latinos. This is the cause of the wealth gap between most whites, blacks and Latinos. For this reason whites buy, own and rent more expensive homes than blacks, Latinos. Below is Tobias Peter and AEI's report which shows this. If the government wants to end the white black/brown wealth gap, they need to end the income gap and help people increase their income and buying power. 


It’s never the property owners who complain about their property values going up. It’s a few maybe 3% of very low rent people who intentionally moved to the area to take advantage of the low rents in a debilitated area. Some of these “artists” living in “lofts” even have the nerve to state they are the reason why the area improved in value. They think they attracted new businesses. They are never the reason why the area improved. They merely took advantage of then low rents during that cycle. Or maybe they are long time renters who took advantage of the rents staying low because the area declined. 

97% of the people in the community, property owners, business owners, tenants paying market rents, cities, counties, states getting increased taxes are happy about revitalization. There is more income to pay for lower income programs and low rent projects not to mention community improvement projects like cleaning, beautification, parks and improved schools. Should we stop revitalization to make 3% of the lowest income people happy by subsidizing their low rent because they don't have to move to another low rent area? Everyone has to move for one reason or another. It's a good thing for everyone overall. FTR I'm not a property owner. I've had to move to lower rent areas.  I understand. 

Instead of complaining these people need to move to another area with low rents if they want their rent to stay the same. That’s why some Los Angeles artists moved to Santa Ana, Anaheim and Long Beach industrial areas. They’re cheaper than LA. Many people moved out of California for this reason. If they want to forever pay low rents they’ll have to ride the real estate cycle. They could also increase job skills and seek out higher paying jobs. I realize not everyone can do this but it's an option for some. If they really want to take advantage of this cycle, those that can, can work hard, save money, buy property in dilapidated areas and ride the wave as values increase. If they want to rent out their properties for $1 to people with less income, they can do that and lose money. 

Commercial, retail, industrial tenants have also had their rents raised or buildings razed. They move to a cheaper area. They don’t yell “gentrification” and break the windows of coffee shops. They're business people who know it’s purely economics and move. 

As stated earlier people who are pushed out of more expensive areas move to lower cost areas. It's not just in California. It's all over the nation and the world. This has been happening forever, since time immemorial. Right now people are leaving expensive California and going to Texas, Arizona, Nevada, Montana. Relative to California those places are "cheap." This has caused home prices and rents to rise in those other states. They're not yelling "gentrification" even though it's the same economic process at play. It's basic economics. 

All that said we desperately need affordable housing in Los Angeles. It’s a separate issue from revitalization. The main reason some poorer people can’t afford rent is there aren’t enough units. It’s supply and demand. NIMBYs and red tape has made construction almost impossible in LA over the last 30-40 years. We are years behind the number of units we need. Another big reason is that poorer people’s income hasn’t risen along with rents. This is caused by big business and government keeping lower income people’s wages low. This is caused by the upper 1% using their money and lobbyists to get bills passed which hurt lower to middle income people. I’m talking about Walmart, Walgreens paying poverty wages. These are the real reasons why poor to middle income people can’t afford rent in LA. 

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit