Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Showing posts with label race. Show all posts
Showing posts with label race. Show all posts

Thursday, July 15, 2021

Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership - notes by Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser

Mary Cummins, Andre Perry, Pam Perry, Christy Bunce, Jefferson Sherman, Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership, Appraisal Institute, real estate appraiser, appraisal, real estate
Mary Cummins, Andre Perry, Pam Perry, Christy Bunce, Jefferson Sherman, Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership, Appraisal Institute, real estate appraiser, appraisal, real estate


July 15, 2021 11:00 a.m. PST Over 500 people attended. 

Topic: Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership - Zoom meeting.

Description: The New American Dream & Freddie Mac webinar series continues to discuss the challenges to increase Black Homeownership and potential solutions.

What will you get out of this by attending? We will look at appraisals and property valuation and how to overcome potential bias in this arena. We have a powerful group of expert panelists to share insights and their organizations efforts to bridge the gap in Black Homeownership.

Moderator: Christy Bunce, Chief Operating Officer of New American Dream Funding (Bunce)

Panelist: Dr. Andre Perry, Brookings Institution (A Perry)

Panelist: Jefferson Sherman, MAI, AI-GRS Appraisal Institute (Sherman)

Panelist: Pamela Perry, Vice President, Single Family Equitable Housing, Freddie Mac (P Perry)

My comments in ( ). Here is the video. 

-------------------

Zoom meeting notes by Mary Cummins, Los Angeles, California real estate appraiser.

Bunce:  Our company supports lending for minorities and black people.

Sherman: Bias is human. No profession is immune.

A Perry: My research used the Zillow list price of homes and census data. I controlled for crime, education, walkability and there was still a difference in value (between primarily black verses white neighborhoods). The black owned homes were under priced by 23%. This loss of value is not about only appraisers but also lenders and agents. Appraisers have something to do with the loss of 23% (of value of black owned homes). There are biased appraisers media articles show. Structural bias is in the system even though most say there is no racism in appraising. (This article shows that Andre Perry's research is fatally statistically flawed as he committed every grave statistical error.

P Perry: There are 3.4 million black Americans that qualify for a mortgage but have no mortgage. We must eradicate barriers to tens of millions of black people. We have a housing shortage. Black people live on land in areas which will be uninhabitable due to climate change. Fannie Mac recognizes there is an issue based on data from our appraisals. 

Bunce: What research is Freddie Mac doing on valuation? 

P Perry: A lot. There are appraisal gaps. We have a treasure trove of data on appraisal gaps. We did research sales price verses valuation. 2015 to 2020 data showed appraised value lower than contract price for minorities. (2015 to 2020 prices increased. Makes sense past sales would be lower than current contract prices) The appraisers opinion of value more likely to fall below contract price in black and hispanic areas. ("Hispanic" is a racist term. Most prefer Latino including myself) Black and hispanics receive lower values than whites regardless of where home is located. The findings are troubling. The gap is large but we are uncertain of the root cause. The average distance of the comp from the subject is shorter in hispanic, black areas than white areas. (Because less expensive homes are generally in more dense areas. The homes are generally smaller on smaller lots. I see this appraising homes in these areas. I don't have to search as wide to find enough comps)

A Perry: Value verses price. Value is socially constructed, a social construct. Humans determine value. Price is the contract price, what it sold for, a fact.

P Perry: "A few white folk move in (to a black area) and suddenly value spikes." (People are being priced out of more expensive areas and going to less expensive areas which tend to have more people of color. It's the revitalization stage of the real estate cycle which some call "gentrification." It's just affordability economics. This causes prices to increase in less expensive areas.)

Bunce: We as lenders see many appraisals and need to understand this. 

Sherman: Value and price are different. Value is an economic concept, an opinion, subjective, not a science, not a fact. Price is fact, list price, contract price. There will be a difference in opinion of value among appraisers. Competent appraisers should reach about same conclusions.

A Perry: There is an intrinsic value of whiteness which we see when a white person stands in for black owner (in the appraisal inspection). This shows that appraiser sees higher home value if the home has a white owner. HUD, government should do tests for this effect.

Sherman: Let me explain the appraisal process and appraisers. Appraisers are asked to appraise for market value based on specific requirements. How do we improve black areas. Maybe there are other types of values that should be measured. A value that excludes the location could be applied to certain lending situations for disadvantaged neighborhoods. We (appraisers) do use value, investment value, terms you, Andre Perry, are not familiar with. If the government, legislation determines there are different types of value to measure, we'll do it. We are flexible. We appraisers are willing to participate in other value methods.

Bunce: Appraisals, appraising is not a science. If it were more science and less opinion, we can use data and science to remove bias.

A Perry: I met Sherman talking about AVMs on Capitol Hill. Software developers may also have bias besides lenders, appraisers. Credit score, education, crime matter but there is additional penalties to black areas. Black people have lower credit scores because they have less access to wealth. We were denied access to wealth. We have no (savings) so must take on debt. This leads to a lower credit score. (Credit scores are based on math. The lower the score, the less likely someone is able to pay back a loan. The less savings you have, the more likely you are to default on a loan. The credit score is to help the lender determine risk. Defaulting on a loan hurts the lender and the homeowner) My aim is to improve the community, not blame this or that group. (He has specifically blamed appraisers)

Bunce: There is no blame. We just must make all aware of the issues. Does the sales comparison approach carry forward past effects of historical redlining?

Sherman: The sales comparison approach is the most applicable to value. Buyers have choices. They compare one property to another to choose what to buy. Appraisers do the same. Recent sales transactions represent the best way to appraise property. Banning it would have negative dramatic effect on home values. It would fuel an asset bubble. Maybe one can add a value besides appraisal value for future value in revitalizing areas.

Other approaches of value. The cost approach. I'm an instructor. The cost to build a new house minus depreciation plus the value of land is the cost market value. We consider three types of depreciation, (1) physical. (2) Functional depreciation. An old style floor plan with one bedroom through another doesn't work today. (3) External depreciation, influences. Is the subject near a noxious use industrial area? The cost approach isn't the answer to your question. (Besides the fact that land value is based on location and sales market approach. It's generally determined by extraction method). The answer is markets have to change. How can we change the nature of neighborhoods. We need public and private partnerships and legislation.  If we (as real estate appraisers) don't do our jobs correctly, people will get hurt. (Lenders and homeowners could lose money in foreclosures causing negative ripple effect on overall market, real estate market of the neighborhood and negative financial effect on minority families. 2008 bubble anyone?). Over all (improper home values) put family wealth at risk. There will be more foreclosures. The appraisal must be accurate for all to prosper. (The appraisal protects the lender and homeowner from loss)

Bunce: Freddie Mac has millions of appraisals. Freddie can investigate the appraisal gaps. What are you doing? (to P Perry)

P Perry: I agree. The appraised value is an opinion. The appraiser has discretion. How does this impact minority communities? We want more consistent valuations. Maybe we'll use some AVMs. We won't just tech our way out of it. Intrinsic racism is causing valuation issues. 

Bunce: AVMs, automated valuation models. Hybrids can eliminate bias and discrimination? Thoughts?

Sherman: I echo Dr Perry. AVM is multiple regression model, algorithm analysis of sales. The software writer can be biased. We don't eliminate bias that way. Our appraiser members (of the Appraisal Institute) are the gold standard in the industry. Our members may use AVM as an additional tool. The real gold standard is a live appraiser who physically examines the property and subject market.

A Perry: We will call for the hybrid approach. If a property falls below market rate (contract price?) it should trigger another appraisal, an AVM. We must hold appraisers accountable. Appraisers must explain the lower rate. Appeals are hard to come by. 90% of appeals are denied. We need a backup when something goes wrong. If someone feels low-balled, get a white person to stand in for them. Is it individual bias or just a bad appraiser. Is it individual bias or a structural problem. It's a structural problem if you use the price comparison approach. It can be mitigated by using data. 

Bunce: This is what New American Dream funding does (company plug). Other lenders should do the same. When we have appraisals that don't look right, the value is not coming in, it's way lower than sales price, we run an AVM to have that data to compare. That helps us talk to the appraiser. That is the fair and right thing to do. (It's also could be perceived as undo influence on an appraiser which could cause the lender to lose their license. The Dodd Frank Act was to help prevent undo influence over appraisers and the value)

P Perry: We test if hybrids offer more subjective value. AVMs are part of the solution to eliminate bias in appraisals. Appraisals should be more uniform. There should also be standardize testing of AVMs. (AVMs vary widely. Even the range price of each AVM value varies widely by over 25%. AVMs include MLS GLA which is generally larger than actual GLA)

Sherman: Diversity in appraisers and appraisals. We are supporting various minority programs to increase minorities in appraisers such as the minority in women scholarships program. We are trying to improve our diversity and understanding of the community. (Whites make up 85.4% of Appraisal Institute members. Males make up 75% of members even though the US is 50% males).

A Perry: We are doing an ashoka partnership. It's a housing development challenge with $1M prize for a valuable solution.

Bunce: There is no time for an extensive Q & A. New American Dream lending has recorded the meeting which will be available to view later.  Over 500 people attended. This is an important issue we are focused on. 

Bunce's screen then flashes to a photo of the black Florida couple, woman who stated they were racially discriminated against in a media article. After that a promotional video for the company played with only black people. It appears the company may be using this issue to sell mortgages. Many have been doing the same. 

Mary Cummins: I wrote these notes to the best of my ability. I'll post the link to the one hour video Zoom meeting when it's available. 

Below is a copy of the chat.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:03 AM

Hello Everyone!  We are excited to have your attention regarding these hot topics. My name is Tiarra Hill a native North Carolinian, mother of twin teenage boys, a Sr. Loan Consultant and a member of the New American Dream Initiative.  I have been in banking and finance for almost 20 years and my passion is helping clients with their goal of homeownership.  


Today our panel will discuss Black Homeownership and how it is impacted by Property Valuation and Appraisal Bias.  We are taking questions during the last 10 minutes of the program, but feel free to interact in the chat with myself, Elexia Bostic or LaMonica McDuffie, Loan Originators at New American.

From Pastor Letty Butler to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Hello Everyone!

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Andre M. Perry is a Senior Fellow with the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program, a scholar-in-residence at American University, and a columnist for the Hechinger Report. Perry is the author of the new book “Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities,” which is currently available wherever books are sold. A nationally known and respected commentator on race, structural inequality, and education, Perry is a regular contributor to MSNBC and has been published by The New York Times, The Nation, The Washington Post, TheRoot.com and CNN.com. Perry has also made appearances on CNN, PBS, National Public Radio, NBC, and ABC. Perry’s research focuses on race and structural inequality, education, and economic inclusion. Perry’s recent scholarship at Brookings has analyzed Black-majority cities and institutions in America, focusing on valuable assets worthy of increased investment.

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Greetings!  My name is LaMonica McDuffie.  I am a Loan Consultant, a member of the New American Dream Initiative and I consistently provide a 5-star experience for all of my homebuyers.  Over the last year I helped 72 families achieve their dream of homeownership. 


Our discussion today will cover Property Valuation and Appraisal Bias as it pertains to Black Homeownership.  We are taking questions during the last 10 minutes of the program, but feel free to interact in the chat with myself, Tiarra Hill, or Elexia Bostic.

From Me to All Panelists:  11:05 AM

Hello from Mary Cummins real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:06 AM

Jefferson L. Sherman, MAI, AI-GRS, of Highland Heights, Ohio, is the 2021 immediate past president of the Appraisal Institute. He also will continue to serve in 2021 on the Appraisal Institute’s Executive Committee and on its policy-setting Board of Directors, in addition to serving as National Nominating Committee chair. He served as the organization’s vice president in 2018 and as president-elect in 2019.

Sherman has served nationally on the Board of Directors, Finance Committee, Nominating Committee, Education Committee, International Relations Committee and Strategic Planning Committee (2017). He has served nearly continuously on the Region V committee since 1993, including many years as its parliamentarian. He also has served in chapter roles, including twice as an Appraisal Institute chapter president in Ohio, and has worked on two successful chapter merger teams. Sherman is principal of Sherman Valuation & Review, LLC, in Willoughby Hills, Ohio. He has taught courses for the Appraisal Institute since 1992 in 10 states and in Saudi Arabia. He also has served on two course development teams and was chief reviewer for the apartment appraisal course.

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:06 AM

Sherman has been a real estate professional for 45 years, including as a broker in Colorado and then in Michigan. His practice concentrates on the eminent domain field with emphasis on litigation review. He opened his original appraisal business, Johnson and Sherman, Inc., in Willoughby, Ohio, in 1990. The firm changed to Sherman-Andrzejczyk Group, Inc. in 2000 transitioning to Sherman Valuation & Review in 2019. During his years as a Realtor, he twice served as president of the Battle Creek (Michigan) Board of Realtors and was named Realtor of the Year in 1982.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:09 AM

Andre M. Perry is a Senior Fellow with the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program, a scholar-in-residence at American University, and a columnist for the Hechinger Report. Perry is the author of the new book “Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities,” which is currently available wherever books are sold. A nationally known and respected commentator on race, structural inequality, and education, Perry is a regular contributor to MSNBC and has been published by The New York Times, The Nation, The Washington Post, TheRoot.com and CNN.com. Perry has also made appearances on CNN, PBS, National Public Radio, NBC, and ABC. Perry’s research focuses on race and structural inequality, education, and economic inclusion. Perry’s recent scholarship at Brookings has analyzed Black-majority cities and institutions in America, focusing on valuable assets worthy of increased investment.

Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, Perry has documented the underlying causes for the outsized number of coronavirus-related deaths in Black communities. Perry’s Brookings research has illuminated how certain forms of social distancing historically accelerated economic and social disparities between Black people and the rest of the country. Perry also mapped racial inequities in housing, income, and health to underscore how policy discrimination makes Black Americans more vulnerable to COVID-19.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:09 AM

A native of Pittsburgh, Pa., Perry earned his Ph.D. in education policy and leadership from the University of Maryland College Park.

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:12 AM

Hello Sonia! Great question we will get an answer for you!

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:18 AM

Pamela Perry is vice president of equitable housing in the Single-Family Client and Community Engagement division. She focuses on increasing Freddie Mac’s thought leadership and impact to eradicate disparities in homeownership and expand wealth for Black American families, while creating solutions for communities of color more broadly. She also oversees Single-Family’s strategic innovation to support the organization’s mission to break through historical barriers to realizing a more equitable housing system for Black Americans.


Prior to this role, Ms. Perry was a senior associate general counsel in Freddie Mac’s Legal division. For nine years, she partnered with colleagues across Freddie Mac, regulators and housing advocates in promoting fair lending and access to credit for minority borrowers. 


Before Freddie Mac, she advised on solutions for complex transactions with firms such as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and the government of District of Columbia, where she served as deputy attorney general overseeing cou

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:20 AM

Dr. Andre Perry's work is published in his book: Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America's Black Cities. 

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:21 AM

The devaluation of assets in Black neighborhoods

The case of residential property https://www.brookings.edu/research/devaluation-of-assets-in-black-neighborhoods/

From Tony Panciera to Everyone:  11:22 AM

^Also, strong recommendation of Dr. Perry's Book: Know Your Price https://www.brookings.edu/book/know-your-price/

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:23 AM

Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities https://www.brookings.edu/book/know-your-price/

From Caitlin Green to Everyone:  11:24 AM

^I second or third that. A 2021 favorite read of mine.

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:24 AM

For Dr. Perry: 1. What is the difference between Value and Price?; 2.  Why don't buyers pay more in minority neighborhoods if 23% under priced? 3. Can appraisers require buyers to pay higher prices in minority neighborhoods? 4. What are your thoughts on Gentrification, where minorities complain that outsiders are running up prices in their neighborhoods and they can no longer afford to buy? 5. If appraisers over-value properties, and borrowers receive loans that exceed values, thereby reducing equity, is this a good thing for creating wealth?

From Susan Allen to Everyone:  11:30 AM

Can you please post or distribute a link to the Freddie research study Pam referenced? Thank you!

From roderick smith to Everyone:  11:31 AM

Will a copy of this recording be emailed out to attendees?

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:33 AM

The Freddie Mac study that Pam just referenced is not yet published since we are finalizing our research. Once it is published it will be available on our website at Freddiemac.com 

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:35 AM

1. How did you hear about this event?

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:36 AM

What other topics would you like to discuss pertaining to increasing Black Homeownership?

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:37 AM

Did you think the information shared today was useful?

From Astrid Taylor to Everyone:  11:39 AM

I would like to see how the credit scoring models may be biased and how mortgage lending can use alternative credit for qualification instead of relying solely on credit scores from the 3 credit bureaus.

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:40 AM

As a new  Trainee,  I am interested in concepts or traits  that  can increase the trust or relationship of homeowners, in particular,  black homeowners and appraisers.   In other words, where can a Trainee begin? 

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:41 AM

Can the inclusion of Census Tract Numbers in appraisal reports work against borrowers in minority neighborhoods?

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:41 AM

Have you had an adverse experience with an appraisal?  If so, please tell us about it.

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:42 AM

I work for Councilwoman Cherelle Parker in Philadelphia. In April, she held a hearing to examine the race gap in home appraisals and its impact on homeownership and wealth accumulation in Philadelphia. After the hearing, she has now created a local Task Force to further look at this issue. The Task Force will 1) gather data at the local level, and 2) make recommendations for the local, state, and federal levels. Are any of the panelists aware of other cities that are also looking at this issue? It would be great to connect with another city/other cities to share information/best practices.

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:48 AM

@Rachel Mead- would you be able to post  a link to read more about Councilwoman Cherelle Parker's

 initiative?

From angela holman to Everyone:  11:48 AM

Homes are currently overpriced despite the CMA's supporting these overpriced homes.  We have a bubble.  

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:48 AM

Please ask Dr. Perry to answer the questions posed to him

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:49 AM

@LaMonica - Re. this question: What other topics would you like to discuss pertaining to increasing Black Homeownership? Here are some answers: Addressing aging housing stock or housing stock that needs modernization (aka housing preservation), access to loans via private banks (Philly had to create a government program to address this issue), ensuring that heirs view the home as an asset and not a liability, tangled titles (aka estate planning), predatory lending, reverse mortgages, foreclosures, ensuring a healthy balance in neighborhoods between homeowners and renters, staving off an influx of investor-owned rental properties, assisting new homeowners with purchasing homes, and for some neighborhoods, the need for neighborhood-wide succession planning (some neighborhoods in Philly consist of primarily older homeowners who won’t be around in 10-15 years)

From Dean Zantow to Everyone:  11:49 AM

The appraisal body of knowledge addresses the social construct, as Jeff said, through the concept of Public Interest Value. Generally, the analysis of public interest value tends to be driven by social,  political, and public policy goals rather than economic principles. From the 15th Edition of the Appraisal of Real Estate. 

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:52 AM

@Charles Lowery - my email address is rachel.meadows@phila.gov

@Patricia Benavides - Here are some article’s re. Councilwoman Parker’s work:

https://whyy.org/articles/home-appraisals-drive-americas-racial-wealth-gap-95-of-phillys-appraisers-are-white/

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:52 AM

Did you think the information shared today was useful?

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:53 AM

https://whyy.org/articles/philly-council-moves-to-hold-hearings-on-race-gap-in-philadelphia-appraisals/

https://philly.metro.us/council-considers-racial-bias-in-home-appraisals/

From Me (Mary Cummins) to All Panelists:  11:56 AM (I also sent in the question ahead of time)

Question to Andre Perry: The data in your "Devaluation of Assets in Black Neighborhoods" report was derived from the median Zillow listing price per square foot and the American Community Survey ACS data. Both of those values come from the owner, seller of the property and not real estate appraisers. They're also not the sales price or "valuation" of the property.


At the June 20, 2019 House Finance Committee a Committee member asked the panel of  real estate appraisal experts and also you if they thought real estate appraisers whom you state are mainly white discriminate against black homeowners when appraising their homes. You were the only person who raised your hand stating that appraisers discriminate against black homeowners.


What evidence do you have which supports your claim that white real estate appraisers discriminated against black homeowners and devalued their homes in your report?

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:56 AM

@ Rachel Meadows-  THANK YOU  for the articles!!

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:57 AM

We have 75 questions posed to you all from attendees and we are trying to answer the trends but will get responses to everyone.

From Andre Perry  to Everyone:  11:57 AM

LaMonica McDuffie to Panelists and Attendees (2:57 PM)

We have 75 questions posed to you

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:57 AM

So if you don't see your answer immediately don't be alarmed!

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:57 AM

Brookings-Ashoka Challenge: https://challenge.economicarchitectureproject.org

From Kermiath McClendon to Everyone:  11:58 AM

^DOPE!

From Archie Emerson to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Great Job Everyone

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you all for attending.  You can watch the replay on FB at https://www.facebook.com/newamericandreamteam

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you for the conference- very informative!

From Andre Perry  to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you everyone: Stay in touch @andreperryedu

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Friday, June 18, 2021

False statement by President Joe Biden on home valuation and race - by Mary Cummins

Home Valuation is not related to race, President Joe Biden


SUMMARY: Joe Biden, HUD, Marcia Fudge repeatedly cite Andre Perry's paper on race and home values. Perry's paper is not published or peer reviewed researched. It's deeply flawed in its execution and analysis. Race is not related to home valuation. Socio-economic status is related to income which is related to race which is related to the value of a home bought by a POC. Blacks, POC make less money than whites. People buy the home they can afford. The value of those homes are not being reduced by appraisers, appraisals or AVMs. 

UPDATE: 03/26/2021 Here is a very well researched and written reply to Andre Perry's misleading paper. Perry conflates race with socio-economic status. SES is income, marital status, % single mothers with children under 18...) If you adjust for SES, the differences disappear. If you compare whites with low and high SES, the gap appears. This proves it's not a race issue. It's vitally important to know the real cause of the wealth gap between black and white so a proper solution can be applied. I've been stating that we need to fix the income gap to fix the wealth gap. Helping people with lower SES pay for a down payment won't help them down the line if they don't have enough income to easily make the mortgage payments. You just set them up for failure and bigger financial losses. This research is from Edward Pinto and Tobias Peter of from American Enterprise Institute (AEI).



This research brings up more flaws in Andre Perry's paper than I stated. Most importantly Perry intentionally did not include income stating it wouldn't affect the results. When income is included the value gap shrinks by half. Perry didn't include other important SES factors such as % single mother with children under 18. Everyone knows how expensive and difficult it is to work and raise young children as a single mother of any color. Perry also didn't include lot size, condition of neighborhood, condition of home, location next to natural amenities... I would bet Perry did this intentionally in order to show the results he desired. This is why his research was not published or peer reviewed. Thankfully AEI took it upon themselves to independently review the research. 

Interesting findings from their report.

"We find that with higher incomes, Black borrowers increasingly chose neighborhoods, in which the Black share of residents is lower." "If Black and White neighborhoods are identical in every aspect except for price and their racial makeup (as Perry et al. claim), then why are Black buyers not taking advantage of lower priced homes in Black neighborhoods? It must be that Black buyers understand that White neighborhoods do have more amenities and those who can do so are willing to forego the “cheaper” homes in Black neighborhoods in order to get those amenities."

"The Black homeownership (HO) rate is much lower than the White HO rate, but the difference
gets smaller as income grows. The HO rate for White or Black married households (HH) is
much higher than for unmarried White or Black HH."

"There is a big disparity by marital status between Blacks and Whites. Unmarried Black HH
comprise 70% of Black HH, and the vast majority are below area median income." Their research has also shown more integration, increased income among blacks.

"Diagnosing the causes of the home value gap, along with a recognition of
decreasing racial and ethnic segregation and increasing Socio-Economic Status
(SES) stratification, helps in the consideration of appropriate policy solutions that
will increase financial security and shrink the SES gap."

They offer some sound solutions at the end of the report.This is the type of real scientific fact based data that Joe Biden and HUD needs to see and use. Using Perry's report harms POC and will not help them. Perry is harming black people with his dishonest paper. 

11/08/2021 Farther below in this article it's proven that Andre Perry's "paper" about the value of white and black owned homes is based on major statistical errors. Perry compared the values of a very small sample of two intentionally extreme groups which Perry himself chose. Perry also did not control for the other variables especially location which we all know is the main contributor of value. There is no way to control for location. Perry also used Zillow data. Zillow stated they had a median error rate of 6.9% today and previously it was over 14%. Within the last week it was shown that Zillow's data is totally unreliable today. Zillow used their own data to buy and sell homes for profit or at least that was the plan. They ended up selling them for less than what they bought them. This proves Zillow's data which Andre Perry relied upon is deeply flawed. That makes his paper even more meaningless and worthless.

ORIGINAL: I'm glad that on June 17, 2021 President Joe Biden made Juneteenth a Federal holiday. It's been a holiday in most states including California for years. Unfortunately during that presentation President Joe Biden made a totally false statement about home valuation and race when he stated the following (sic),

"...it belongs to an aggressive effort to combat racial discrimination in housing. Finally address the cruel fact home owned to this day by a black American family is usually appraised at a low rate for a similar home owned by a white family in a similar area."


Someone repeated a misleading statement related to the misleading Brookings report to Joe Biden. A paper was written by Andre Perry who is promoting and selling a book on the subject. It's not peer reviewed research or a legitimate paper released by a University. The "report" misstates an alleged relationship between home valuation and race. The report only showed that all people of color including Latinos, Native Americans, Alaskans ... tend to buy and own less expensive homes in less expensive areas. The home values were determined from Zillow listing price robots who didn't see the homeowners or the homes. The values were list prices which are agreed upon by the homeowners and their own real estate agent and the homeowners estimate of value of their own homes. Real estate appraisers had nothing to do with the values. Race and color were not a factor in the calculation of home values. Perry doesn't say if these are active or off market listing prices. There is error in both prices but off market list prices has a much, much larger error making them meaningless. And again Zillow even states their Zestimates should never be considered an "appraisal" and are "no substitute for an appraisal." Perry also doesn't bother to mention that anyone can edit Zillow's data. I could go in there and say a home actually has ten bedrooms and not two. 

This article shows that Perry conflates race for socio-economic status. When adjusted for SES, the gap disappears. https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/comments-on-the-pave-report/ 

UPDATE: Yesterday July 15, 2021 Andre Perry stated that "media articles" appear to indicate that real estate appraisers low ball the value of homes owned by black people. He didn't say his research proved this. He inferred that "white staging" homes for real estate inspections seemed to show this. 

The mathematical formula used to determine value is the most common asset valuation formula used worldwide for thousands of years. That formula compares one item to another similar item. It's also called matched pairs analysis. Homes of the same size, bed/bath count, condition, amenities were compared to other similar homes which recently sold in the SAME EXACT AREA. Homes in certain geographical areas are worth less than others in more desirable geographical areas with different characteristics. The mathematical calculation has absolutely nothing to do with race or color. In this instance they used Zillow listing prices per square foot. All appraisers know the "a" in "Zillow" stands for "accuracy." Zillow "zestimates" are not accurate at all. They also used ACS data which is the value the actual homeowner thinks their own home is worth. 

A home in South Los Angeles is worth less than a home of the same size, condition and features in Beverly Hills. The main difference is the value of the land and not the house. Here in California the land makes up over 70% of the total value. A vacant lot in South Los Angeles is worth less than a vacant lot of the same size in Beverly Hills. Everyone knows home value is based on three main factors, i.e. location, location, location.

There is a correlation between all people of color, new immigrants, people who don't speak English, people with less education... and level of income and net financial worth. ALL OF THESE PEOPLE tend to have less income and a resulting lower net worth. Because they have less income and less financial worth they tend to buy less expensive homes which they can afford in less expensive areas. Andre Perry committed the main fatal statistical sin confusing correlation with causation. That makes his "report" totally meaningless and useless. There are even more grave errors in his analysis which will be examined below. 

In Andre Perry's paper he used the separate inaccurate Zillow home valuation listing prices per square foot and self reported home values from the American Community Survey. The ACS is sent to a sample of 3.5 million people in the nation in the mail. A response to their written questionnaire is mandatory but most people throw it away assuming it's junk or scam mail. All of the information is self reported including when the home was built, number of bedrooms, rooms... Here's a sample form. Based on my experience most homeowners don't know all of this information off the top of their head. They generally don't know what their home is worth today. I would not trust the results of the ACS to be accurate about real estate values or home characteristics. Perry refers to the ACS results as the Census results. The ACS is not part of the Census. 

Perry compared those values to the racial makeup of the areas at large. Again, Zillow valuations are not accurate and listing prices don't equal home valuations. Homes don't always sell for listing price. Perry used price only per square foot which is never used in appraising because it's not accurate for home valuation. We weight comparable home sales based on similarities. Self reported home values are also very inaccurate. 

UPDATE: 07/30/2021 July 29, 2021 Andre Perry was on a panel talking about this issue. He stated, 

"Appraisers have the freedom to discriminate. In the price comparison approach they compare homes in area to another in the same area. If you only compare homes in a discriminated area to the same area, discrimination continues. There are multiple ways to arrive at value. We look across metropolitan areas instead of just the same neighborhood to get our values."

This proves that Perry knowingly compared different areas to each other. Perry only looked at 113/384 metropolitan areas which he chose based on his % black limit. Of course different areas would have different values. Everyone knows the main factor in value is location, location, location. Perry didn't control for location because it's impossible. If all the areas were truly similar, they would have had the same values. Perry basically admitted his research was flawed. UPDATE

Perry allegedly compared the values of alleged "similar" homes in "primarily black" areas to the same in "primarily white" areas. He claims the homes and neighborhoods had the exact same characteristics except for color of homeowner. Perry alone made that determination based on no real science. He ended up comparing 10% of all homes which he stated are in "primarily black" areas to an even smaller percentage of homes which he stated are in "primarily white" areas. The "primarily white" areas have 0-1% black people. He doesn't even bother to state the racial makeup of the 99-100%. Are they white Latinos, Asians, light Native Americans...? We don't know. Perry then took that data and extrapolated, stated it represented the entire USA. Let's look closer at the groups he compared. 

Perry stated an area was "primarily black" if 50% or more of the population identify as "black." He compared that to an area with less than 1% black residents. Perry actually stated zero black residents in the report. How many places have zero black people? I find it hard to believe they are any unless they are very tiny towns in the middle of nowhere. Perry clearly intentionally chose two very extreme comparison groups in order to create the most extreme statistics possible to fit his preconceived "results." That would be like comparing only very tall people to very short people to see if there's a difference in their lives. Of course there will be a difference. This is clearly an example of "garbage in, garbage out" i.e. GIGO statistics. Perry actually stated the areas that are "primarily black" are "more segregated." If you are looking at an area that is 50% plus black of course it's more segregated. 

Below is Table 2 from the report for comment. It shows the 10 metropolitan areas with the largest and smallest differences in the value of homes. Notice how widely the home "values" range in only the 99%+ white areas. What is causing the wide range of values in the white only area? It's not black people. The values range from $61,000 to $783,000. The same is evidence in the mainly black areas with a range $59,000 to $403,000. Perry stated he controlled for all factors except black or white skin color yet the "same homes with same amenities" are worth very different values in different areas. Could it be that there are other factors involved besides skin color? Maybe it's the location.  


Here is Table 6, the 10 metropolitan areas with the most and least devaluation of homes. The ones with the most alleged devaluation due to black skin color are depressed areas. Some neighborhoods in Detroit, Michigan? The city is auctioning off vacant homes for $1,000 just so they don't have to demolish them. I would bet that people who could afford to leave those specific neighborhoods left. Those that couldn't are still there. 

Per the chart, "Devaluation measure estimates median list price per sq foot after adjusting for home and neighborhood quality." We still don't know exactly how the home and neighborhood qualities were derived. Perry doesn't show the math. 
Perry has now added an "anti black sentiment index" from Stephens-Davidowitz. The "paper" is a New York Times op-ed opinion piece (pay wall). It's not peer reviewed research. Anyone can write an op-ed piece. The paper is based on "the percent of Google search queries that include racially charged language." The author Seth Stephens-Davidowitz then compared the search results to Obama's votes. His conclusion was anti black sentiment cost Obama 4% in votes in 2008 and 2012. Obama won. Did Obama win in spite of this or maybe he won because people wanted a black President and he was extremely well qualified? Perry is not only cherry picking his groups for comparisons but also his reference material. 

How much of the US fell into only those two very specific small categories of 50%+ black verses 0-1% white? Perry states that 10% of the US falls into the category of "primarily black." An analysis of only 10% of the country does not represent the entire country, see Perry's map below. Per the map this 10% appears to only be in the East and a little in the South. This is still only the percentage of the population living in the specific area and not the percentage of all black homeowners in that area or the entire country. Most homes in less wealthy areas which tend to have more people of color are actually owned by white investors or large public and private corporations. Perry then compared those values to areas with only 1% black people. Again, that would be a very small group for comparison. Of course it will show differences when you intentionally choose two very small and  extremely different groups for comparison. This is very misleading statistical analysis. It's as bad as any Fox News "statistics" or poll.


 

What about the white, red, yellow person who lives next door to the black person in an identical home in the "primarily black" area? What about the other <50% in the area who are not black? From Perry's report "Though most residents are Black (because he chose 51%+ black areas)(14.4 million non-Hispanic Blacks) by definition, approximately 5 million non-Black Americans live in majority Black neighborhoods." The 5 million non-Black person's home is worth exactly the same as the black person's if it's the same size and condition. The white person's home value is not "caused" by being black because they're not black. They're white or other. The home was not "devalued" or valued by black skin color of the homeowner.

If you actually read the 28 page report, Perry out of one side of his mouth admits "Majority
black neighborhoods do exhibit features associated with lower property values, including higher crime rates, longer commute times, and less access to high-scoring schools and well-rated restaurants." He then states that only explains half of the alleged devaluation of homes. Those are just the characteristics of poorer areas in general. I live in a high crime area in Los Angeles, California with poor schools. It's 80% Latino. The homes are valued less here but it's not because of black homeowners. 

Perry goes on to say there is a "significant correlation between the devaluation of homes in black neighborhoods and upward mobility of black children in metropolitan areas with majority black neighborhoods." The real correlation is any and all children living in poorer areas will find upward mobility very difficult. It has to do with more than just the value of the homes in the area. It has to do with the people being poorer. Homes in poor areas are just worth less. One should also note that most people living in poorer areas don't even own a home. They're renters in poor areas. That's the main reason it's difficult to move up the ladder. 

Here is another example of poor data used. Perry used the EPA walkability index to determine if an area had amenities such as "access to shopping, jobs and schools." This is how he compared areas with the "same amenities." The EPA index only shows the "suitability for walking as a means of travel." It doesn't show if there are lots of great local shops, cafes, great high paying jobs or great schools. It just shows if you can walk to the bus stop to take the bus to your job, school or store. Two homes with the same walk score can be worth very different amounts. Walk score does not equal value. In poor areas there are few grocery stores, retail chain stores or shopping malls. The reason is high crime, theft, higher insurance rates, higher expenses and less projected net profits which keep major chain stores away. Most people in poorer areas don't have cars. They can't just drive to the next city to go shopping or escape from hurricane Katrina. More info on the walkability analysis here

I remember the Los Angeles Rodney King riots. There were a few chain stores there like Payless Shoes. They were looted along with many other stores then burned to the ground. They didn't reopen. The area is still a grocery store desert. There are only liquor stores and a few non-chain fast food restaurants in the better pockets of the area near the freeway on ramps. I appraise in these areas. This is a huge issue in Los Angeles. 

Here is yet another example of Perry selectively using statistics. He states there is a correlation between a high number of violent crimes, black areas and reduced valuations. He also stated there is a correlation between high number of property crimes in high valuation non black areas. For that reason he only included violent crimes in his analysis of black areas. Then he didn't really include "crime" in his analysis. His "conclusion" is crime doesn't explain the devaluation of homes in primarily black areas. That's actually the opposite of what he said in another section of his report. A high violent crime area does explain a lower home valuation area. That's why all the home sites include the crime statistics. I would not live in a high crime area if I could afford to live elsewhere. 

On top of the useless statistics Perry then used the results of his limited analysis to extrapolate devaluation to 113 other metropolitan areas if they had at least one majority black area. He took very bad math from a few small extreme areas to state that many other areas he did not analyze have his same preconceived results. Andre Perry's entire paper should be dismissed because of the intentionally misleading statistics used to fit Perry's personal agenda to sell his book.

One more ridiculous comparison. Someone with less money will buy a less expensive car which they can afford. People of color tend to have less money as do some others who are not of color. Kelly Blue Book uses a computer program to calculate the value of your car. You type in make, model, year, mileage, condition and it tells you what it's worth. They will tell you the value of a Rolls Royce or a Ford Escort. They don't know the color of the person typing in the information. Is Kelly Blue Book "intentionally devaluing" cars owned by black people when they tell the owner of a 1990 Ford Escort that their car is worth less than a 2020 Rolls Royce? No. Real estate robot appraisals are the same. Actual appraisers follow the same mathematical formula as the robot appraisals. Land in Beverly Hills is the Rolls Royce of land and worth more than land in South Los Angeles. It's perceivable that all homes in less desirable areas could be worth $48,000 less than homes in more desirable areas per Perry's report.

A last thing to consider is that people who own homes in less expensive areas paid less for the homes originally compared to homes in more expensive areas. They bought a home they could afford. When they go to sell that home they will sell it for the same price as a similar home in the area which is market value. If they bought a home in South LA, it will sell for less than a home in Beverly Hills. Did someone "devalue" or "steal" the difference in price between their home and a home in Beverly Hills? No homes were "devalued" by $48,000 by robot appraisals, appraisers or anyone. 

Andre Perry has done very poor biased research. The report is therefore meaningless. Perry is guilty of using misleading statistics and data to prove his preconceived bias that black homes are devalued compared to white homes only because they are owned by black people. Perry used small extremely biased sample sizes. He organized the data to omit any findings that contradict the result he tried to prove. He manipulated the results to influence perception through misleading graphs and visuals. He used faulty correlations and causations to create false statistics. He committed every single statistical sin in the book. The Brookings Institute should retract his report. 

At the June 20, 2019 House Finance Committee meeting Andre Perry spoke about the alleged devaluation of black owned homes. There were real estate appraisal industry experts at the meeting. I watched the meeting and took notes, see above link. When the speakers were asked by a Committee member if they thought appraisers discriminate against black people in arriving at their home's value Perry was the only person who raised his hand in a room of real estate valuation experts. Perry was the only non expert in the room. 

Perry clearly does not understand real estate valuation. He is trying to use his report full of bad statistics to state that racist appraisers intentionally devalue the homes of black people by $48,000. He stated that in the Committee meeting. He stated the purpose of the report was to give "Black homeowners and policymakers a target price for redress." Oddly enough in the meeting Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib stated that the government should just add $48,000 to the value of all black people's homes. One doesn't have to be a real estate appraiser to realize how ridiculous that would be. What about the white person who has an identical home next door that's worth the same? Does he also get $48,000?

If Joe Biden or anyone wants to tackle the real issue of the correlation between people of color and income, net worth, they need to deal with those issues.The issue is most people with less income and money are people of color including many other colors and races other than black. Those issues have nothing to do with robot home appraisal analysis or home appraisers. They would need to make sure everyone makes the same amount of money regardless of any other factor. Until that happens all people with less money will buy and own less expensive homes in less expensive areas. People with no money won't buy or own any home at all. Most people in the US don't even own a home. Some don't even rent a house but maybe rent a tiny apartment or else they're homeless. Don't forget about those people.

The point of this article was to analyze the Brookings report and prove Joe Biden's statement incorrect. No one should ever rely on this misleading report. The media and others today have been stating that white real estate appraisers are intentionally appraising homes owned by black people lower than market value because all appraisers are white racists. No appraiser appraised any home in the report. The alleged valuations came from misleading computer analyzed Zillow listing prices per square foot and the ACS which uses self reported home values from the homeowner. Any low balling would therefore be caused by Zillow or the homeowner. 

These attacks on appraisers must stop. While racism certainly exists and there are racist appraisers not all appraisers are racists who devalue homes owned by black people. Most of us are hard working appraisers who always provide the best appraisal possible which complies with all the laws for everyone and anyone. 

* I'm a Democrat and voted for Joe Biden. I just disagree with Biden on this specific issue. I believe he was given an incorrect talking point. I'm also a Latino real estate appraiser. I appraise in primarily lower income areas which are mainly POC. I live in a lower income, high crime, very mixed area in South Los Angeles. 

** I went to the University of Southern California. I took statistics and a graduate class in research as an undergraduate. My research was selected by two Psychology faculty members to present at the Western Psychology Conference for Undergraduate Research at the University of Santa Clara in 1984.  The subject of my research was Classical Conditioning as a Factor in Response Bias. I used chi-square tests on my data. My Faculty Sponsor was Herm Turk. I do know a thing or two about statistics and research. 

___________________

References



Perry, Andre M. (2020). Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black
Cities. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press


Sweeney, Maureen (2019). Is Race Baked into Big Data?  My Letter to Housing SubCommittee.


Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Thursday, June 10, 2021

Race and Racism in Real Estate Appraisals - Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Appraisal, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser, appraisal, Los Angeles, California, racism in real estate, race, racism, diversity, discrimination
Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser, appraisal, Los Angeles, California, racism in real estate, race, racism, diversity, discrimination

I just read an article about racism in the real estate appraisal industry. I'm not going to link to it because it's so misleading. The author who is not an appraiser or in the industry stated that because most real estate appraisers are white per one poll that means the real estate appraisal industry is "racist" against Black people. According to the same Appraisal Institute poll they cited most real estate appraisers are male, i.e. 77% vs. 21% female, when females make up 50.8% of the population. Does that mean all male real estate appraisers are misogynists who will appraise women's homes for less than men's homes? Obviously not. That's as ridiculous as the article I just read.

A very important thing to note is the disclaimer in the Appraisal Institute race chart, i.e. "U.S. appraiser population statistics were derived from the ASC National Registry as of Dec. 31, 2018. Additional demographic statistics were derived from Appraisal Institute studies conducted in 2016-2019 that were comprised of randomly selected AI and non-AI real estate valuation professionals. In Q1 2019, the Appraisal Institute invited 15,600 valuation professionals, resulting in 750 responses."

Appraisers in the ASC National Registry are only "State certified and licensed appraisers who are eligible to perform appraisals in federally related transactions." We're talking a small subset of all appraisers in the US. This is not all appraisers in the US. The results don't reflect the racial diversity of all appraisers in the US. It probably represents more successful, wealthier appraisers who are generally white men.

Appraisers in the Appraisal Institute are a even smaller subset of long time, wealthy, successful appraisers. The reason is because it costs a lot of money to become an AI appraiser. We're talking at least $15,000. It costs $370 just to join the group without even being an AI appraiser. These people are even more wealthy than ASC appraisers. They're more likely to be white men.

The appraisers they questioned for their poll on races of appraisers is clearly biased. They only asked wealthier appraisers. We do know that wealth correlates positively with the male sex and being "white." That means poorer people, women, Blacks, Latinos, new immigrants....were most likely excluded. Of course the results would show that most appraisers are white men. 

Below is a chart of race % of nation per US census, real estate appraisers per appraisal institute and real estate agents. 



Let's get to the AI race numbers anyway. Per the Appraisal Institute based on answers to a question on "race," the responses were as follows for licensed real estate appraisers: 

Hispanic/Latino 4.3%
American Indian/Alaska Native .4
Asian 1.1
Black or African American 1.3
Caucasian or White 85.4
Multiracial .7
Prefer not to say 5.1
Other 1.7
Total 100%

Per the US most recent US Census, the responses were as follows. Keep in mind that this represents ALL people including babies, children, retired people, disabled, incarcerated, criminals convicted of finance crimes, people in comas... people who can't be appraisers. It does not represent all the people who could physically, legally, technically be real estate appraisers. Such a subset would more likely be white men based on wealth and income.

Hispanic/Latino, alone, percent 18.5%
American Indian/Alaska Native 1.3
Asian 5.9
Black or African American, alone, percent 13.4
Caucasian or White, alone, percent 76.3
Multiracial, percent 2.8
White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, 60.1
No prefer not to say category
No other category

Total = over 100% because of multiracial and multiple categories

We're not really comparing apples to apples here because of multiple categories including "prefer not to say" and the fact that it includes all people in the US. The population sample of appraisers was also highly skewed because of the limited appraisers they questioned. There still could be more white real estate appraisers than in the general population. In this instance someone tried to state that means appraisers are racist against Black people. Oddly enough people haven't said the same thing about real estate agents. I only see articles about appraisers. Let's look at those numbers and see how they compare. 

White  74.2%
Hispanic or Latino 12.3%
Asian 6.4%
Black or African American  5.0%
Unknown 1.8%
American Indian and Alaska Native 0.3%

Those numbers look pretty similar. They also look pretty similar to the population as a whole. There are more white people in the US than Latinos, Blacks, Asians. Does this automatically mean all white people are racists against Blacks? Of course not. The racial makeup of a population does not mean one race is racist against another specific race. There are also fewer Latinos, Asians, American Indians... They are not the ones specifically complaining today. 

Don't get me wrong. Racism definitely exists in the US. It's a huge problem. More Black people are murdered by police. More Black people are in jail. More Black people are falsely convicted of crimes. There definitely are appraisers who are racist just like in all other professions. My issue here is articles stating that because most appraisers are white similar to the US population as a whole means they definitely are racist toward Black people and intentionally low balling their appraisals. 

Based on experience the real reason people right now are yelling racism in real estate appraisals is because buyers are not getting their loans approved for purchases and are unable to make up the difference in cash. The same goes with refinances. Properties are not just selling over list. They are going under contract over the price of the highest sales in the area for similar homes. Appraisers can't appraise a home for higher than the highest similar closed sale. A similar home is +/- 15% size, within last three months, within a 1/2 mile radius, with same condition/upgrades, amenities (e.g. pool, 2 garages)... The appraiser must use the "most similar" comparables. We must bracket size and amenities. The lender made that requirement. Not the appraiser. We are just following orders and a mathematical formula. Buyers are being forced to make up any difference between the contract and the maximum loan allowed in cash. Black, white, brown ... people are all having their appraisals come in lower than they desired. It's not race specific. In 2019 Fannie Mae stated home appraisals came in low 8% of the time. Today it's over 20% of the time. This affects everyone.

Buyers, homeowners don't seem to understand the purpose of a real estate appraisal in the home buying process. If you want to pay 100% cash for a property, you don't need an appraisal. Pay whatever you like. If you want to make a down payment and have a loan, you need an appraisal to get the loan. The real estate appraiser works for the lender and not the seller, buyer or borrower. The lender is willing to loan a certain loan to value ratio (amount of loan / value of property) on property for a borrower with good credit, steady job, assets, cash, investments and a down payment. The purpose is to make sure that if the owner can't make the loan payment for whatever reason that the lender can foreclose and sell the property for enough money to cover the loan balance and all costs. 

The real estate agent is involved in the same transaction yet people aren't calling them racist. The racial makeup of real estate agents is about the same as appraisers. They are going after the appraiser even though it's the lender who is denying the loan. They could pay the difference in cash but they either can't or don't want to. They would call the lender racist but there is no one individual that represents the lender. It's easier to attack the appraiser who has a name and a face so that is what they're doing. 

If Black people want more Black appraisers to feel better represented, they need to become appraisers. If they are having a problem finding a mentor to get their hours, Black appraisers should form an organization to mentor and support Black trainees. Then Black people should only hire Black appraisers to support them financially. The problem finding a mentor has nothing to do with color. It has to do with the difficult trainee process. One article blamed the problem on white people which is totally false. ALL trainees have the same problem finding a mentor. I actually wanted to start a program to help new appraisers and mentor Latinos and Black people. When I found out how much time, money and hassles it would cost me, I changed my mind. Here's an article I wrote about the mentorship issues. 

FWIW I'm Latino and speak Spanish. I appraise properties in lower priced Black, Latino areas. I understand the issues as they relate to value. 

If your loan is denied because of an appraisal value, here's an article I wrote on how to appeal the appraisal. 

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Redlining in home loan financing - Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Los Angeles, California


UPDATE: 08/12/2023 AEI just posted an op-ed about redlining. It stated only 20% of people living in redlined areas at the time were black owners. I previously stated most who owned property in redlined areas were white. Now we know it was 80% which proves my point with research. Whites were primarily negatively affected by redlining because whites owned the property. This proves that blacks were not the target or "victim" of redlining.

This also shows that blacks and others were pushed into these areas because they were cheaper to rent. That is why they were drawn to those areas. No one corralled them into these areas. Poor whites, Latinos, newer immigrants were also in these same areas for the same reasons. Redlining did not cause the areas to deteriorate.

“Our results suggest that racial bias in the construction of the HOLC maps can explain at most 4 to 20 percent of the observed concentration of Black households in the lowest-rated zones. Instead, our results suggest that the majority of Black households were located in such zones because decades of disadvantage and discrimination had already pushed them into the core of economically distressed neighborhoods prior to the federal government’s involvement in mortgage markets.”

Redlining did not keep black people from owning homes. "However, there was a robust growth of black home ownership during the postwar era; continuously increasing from 21% in 1940 to 54% by 1980."

Another point is the condition of the homes in primarily black owned areas. They previously were middle class white areas which experienced deterioration and decline which is a natural real estate cycle. This made the properties cheaper and blacks and others were more easily able to afford to rent them. Some even owned them. Redlining didn't cause this. It's just a real estate cycle which happens all over the world. Blacks, Latinos ended up reaping the benefit of buying the depreciated homes when the areas went through the revitalization stage and greatly increased in value. They sold the properties at a large profit.

"Unlike the Oliver-Shapiro assertion that “their homes and communities deteriorated and lost value,” many of these black neighborhoods were previously upper-middle class ones. This filtering down housing process provided a financial foundation for many black families. And when the professional classes chose to repopulate some of these neighborhoods, black homeowners, including Washington DC’s Shaw district, reaped the gains from further housing appreciation."

Another interesting point is the wealth gap between whites and blacks. It's not caused by the median or average family wealth differences. It's mainly caused by the upper class wealth. I would bet that most of the overall wealth gap is driven by the 5% most wealthy people who are white. If you removed people worth over $5,000,000, the wealth gap would shrink immensely. It's probably the billionaires driving most of the wealth gap.

"The left-wing blogger Matt Bruenig found that if black households in the lower half of their distribution had their wealth raised to be exactly the same as white households in their lower half, the overall racial wealth gap would be reduced by just 3 percent. As a result, he concluded, “What this shows is that 97 percent of the overall racial wealth gap is driven by households above the median of each racial group.” Indeed, over two-thirds of racial gap reflects the differences in assets held by the top ten percent of households in each group. Class, not race is the major driver of wealth inequality. "

Another reason for the wealth gap is the difference in family structure. Couples have more money than single people.

"To be sure, racial disparities in home ownership rates persist. But a significant share can be explained by family structure. In 2022, overall black homeownership was 44 percent; but for married couples it was 64 percent, virtually the same as the overall white homeownership rate. "


ORIGINAL: Redlining - Definition: To refuse (a loan or insurance) to someone because they live in an area deemed to be a poor financial risk.
The National Housing Act of 1934 created the Federal Housing Administration FHA to help revive the US economy after the Great Depression. The purpose of the FHA was to provide affordable loans so people could buy homes. Private lenders would make the loans and the federal government would insure them for losses. The new loans would have lower down payments, smaller monthly payments and were more affordable.
President Roosevelt's New Deal created the Home Owners Loan Corporation to help process the home loans. "To facilitate private investment through the FHA, the HOLC, and the Federal Home Loan Board Bank (FHLBB), the federal government crafted a national set of standards for assessing mortgage risk. Through its 1935 City Survey Program, the HOLC gathered data about neighborhoods from approximately 239 cities and compiled the results into a rating system ranging from A to D. Communities with A ratings represented the best investments for homeowners and banks alike; B, neighborhoods that were still desirable, C, those in decline, and D, areas considered hazardous. "A" communities generally had access to better amenities such as better schools, parks, shopping, transportation and were therefore more desirable. "D" communities generally were located near less desirable features such as industrial properties and they had fewer and lower quality amenities." To visually capture these rankings, the HOLC then turned these ratings into color-coded maps, using green for A, blue for B, yellow for C, and red for D – the origin of the term “redlining.”

Many researchers have stated the HOLC maps were more a consequence of existing ordinary and discriminatory lending practices as opposed to being a cause for them. Still, the spatial isolation could make it a self-fulfilling prophecy over time. Many have stated the ratings were just a description of the current state of the real estate cycle for each neighborhood. A "D" area could be revitalized, redeveloped into a "B" area. If that area improved with the addition of more public transportation, parks, schools, shopping, it could become an "A" area. This is what has happened in downtown Los Angeles and other areas such as Boyle Heights which some refer to as gentrification. Areas which were in a then D zone are now a B zone. The reverse has also happened. Some areas which were B are now D. Real estate risk constantly changes.

Others have shown how the HOLC grades were more a function of factors such as housing condition, residential density, and housing type, as opposed to solely ethnic and racial composition. If the ethnic and racial compositions were not included in the maps, it would not have affected their accuracy in determining loan risk. Over time some of these ratings became more associated with race and immigration status than unbiased risk. The term "red zone" ended up having a connotation of POC, immigrants living in poor areas. Generally poorer people, people of color and immigrants lived in the C, D areas because it was less expensive. Over time the redlining caused less investment in C, D areas and more in A, B areas causing a greater divide between the areas. As people were pushed out of more expensive A, B areas and into C, D areas, those areas became A, B areas.

It must be noted that the actual HOLC maps never stated "D is a black area" or "D is an immigrant area." There were worksheets prepared by individuals which were used to determine the risk of each specific area. Those worksheets included many factors and descriptions including the following from top to bottom (see worksheet for an area of Los Angeles below), population, class and occupation, nationalities, income, sometimes "negro" %, building type, size, age, condition, owner/tenant % occupancy, home price bracket, sales demand, predicted price trend, sales demand, new construction, rate of sale of new construction, overhang of HOLC properties, description and characteristic of area. It's important to note that the maps only covered 239 cities. We have 108,000 cities in the US. The entire US was never mapped. Only .2% of cities were mapped, 1/5th of 1%. It's clearly impossible for the mapping of only .2% to affect all cities today.

Today in real estate appraisal and analysis we use all of the above factors except race and nationality. It's a violation of the Fair Housing Act to consider or mention race or nationality because it would be discrimination. All of the other factors are good indicators of value and trends. Now the US Census does include race and whether or not someone is "foreign born." The census has nothing to do with real estate sales or loans. It's a population study.

That said the areas ended up correlating with higher populations of POC, immigrants and poor people based on affordability. There is a direct correlation between income and POC. Whites make more than Latinos and Blacks. People with more money buy more expensive homes in more expensive areas. If the government wants to correct the wealth gap, they need to fix the income gap. Appraisers can't do it. If one were to note today property in the four distinct phases or life cycles of real estate, one would probably find a higher percentage of POC, immigrants and poor people in those same areas because hazardous, run down, less desirable areas have lower rent and less expensive homes to buy. In some areas, it's all poor white people. The correlation is income and wealth. People buy or rent what they can afford based on their income. Wealth is tied to income. Race correlates with income. The correlation is NOT race = home valuation. The causation is income.
The Fair Housing Act of 1968 made redlining due to race illegal. It became "unlawful to discriminate in the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale of a dwelling because of race or national origin." A bank could no longer refuse to make loans in certain areas based on those specific factors. Banks can only refuse loans based on the credit, credit history, income, assets, debts, expenses of the buyer, borrower. Those were the only factors that ever mattered in relation to risk anyway.

I am using this example below because it specifically mentions race, nationalities. Not all of the worksheets noted it. It was up to the individual filling in the form. The race, nationality had no effect on the rating. It was just reporting. They could have omitted it and ratings would have been the same. We know that race, immigrant status, being poor correlated with the lower C and D ratings because they correlated with lower income, lower net financial worth, lower credit ratings which affects affordability. This is not to say one caused the other. This is just to aid in the explanation of what "redlining" was.


Another important thing to consider is most people in the "redlined" areas were renters. Generally these areas are 80% tenants. The people who owned the property were mainly white. White property owners were the ones being denied loans or charged more for the loans. POC property owners were in the minority but they were also denied loans or charged more. And again this is only for government backed loans. People still got loans on the properties from sub prime lenders. We still have sub prime lenders today who do riskier loans. Those riskier loans are for riskier borrows or properties. A risky borrower has little cash, poor credit, lots of debt, shorter confirmed work history, undocumented work history, little income showing on tax returns, income only from retirement funds or investment property... A risky property is located in a wildfire area, higher risk flood zone, lava zone, tornado zone, next to river/ocean/lake, landslide area, on an earthquake fault, condo development with a major lawsuit, condo development with insufficient repair funds, older property, property not in average condition, property that needs seismic word, property with tenants that refuse to move, property that is behind on property taxes... Notice all these risk factors have nothing to do with race or color. These are just loan risk factors. Any safe bank would consider all of these risk factors especially if they are offering and reselling government backed loans.

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


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