Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Showing posts with label real estate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label real estate. Show all posts

Thursday, October 13, 2022

FREE TACOS with Purchase of Real Estate Appraisal! Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

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FREE TACOS   with purchase of real estate appraisal,
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When times are tough the tough get tacos! Two more days left in Hispanic Heritage Month. I'm Latino and speak Spanish. Ven por tacos! Joking not joking ;-) Cummins Real Estate Services #tacos #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #losangeles #california #marycummins 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, June 26, 2022

Wealth gap, income gap, home value gap, race, gender, marital status and Roe v Wade by Mary Cummins

Research has unequivocally shown there is an income and wealth gap between whites and blacks, Latinos. This is why homes owned by white people are worth more than homes owned by blacks, Latinos. People buy the homes they can afford and whites can afford to buy more expensive homes. Appraisers aren't appraising them differently. 

We also know there is a wealth, income gap among men and women, married verses single and especially single mothers with children under 18. Research has also shown that poor, black, Latino women were more likely to get abortions than white women. https://abc7.com/abortion-cdc-data-women/11815941/ 

The reversal of Roe v Wade forcing poor women especially of color to have babies is just going to make the wealth, income gap that much worse. It's also going to cost the states money in welfare, Section 8 housing, Medicare, EBT.... I don't think the GOP really thought about the repercussions of banning abortions. White Supremacists who tow the GOP line including anti-abortion will only have themselves to blame when POC actually do replace them via a higher birth rate. That's already happening but banning abortions will make it happen faster. 

Here's a great article to share with lots of pictures for those who don't care to read.

https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/23182150/abortion-rights-economic-justice

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Thursday, June 23, 2022

Alleged Appraisal Overvaluation in Sales Comparison Approach review by Mary Cummins Appraiser


This paper came out in 2017 but is making the rounds again today. The authors believe they found evidence of appraisal overvaluation in the sales comparison approach in appraisals in 2015 and 2016. I read the article and replied below. Directly below is their summary. 

"Abstract Home appraisal came under scrutiny for contributing to the home-price bubble and enabling the origination of risky mortgages that led to the post-2006 foreclosure crisis. Subsequent regulations tried to minimize or eliminate conflicts of interest and improve valuations. Nonetheless, our study of appraisals completed in 2015 and 2016 find that appraisal bias still occurred. Our analysis delves into the underlying appraisal development to identify causes of appraisal bias. Contributing factors are that comps are generally higher valued than the subject property, and appraisers are more likely to comparatively adjust upward lower priced comps but less likely to adjust downward higher priced comps. KEYWORDS housing price determination, residential appraisal"

"Using a large sample of appraisals ordered to underwrite purchase-money loan applications in 2015 and 2016, we find that about 69% of comps were represented by transactions valued at more than the subject property. After controlling for the availability of market transactions and a variety of loan and property characteristics, we continue to find a greater likelihood of selecting more expensive comps."

https://millersamuel.com/files/2022/06/AppraiserOvervaluation.pdf

My reply: The first issue to consider is 2015 and 2016 markets were increasing in value. It makes sense there would be more higher than lower priced comps available. In a decreasing market you would probably see the opposite. 

The second issue is lenders, AMC, underwriters demand that the subject size, bed/bath count and main amenities are bracketed with comps currently listed, pending or sold within three months of the appraisal. Three sold, one pending and one listed comps are mandatory. If you intentionally select properties which are larger and have more bed, baths than subject, they will most likely have sold for a higher price than subject. Sometimes you can bracket size with one comp but need another to bracket bed/bath count. This means you have potentially two out of the three or 66% sold comps which will be, must be superior to subject by design. You still need a comp or comps that bracket the lower end of size, bed/bath count... 

The third issue is supply and demand. How many months of housing supply were available at the time? Was it similar to 2020/2021 where there weren't enough homes available for sale so most properties sold instantly over market? There's no box in the grid to adjust for that. 

The fourth issue is there were many developer flips during this time. The properties were bought low, improved with new kitchen, baths, paint, landscaping...then sold higher. Of course they could be in better condition all around than subject if the subject wasn't also a speculator flip. 

The fifth issue is home attributes which affect value that are not covered by the adjusted factors in the grid or cannot be exactly measured. Those attributes could be curb appeal, staging, marketing, landscaping, superior architect, superior design/remodel, superior layout, custom lot shape, specific superior view, upgraded non line item features... We can only include adjustments which we make using matched pair statistical analysis using math. It's not always possible to extract a value for staging, marketing, landscaping, upgraded non line item features, three tone paint, superior layout, distinct view... 

The writers' conclusion below,

"Our evidence of calibration bias, although helpful to understand appraisal overvaluation, cannot answer the question of how it occurs without further research into the development of calibrated values. To that end, a hedonic pricing model can be a helpful tool to assess the accuracy of a price adjustment associated with a given property attribute or amenity while also ensuring consistency and accuracy in the aggregate. Incorporating hedonic pricing techniques into appraisal development is limited. Given the amount of detailed property information and modeling technology that are available today, the appraisal practice could benefit from employing data-driven analytics to help assess appraisal accuracy in an efficient and quantifiable manner. Future research in this direction can develop a better understanding of the underlying appraisal valuation process."

I'm glad they admitted they don't know how the alleged "over valuation" occurred. Maybe there was no overvaluation. Maybe it was the result of what I stated above or maybe it was something else. Would have been nice to do the same in a decreasing market for comparison. While data-driven analysis is always good you will still need a human to appraise real estate, homes for now because humans are the ones buying, paying for and owning them. The contract price is based on the human's level of desire for the property.

There are some things a human can see, find valuable that an AVM robot or statistics cannot. For example a Mercedes is worth more than another similar car because it has a superior design and is more appealing to the eye and market. So is a Louis Vuitton, Gucci, Chanel purse for the same reasons. Kelly Blue Book values and company sales records are the proof of this. The items are generally made out of the same amount of similar materials yet one is worth more than the other. Design, appeal, every factor in market reaction can't be easily calculated in a form appraisal.  

Citation: Mayer YG, Nothaft FE. Appraisal overvaluation: Evidence of price adjustment bias in sales comparisons. Real Estate Economics. 2022;50:;862–881. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12351

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Monday, May 9, 2022

California Balcony Bills SB 721, SB 326 Inspections Due January 2025, by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

balcony bill, sb 721, mary cummins, real estate, appraiser, los angeles, california, repair, inspection, 2025, permit, building, safety,Wikipedia. 

The California Balcony Bill SB 721 passed in 2018. All building owners of three multifamily units or more with balconies or decks must be inspected by a professional by January 1, 2025. Subsequent inspections will be every six years. Any repairs must be made by a professional with permits. The purpose of the bill is to prevent a balcony or deck collapse which can and has killed people. 

SB 721, Hill. Building standards: decks and balconies: inspection.

Existing law provides authority for an enforcement agency to enter and inspect any buildings or premises whenever necessary to secure compliance with or prevent a violation of the building standards published in the California Building Standards Code and other rules and regulations that the enforcement agency has the power to enforce.

This bill would require an inspection of exterior elevated elements and associated waterproofing elements, as defined, including decks and balconies, for buildings with 3 or more multifamily dwelling units by a licensed architect, licensed civil or structural engineer, a building contractor holding specified licenses, or an individual certified as a building inspector or building official, as specified. The bill would require the inspections, including any necessary testing, to be completed by January 1, 2025, with certain exceptions, and would require subsequent inspections every 6 years, except as specified. The bill would require the inspection report to contain specified items and would require that a copy of the inspection report be presented to the owner of the building within 45 days of the completion of the inspection and would require copies of the reports to be maintained in the building owner’s records for 2 inspection cycles, as specified. The bill would require that if the inspection reveals conditions that pose an immediate hazard to the safety of the occupants, the inspection report be delivered to the owner of the building within 15 days and emergency repairs be undertaken, as specified, with notice given to the local enforcement agency. The nonemergency repairs made under these provisions would be required to be completed within 120 days, unless an extension is granted by the local authorities. The bill would authorize local enforcement agencies to recover enforcement costs associated with these requirements. The bill would require the local enforcement agency to send a 30-day corrective notice to the owner of the building if repairs are not completed on time and would provide for specified civil penalties and liens against the property for the owner of the building who fails to comply with these provisions. The bill would exclude a common interest development, as defined, from these provisions. The bill would require any building subject to these provisions that is proposed for conversion to condominiums to be sold to the public after January 1, 2019, to have the required inspection conducted prior to the first close of escrow of a separate interest in the project, and would require the inspection report and written confirmation by the inspector that any recommended repairs or replacements have been completed to be submitted to, among others, the Department of Real Estate and included in certain required statements and reports, as specified. The bill would authorize a local governing entity to enact stricter requirements than those imposed by these provisions.

Link to actual bill with full text.

https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201720180SB721

SB 326 Bill

This bill mandates that HOA's hire a competent inspector to inspect the common areas of a multi-family project at least once every nine years. This includes load bearing structures such as balconies, decks, stairs, elevated walkways including a sufficient sampling of units by January 1, 2025. If there are repairs to be made, they must be made. 

https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201920200SB326

Some tips on inspecting, looking at your own balcony, deck..

https://amtrustfinancial.com/getmedia/3aa40bbd-bf5c-4906-b2e6-295dfe2d0095/Deck-and-Balcony-Inspection-Things-to-Look-For.pdf

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Tuesday, May 3, 2022

NFHA Continues their Money Shakedown on the Real Estate Industry by Mary Cummins


This is getting out of hand. A company can't limit their service by price range because it affects POC disproportionately? Nonprofit NFHA money shakedown continues. The Courts have ruled that entities cannot be found responsible for factors they don't control. Research has shown a correlation between POC and socio-economic factors. RedFin did not select the criteria based on race, color, ethnicity ... but price range. Will higher priced product brands soon be forced to market to and sell goods at a loss? The only solution I see is getting rid of RedFn salaried real estate agents. Make them work on commission split that covers RedFn's costs and let them choose their own deals. 

"Redfin’s ‘minimum price limit’ slashed real estate services in non-white neighborhoods—and now the company is paying a $4 million settlement. For prospective homebuyers, the online search portal and real estate brokerage Redfin is a go-to resource. Listings in more than 100 housing markets in the United States and Canada can be browsed easily, and a monthly average of more than 47 million users did so in 2021, according to the company’s annual report.

But in certain markets, search results had a big caveat. Redfin would show the listings, but due to what it called a “minimum price limit,” the company declined to make the full range of its services available—including real estate agents, professional photos, and promotion. That disproportionately affected homes in non-white areas.

“That policy resulted in Redfin predominantly not providing services in Black and Latino areas and predominantly offering services in white areas,” says Morgan Williams, general counsel of the National Fair Housing Alliance. For example, in the majority-minority city of Chicago, the minimum price threshold was set at $400,000, while in neighboring DuPage County, the threshold was just $275,000. In the majority-Black city of Detroit, the minimum price was $700,000, while outside city borders that limit was just $250,000. Redfin defended this policy, arguing that limiting its activities by price is the only fair way for the company to operate profitably.

Redfin objects to the characterization of its minimum price limit as redlining. “Describing a price-based policy as redlining is sensationalistic and wrong because Redfin serves all neighborhoods in the metro areas where we operate,” a company spokesperson tells Fast Company. “We do not make service determinations based on race or the demographics of the neighborhood. Home price is the only fair and objective way to make that determination because home price determines the fees we earn.”

Read the rest at the link. 

https://www.fastcompany.com/90747572/redfin-to-pay-4-million-to-settle-lawsuit-over-digital-redlining

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Monday, May 2, 2022

Appraisal Foundation Appoints Jillian White to Board of Trustees in Political Move, by Mary Cummins

April 30, 2022 The Appraisal Foundation (TAF) appointed Jillian White, Shelly Tanaka and Meredith Meauwly to the Board of Trustees. They also welcomed back the Appraisal Institute as a sponsor. 

TAF is authorized by Congress as the source of appraiser standards and appraiser qualifications. TAF had been taking a lot of political heat recently because their Board lacks diversity because it's mainly older white men. While I applaud TAF for starting to diversify their Board I personally feel one of these appointments was in response to political pressure. That one appointment is Jillian White.

White is an ex appraiser who was recently named the "Head of Better+" March 2022 per her LinkedIn announcement. Better+ is Better's affiliate businesses of Better Mortgage. Better has been in the news for mass firings, lawsuits and major financial problems. Better Mortgage will most likely soon be out of business as the mortgage market shrinks as a result of the rise in interest rates and overall failure by Better's CEO Vishal Garg. 

Jillian White was a real estate appraiser and real estate agent. "In 2016, Ms. White joined Better, a digital mortgage provider, as the Chief Valuation Officer." "In 2018, she was named the Head of Collateral." During Jillian White's time at Better she has been promoting the false narrative of the "racist white appraiser." She has done this by quoting false and misleading data. Jillian White has cited debunked Andre Perry's paper and Freddie Mac's note repeatedly. Andre Perry's paper was not published or peer reviewed research. It has since been proven to be false and misleading by very well known researchers at American Enterprise Institute (AEI).  AEI also debunked the Freddie Mac note. Tobias Peter was invited by the government to speak at the recent House Committee of Financial Services about this issue and this misleading data.

Promoting the false "racist white appraiser" narrative promotes racism and hatred of others. White an Appraisal Institute appraiser is stoking the flames of hate and racism toward appraisers, white people and the industry as a whole. The Appraisal Institute AI recently stated they would enforce a zero tolerance of racism and hate speech among their members because of hateful racist behavior by appraiser Dave LaVigne. White has promoted the false "racist white appraiser" narrative through her many presentations and articles about blacks "being forced to" "white wash" their homes. Here are a few of those articles, "Why some homeowners of color erase themselves," "Black appraisers call out racial bias," and "Better Website: Keep an eye out for personal bias." 

White went so far as to state “In the case of my family, our home was forever changed after that. A lot of the pictures never made it back on the wall." Who forced them not to return the pictures after the sale or appraisal? Every real estate agent knows and tells ALL of their clients REGARDLESS OF COLOR OR RACE to remove personal photos and items from their home when they sell their home to INCREASE THE SALES PRICE. It has nothing to do with race, color, religion... I did this when I sold my own home and I'm not black. As an agent I suggested all clients do the same.

Below is a still from one of her many public presentations where she points out the family photos, heirlooms and certificates she was "forced" to remove because of "racist white appraisers." This wasn't even for an appraisal but a basic home showing and sale of relatives' homes.  


Jillian White stated in the Better website, "96.5% of all real estate appraisers are white." This is not accurate though it's true most appraisers are white just like real estate agents. "Oddly" people aren't complaining about the lack of diverse real estate agents. Even the general population of the US is over 76% white. People are actually complaining about appraisal gap which is more likely in a quickly appreciating market. They're falsely claiming the cause of appraisal gap is racism because of the change in political climate caused by the murder of George Floyd. 

"The country is in a time of racial reckoning, heightened by a summer of protests against systemic racism and police brutality following the death of George Floyd in police custody." Floyd's death "sparked the largest racial justice protests in the United States since the Civil Rights Movement." "According to data from various sources, the Black Lives Matter movement is now the largest movement in US history." While racism exists and must be banished from our nation the pendulum has now swung to the extreme side. In this new light anything and everything is automatically "racist" today before even looking at the facts. Every appraisal gap is now "racism."

American Enterprise Institute AEI actually did research to see if racial bias affects real estate appraisal values. Their conclusion was NO, it's not common or systemic. 99% of the time we appraisers don't know the race, color, sex, religion of the owners of the properties we appraise and use as comparative sales. 

Jillian White even stated to the media that racist white appraisers are the reason there are few black real estate appraisers. White states white appraisers refuse to have black trainees because they're racist. The actual problem is the trainee process and not "racist white appraisers." Appraisers don't want trainees of any color because they have nothing to gain and everything to lose. Hypocritical Jillian White doesn't even have trainees of any color. 

White stated “This idea that we’re (real estate appraisers) just strictly reporting on the facts, that isn’t true, because if that were true you wouldn’t need appraisers." This shows that White either doesn't understand real estate appraising or she's lying to the public for her own agenda. All Appraisers know Automated Valuation Methods AVMs (robots, algorithms) can't and don't accurately appraise real estate. AVMs don't see views, specific location, upgrades, condition, elevation, lot type... All these facts must be viewed and appraised by a human real estate appraiser. We don't currently have exact view, lot type, degree of remodel ... UAD codes to input into the form. The human appraisers see and report the facts such as type and degree of view, condition, upgrades... Should White even be a real estate appraiser if she doesn't understand the basics of appraising? Should White with these racist ideas, clear discrimination and bias be a real estate appraiser? If a white appraiser were to state these same things but about black, Latino appraisers, they'd instantly be cancelled. In fact AI stated they want to take action against racist appraiser Dave LaVigne because of racist language. Perhaps they should take action against White. White has stated these racist things in her professional capacity. 

Jillian White was a real estate appraiser and agent just like me. We are numbers, math and statistics people. White knows these things she stated are false yet she promotes them for Better mortgage as a form of "diversity" marketing and exposure in the media. That appears to be her real job at the company as she mainly attends meetings to promote these falsities to the public and government agencies. Now that Better is soon going out of business White continues to promote this false narrative at government meetings and presentations to promote herself for a future job after Better goes out of business.

The purpose of promoting the false "racist white appraiser" narrative was to promote Better as "diverse and non-racist." Better had promised to train, hire and use diverse appraisers but they have not done this. This was in fact Jillian White's original job at which she failed. Instead Better fired 900 people December 2021. 2022 they fired 3,000 more. Currently they're asking people to just plain quit.

Better began failing during a huge run up in refinances. Any idiot company could have been successful during this time yet Better was failing last year. March 8, 2022 Better fired 3,000 more people. The CEO of Better's main goal is to go public and cash out. That appears to be his MO based on his last finance company myrichuncle which went bankrupt. 

There is a saying in large companies. When they appoint a lawyer or lower level employee as the head of the company or of a major department it's going out of business. The person was hired to ride the company into bankruptcy. High ranking employees have already been fleeing the company in 2019 and it's increased recently. Considering that Vishal Garg's last finance company went bankrupt then was sued for fraud by investors that appears to be the future of Better. 

White's main recent activity has been speaking at government meetings about "racist white appraisers." She has been the face of discrimination in real estate appraisals in the media. While she has an appraiser's license this is most likely the reason she was appointed to the TAF Board. TAF has given into political pressure to appoint this specific person. By doing so TAF is basically supporting the false narrative of the "racist white appraiser" which is beyond disappointing. I personally feel TAF is doing this just to quiet pressure from Maxine Waters and others who are calling for the end of TAF. While TAF would benefit from diversity I don't believe getting rid of TAF is the best course of action. 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Saturday, April 23, 2022

Mortgage Market Layoffs Due to Interest Rate Increases, Economy by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

layoffs, pink slips, firings, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate, appraiser, appraisal, los angeles, california, wells fargo, better, jp morgan chase,interest rates, refinance, economy, mortgage market, home loans
layoffs, pink slips, firings, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate, appraiser, appraisal, los angeles, california, wells fargo, better, jp morgan chase,interest rates, refinance, economy, mortgage market, home loans


In the past three months in the mortgage industry there have been more than 3,500 job cuts, according to globalsg.com. Wells Fargo just confirmed it recently laid off approximately 550 mortgage processors. This follows JP Morgan Chase, Homepoint Capital (10%), New Residential Investment Corp (NewRez 386 or 3%), Penny Mac, Knock, Movement Mortgage, Blend Labs Inc (200 or 10%) and Better who laid off 900 then 3,000 more recently. 

Wolfstreet.com reported that not only are layoffs among mortgage lenders taking place, but they will also continue. “Layoffs and forced resignations are certainly imminent in the mortgage banking industry,” said Dan Green, principal at BlackFin Group.

Most state the cause is the increase in interest rates, lower demand for refinances and the real estate economy overall. This of course means fewer appraisal orders for real estate appraisers besides other mortgage related industries such as title, insurance and escrow.

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Monday, March 28, 2022

Significance of Maxine Waters' Bill Fair Appraisal Act 2022 by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser




Maxine Water's bill is about more than discrimination. It's also about the complaint process and changing the appraisal regulatory system. The Bill would remove states as the investigatory authority and turns it over to the federal government. If a complaint is filed, the federal government can ask for 24 months of all the appraiser's appraisals. Even HUD complaints only ask for 12 months. This is clearly huge pressure to meet contract price for the borrower even though we appraisers work for the lender. 

ASC stated that TAF isn't accountable to the public. All proposed changes to Standards and Qualifications are public and open for comment. TAF answers questions from appraisers and others for clarification. They are transparent and available.

Based on the Bill ASC will be given new powers and responsibilities when they have a limited track record. For the past six years ASC was supposed to make a national list of all appraisers giving them a unique number. They have received millions of dollars to help accomplish this task yet have never done it. Some appraisers have licenses in more than one state so you can't just add up all of the state licensees. AMCs pay a fee to ASC for each appraiser on their roster. Some appraisers are on more than one roster. ASC has received millions yet has not compiled the list. It makes no sense to give them even more power and responsibility.

It's important to know how many appraisers there are because of the current arguments stating there are not enough appraisers. Most feel the shortage of appraisers is actually just a shortage of appraisers who are licensed and willing to do appraisals for lending purposes. Many don't do lender work anymore because of all the new legislation and layers of extra work.

ASC has also failed to track the national complaint hotline. Now Waters wants the ASC to be in charge of investigating 24 months of appraisals in complaints. If ASC can't do the former, they clearly can't do the later. The Dodd Frank Act put ASC in charge of developing AVM standards yet ASC has not done this within the last 12 years. There is no reason to give ASC more responsibilities when they can't even handle their current responsibilities. 

Jim Park of ASC stated in congressional testimony last Thursday in front of the US Senate that Appraisers had “…driven up service times and appraisal fees to unacceptable levels….” top of page 3 https://www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Park%20Testimony%203-24-22.pdf 

This is false. As an appraiser I received $300 for an appraisal in 1984. 1990 it was $350. It's still just about the same amount over 30 years later. Because of the Dodd Frank Act AMCs were mandated to be the middle man between lenders and appraisers. They raised the fees and now take a huge chunk. The AMC receives about $650-$1,800 and pays the appraiser about $350. The AMCs charge whatever they like then make appraisers bid for the assignment. They take the lowest bid and pocket the rest as profit. Dodd Frank mandated AMCs is the reason why fees are higher today. The fees paid to the appraiser have not kept up with inflation even though the amount of work required today is at least twice as much. 

Mr. Park made a discriminatory, ageist statement when stating old appraisers are hard to teach new information. I'm 55 and I always instantly embrace all new technology. I used one of the first laser measuring devices in the 1980's. I use LiDAR today. I ditched the typewriter and paper forms for computer software before any other appraiser I know. I had one of the first real estate websites on the internet in 1997. I had one of the first digital cameras. I use mobile appraisal software. I've tested the new 3D home interior scanners. I made my own computer program to pull MLS data in 1004 format in the '90's. Appraisers love new technology because it can make our job faster and better. We teach ourselves new tricks. 

HUD themselves are responsible for a shortage in the number of appraisers who can complete mortgage lending appraisals. After passage of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (HERA), the Dept of Housing and Urban Development no longer permitted the “Licensed” category of real estate appraisers to conduct appraisals, instead only the “Certified” category of real estate appraisers could complete appraisals for the FHA Insurance program. Before HERA passed, there were 30,286 Licensed Appraisers. Today, there are only 7,321 Licensed Appraisers, because the majority of lenders moved away from hiring Licensed Appraisers after HERA was passed.

HUD has never released documentation showing the number of alleged discrimination complaints against appraisers. Why is the cause of the lack of transparency? They claim to record every complaint they receive. They even release annual reports. Those annual reports have not noted instances of discriminatory appraisals. Why are they not disclosing discrimination complaints? It is likely because, up until last year, the number of complaints has been too few and likely dismissed. It is reported they have roughly 100 allegations currently, none of which have been resolved in the mandatory 100 days. Why are they holding on to the cases?

I was forced to send in multiple FOIA requests to get the results of investigations which I'm following here on my blog, i.e Austin v Miller in Marin, California; Carlette Duffy in Indianapolis, Indiana, Sanders Horton in Jacksonville, Florida and Cora Robinson in Oakland, California. This is the standard reply to my requests. They state I must get the complainant to sign a notarized statement with their name, date of birth, nation of origin, home address ... stating they agree to the release of the documents and information. Of course they will say no. I've been making FOIA requests for over 25 years and have never had a reply like this ever. Some appraisers and I are now contemplating fundraising to hire an attorney to sue HUD to get the results of the legitimate FOIA requests. In the meantime I appealed the FOIA denials. HUD also is the first agency to ever force me to make multiple initial FOIA requests for the same information. This is unprecedented lack of transparency and a violation of the FOIA. 

The ASC study was actually made by the advocacy group the National Fair Housing Alliance NFHA. They are a private non-profit organization. They were given $250,000 to study the Standards and Qualifications for appraisers. Instead their report is on the appraisal regulatory structure and TAF's authority. The ASC is responsible for monitoring the states and their enforcement procedures. TAF sets the standards and qualifications. Blaming TAF for ASC's failure of enforcement mechanisms makes absolutely no sense. 

No member of the ASB or the AQB was contacted or interviewed for the new Bill. There are errors in the report that Jim Park (ASC) would know are obviously incorrect, yet he let the study be published to support his narrative. The NFHA Advocates who authored the study indicated they had insufficient time to complete extensive research for this study, yet were able to draw conclusions, nonetheless.

All major legislation passed that affects appraisers has had a significant negative consequence to appraisers and the appraiser’s business. The appraiser community has not had a voice at the table to provide expertise about the valuation profession. I contacted every member of the PAVE Task Force asking to be involved, to attend meetings, to receive documents and communications as a Latino woman appraiser with over 35 year of experience. I didn't even get a reply. I was blocked from even being informed about what was happening. I'm now forced to send in another FOIA request just to get public information which should have been released.

While Jim Park was an appraiser he's not actively appraising today. He has no idea what appraisers deal with on a daily basis. Prior to the Dodd Frank legislation, there were appraisers willing to function as supervisors and the trainee/supervisor model was functioning, After Dodd Frank, most appraisers had to shut down their small businesses and become individual single-owner shops. Lenders, after Dodd Frank, largely stopped allowing trainee appraisers to inspect the property without the supervisor present, yet lenders will gladly hire third-party non-appraisers to collect data on the property. The lenders do not allow the trainee model to add value to an appraisers’ work. You cannot blame the appraisers for a system that does not allow a new generation of appraisers to be trained.

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, March 27, 2022

AEI reply to Freddie Mac's misleading study, American Enterprise Institute, by Mary Cummins



More great research from AEI. This is analysis of Freddie Mac's misleading and basically defamatory paper on Appraisal Gap. When government related entities release misleading information like this they are attacking and defaming real estate appraisers. The hate real estate appraisers have received because of this paper and Andre Perry's paper is relentless. 

Another problem with releasing misleading data and conclusions is that it actually hurts the people they are trying to help. Facts show that the real cause of the wealth gap between blacks, whites and Latinos is the income gap. It has nothing to do with appraisals or appraisal gaps. The government needs to help blacks, Latinos make more money. Offering help with down payments and reduced fee loans will not help these people long term. They end up in risky financial situations where they are more likely to lose their home. This causes more damage than not helping them at all. The government is setting these people up for failure which is a travesty. As noted in the report below "These polices are a violation of the FHFA’s (and HUD’s and the CFPB’s) obligation to Affirmatively Further the Goal of Fair Housing."

The government has done the same thing with student loans. The federal government gives more loans to blacks than whites based on % population. Blacks end up saddled with more debt. The government tells them to get an education and they can make more money. Instead they don't make enough income to pay off the student loan debts. This makes it difficult to pay rent and sometimes impossible to buy a home. If they do buy a home, they have huge levels of debt which can cause them to lose that home in an emergency. Helping or hurting? https://educationdata.org/student-loan-debt-by-race

Full report linked below.

"AEI Housing Center Critique of Freddie Mac’s Note on “Racial and Ethnic Valuation Gaps in Home Purchase Appraisals” November 15, 2021

Executive Summary:

While we applaud Freddie Mac for having undertaken an effort to assemble relevant data to investigate the topic of appraisal discrimination, it was premature to publish a note based only on “exploratory research” limited to a single race-based correlation, with no attempt to present a rigorous analysis regarding other potential explanations.  Merely stating that low appraisals resulted in “substantial appraisal valuations gaps” for minority versus White tracts provides an ominous sounding headline, but sheds little light on whether the gaps support a claim of systemic racism. Even worse, Freddie Mac’s research note was quickly seized by policymakers and the media as evidence of systemic racism.[1]

Rather than being due to racial discrimination by appraisers, we found Freddie’s claim of an “appraisal gap” is much more likely the result of would-be first-time buyer inexperience, socio-economic status (SES), or government actions (in particular a concentration of FHA lending in certain census tracts) with a disparate impact on protected classes.

Our analysis, which goes well beyond Freddie Mac’s “exploratory research”, can explain around 85% for Black tracts and 29% for Latino tracts of the gap through differences in socio-economic status (SES), leverage, and borrower characteristics. With the full set of controls, the Black gap disappears entirely, while the Latino gap falls by almost half.

In a robustness test, we found a sizeable FHA effect for majority White or White-only tracts. Thus, FHA lending, but also Equifax Risk Factor (ERS) and the one adult borrower share, is not simply substituting for minority borrowers.

Finally, research ignored by Freddie Mac has found a substantial consumer benefit to low appraisals:

Low appraisals provide enormous leverage to renegotiate the contract to a lower price. When buyers do renegotiate, subsequent to a low appraisal, they usually lower price by a significant share of the difference between contract price and appraised value. The new lower price reduces credit risk, costs to the borrower, and ultimately results in greater wealth for the buyer.[2]

If the differences found by Freddie Mac are in fact, as our research indicates, largely due to factors such as differing rates of FHA financing and SES in the grouped census tracts, then addressing wealth inequities through the use of easier lending criteria and accommodative monetary policy create a systemic barrier to sustainable homeownership and wealth creation by subjecting protected class households to risky lending, unsustainable price boosts, speculation in land, and home price volatility as other AEI Housing Center research has shown.[3] These polices are a violation of the FHFA’s (and HUD’s and the CFPB’s) obligation to Affirmatively Further the Goal of Fair Housing. Thus, instead of Freddie Mac’s correlation being the result of systemic appraiser racism, it may well have been the result of government policies and actions which have a disparate impact on protected classes. We respectfully submit the following comments in an effort to highlight the above deficiencies and report on our research into other explanatory factors. We believe that our research could be quickly confirmed. We trust that this critique will help inform Freddie Mac, FHFA, policy makers and the public on this important topic.[4]"

https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/aei-housing-center-critique-of-freddie-macs-note-on-racial-and-ethnic-valuation-gaps-in-home-purchase-appraisals/

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Saturday, March 26, 2022

AEI Reply to Pave Report, Andre Perry's misleading research and Freddie Mac's paper

Joe Biden, HUD, Marcia Fudge repeatedly cite Andre Perry's misleading paper on race and home values. Perry's paper is not published or peer reviewed research. It's deeply flawed in its execution and analysis. Race is not related to home valuation. Socio-economic status is related to income which is related to race which is related to the value of a home bought by a POC. Blacks make less money than whites. People with less money buy less expensive homes. The value of those homes are not being reduced by appraisers, appraisals or AVMs. 

This is a very well researched and written reply to Andre Perry's misleading paper. Perry conflates race with socio-economic status. SES is income, marital status, % single mothers with children under 18...) If you adjust for SES, the differences disappear. If you compare whites with low and high SES, the gap appears. This proves it's not a race issue but an income, SES issue. 

It's vitally important to know the real cause of the wealth gap between black and white so a proper solution can be applied. I've been stating that we need to fix the income gap to fix the wealth gap. Helping people with lower SES pay for a down payment won't help them down the line if they don't have enough income to easily make the mortgage payments. You just set them up for failure and bigger financial losses. This research is from Edward Pinto and Tobias Peter of from American Enterprise Institute (AEI).

https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Impact-of-Race-and-Socio-Economic-Status-on-the-Valuation-of-Homes-by-Neighborhood-3.18.21-final-revised-1.pdf

https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/aei-housing-center-response-to-perry-and-rothwell-2021/

This research brings up more flaws in Andre Perry's paper than I stated in my article about the research. Most importantly Perry intentionally did not include income stating it wouldn't affect the results. When income is included the value gap shrinks by half. Perry didn't include other important SES factors such as % single mother with children under 18. Everyone knows how expensive and difficult it is to work and raise young children as a single mother of any color. Perry also didn't include lot size, condition of neighborhood, condition of home, location next to natural amenities... I would bet Perry did this intentionally in order to show the results he desired. This is why his research was not published or peer reviewed. Perry's paper is advocacy for his own agenda masquerading as science and facts. Thankfully AEI took it upon themselves to independently review the research. 

Other interesting findings from their report.

"We find that with higher incomes, Black borrowers increasingly chose neighborhoods, in which the Black share of residents is lower." "If Black and White neighborhoods are identical in every aspect except for price and their racial makeup (as Perry et al. claim), then why are Black buyers not taking advantage of lower priced homes in Black neighborhoods? It must be that Black buyers understand that White neighborhoods do have more amenities and those who can do so are willing to forego the “cheaper” homes in Black neighborhoods in order to get those amenities."

Income and marital status matter. "The Black homeownership (HO) rate is much lower than the White HO rate, but the difference gets smaller as income grows. The HO rate for White or Black married households (HH) is much higher than for unmarried White or Black HH."

"There is a big disparity by marital status between Blacks and Whites. Unmarried Black HH comprise 70% of Black HH, and the vast majority are below area median income." Their research has also shown more integration and increased income among blacks over time.

"Diagnosing the causes of the home value gap, along with a recognition of decreasing racial and ethnic segregation and increasing Socio-Economic Status (SES) stratification, helps in the consideration of appropriate policy solutions that will increase financial security and shrink the SES gap."

They offer some sound solutions at the end of the report.This is the type of real scientific fact based data that Joe Biden and HUD needs to see and use. Using Perry's report harms POC and will not help them. Perry is harming black people with his dishonest paper. I only posted the first part. Click the link to see the full article with data, charts and statistics. 

"On March 23rd, the Interagency Task Force on Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity and, which is composed of thirteen federal agencies and offices, released its report entitled “Action Plan to Advance Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity: Closing the Racial Wealth Gap by Addressing Mis-valuations for Families and Communities of Color.”

Commentary on PAVE’s conclusion:

PAVE concluded that “Homeownership is often hindered by inequities within current home lending and appraisal processes, which research shows disproportionately impact people in communities of color.”

As noted in the Executive Summary, the report largely rests on three studies for its conclusion: (i) a report by the Brookings Institution, (ii) a note by Freddie Mac, and (iii) a blog post by FHFA.[1] In our work, we have issued lengthy critiques that discredit the first two studies (see our rebuttal to Brookings and to Freddie Mac) and now take the opportunity to respond to the FHFA study.[2] Here is a summary of our findings:

The Brookings and Freddie Mac studies are not based on rigorous data analysis. Most importantly, they conflate race with socio-economic status (SES), i.e. income, buying power, marriage rates, credit scores, etc. Race-based gaps found in the Brookings and Freddie Mac studies either entirely or substantially disappear when adjusting for differences in SES. Furthermore, our analyses show that similar gaps are present in majority White or White-only tracts across different SES levels, raising serious questions regarding a race-based explanation.[3] We also addressed a rebuttal from the Brookings authors to our critique. We found that Perry and Rothwell’s (2021) rebuttal to our critique supported our claim of omitted variable bias, failed to rebuke our methodology, and never addressed our case studies. We also presented solutions based on our findings. The Freddie Mac study took pains to state that its research was both “exploratory” and “preliminary”. Yet PAVE accepted Freddie Mac’s findings at face value, even though research by Fannie Mae provides a likely, non-race based explanation for the valuation discrepancy found by Freddie Mac. It is worth noting that Fannie Mae’s explanation casts a favorable light on the appraisal industry.

This conflation by both Brookings and Freddie Mac is of critical importance. While there is agreement regarding the symptoms observed by PAVE–racial and ethnic differences in the homeownership rate, the financial returns of owning a home, and median wealth levels–ascertaining the causes and workable solutions requires a competition of ideas.[4] PAVE excluded research that was inconvenient or inconsistent with the desired narrative and conclusion.[5]"

Read the rest here. 

https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/comments-on-the-pave-report

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Friday, March 25, 2022

IMPORTANT! Proposed Bill by Maxine Waters titled "Fair Act of 2022" - Meeting March 29, 2022

federal valuation agency,fair act of 2022,real estate appraiser,real estate,bill,financial services,maxine waters,firrea,HUD,mary cummins,US house committee,appraisal,discrimination,
federal valuation agency,fair act of 2022,real estate appraiser,real estate,bill,financial services,maxine waters,firrea,HUD,mary cummins,US house committee,appraisal,discrimination,

Maxine Waters is proposing a new Bill to establish a new Federal agency to oversee appraisers and the appraisal industry. Maxine Waters wants to amend the The Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 to basically get rid of ASB, AQB, ASC and TAF as we know them replacing them with the new "Federal Valuation Agency." The basic summary is as follows:

"To establish an independent agency to be known as the Federal Valuation Agency and real estate valuation standards and appraiser criteria, including promoting a fair, unbiased, transparent, repeatable valuation process, and for other purposes."

"This Act may be cited as the ‘‘Fair Appraisal and Inequity Reform Act of 2022’’ or the ‘‘FAIR Act of  2022’’. 

"The Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 is amended—(1) in section 1110(1) (12 U.S.C. 3339(1)), by striking ‘‘Appraisal Standards Board of the Appraisal Foundation’’ and inserting ‘‘Federal Valuation Agency, by rule’’; and (2) in section 1116 (12 U.S.C. 3345)—(A) in subsection (b), by striking ‘‘ or endorsed by the Appraiser Qualification Board of the Appraisal Foundation’’ and inserting ‘‘, by rule, by the Federal Valuation Agency’’;

This bill is frighteningly reckless and irrational. I can't believe I actually have supported Maxine Waters for so many years. I even fought and protected her against the person who campaigned against her and was viciously attacking her with falsehoods. I actually have been trying to meet with her because she's been posting things about appraisers and the industry which are totally false and bizarre. I spoke with her office twice but they wouldn't set a meeting. I sent an email politely correcting some of the bizarre and false things she said. 

In the documents Maxine Waters repeatedly refers to Latinos as "Latinx." She even refers to "Latinx census." I'm a Latino. Most Latinos don't like being called "Latinx." The word is an English construct for naming "others." It makes no sense relative to Spanish. "Latinx" is not in the census records. This is insulting. Clearly a non-Latino wrote this Bill for Maxine Waters. (Ref. "Many Latinos say 'Latinx" Offends them." Ref. 2021 Gallup Poll 96% Latinos do not like Latinx )

I'll be writing a letter to the Committee and sending it tomorrow. You can write one and email it to FSCDems@mail.house.gov . Use any of this information. Copy/paste. I don't care. I will also be emailing everyone individually on the Committee. I'll post the letter and email addresses tomorrow. This bill is totally crazy. 

Memorandum about meeting "Devalued, Denied, and Disrespected: How Home Appraisal Bias and Discrimination Are Hurting Homeowners and Communities of Color" US House Committee on Financial Services.

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/BA/BA00/20220329/114561/HHRG-117-BA00-20220329-SD002-U2.pdf

My comments on the falsities in this document in order. This was clearly written by someone with a personal agenda who intentionally did not use independent research or any legitimate research for that matter. 

First some real facts. Whites make and have more money than blacks, Latinos. For this reason whites buy and own more expensive homes than blacks, Latinos. People buy what they can afford. For this reason homes owned by whites are worth more than homes owned by blacks, Latinos. This is the actual cause of the wealth gap. It has nothing to do with appraisers and appraisals. If the government wants to close the wealth gap between whites, blacks and Latinos, they need to close the income gap. 

These two statements in the report are true. Currently, the "White homeownership rate is 74.1%, compared to 44.2% for Black families and 48.4% for Latinx families." "White families held 10 times more wealth than Black families and 7 times more than Latinx families in 2016." Waters intentionally doesn't include the cause of these gaps which is the difference in income. White families make almost double at $76,000 and black families only $45,000. When you are only making $45,000 a year there is no disposable income to save to buy a house. You are living hand to mouth. "The disparity is another reason why it's more difficult for Black families to save and build wealth than it is for White households."  https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/01/politics/black-white-racial-wealth-gap/index.html If you can't save money to buy a house, you won't own one. You won't benefit from home appreciation if you don't own a house. If a poorer person does buy a house, it'll be a less expensive home appreciating at the lower rate and amount.

Appraisers do not appraise homes of certain types of people less than other people's homes. Appraising is a math formula. That's how the Automated Valuation Methods (AVMs) function. Appraisers use the same exact formula except we have better data because we actually inspect the subject property, neighborhood and see the sold comparables. AVMs don't see any of the properties. They don't even know if they exist. 

Appraisers don't know the color, race, ethnicity ... of the neighborhood, owners/buyers of sold comparables and most of the time even the owner or buyer of the subject property. We don't have color, race, ethnicity ... info in our databases. We wouldn't use it if we did as it doesn't matter when it comes to home value. Buyers, sellers set market value. Appraisers just report it. 

1. Background

A. Waters mischaracterized a paper written by Andre Perry, i.e. "The Devaluation of Assets in Black Neighborhoods: The Case of Residential Property." This paper is not published or peer reviewed "research." It is a personal paper written by Perry to promote his book by the same title. Perry intentionally chose two very different groups to compare. He compared small extremely different samples of areas with 0-1% black people and over 50% black people. Perry then used Zillow zestimate AVM values. We all know how inaccurate Zillow is based on their recent failures. No appraisers or appraisals were involved in the data. Perry committed major statistical areas in his analysis. He never controlled for location. Everyone knows the three main factors in real estate valuation are LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. Many other grave statistical errors were committed. Perry has never posted his data because he doesn't want anyone to review it. The only thing the paper may show is the fact that whites make and have more money than blacks. This goes back to income equality. "Perry conflates race with socio-economic status. When adjusted for SES, the gaps disappear. (Ref. https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/comments-on-the-pave-report )(Ref. This articles shows other major errors in the paper. "

B. Waters misread a Freddie Mac study i.e. Freddie Mac, Racial and Ethnic Valuation Gaps in Home Purchase Appraisals.  Freddie Mac actually stated "First, our analysis has not yet determined the full root cause of the gap." Danny Wiley of Freddie Mac stated "We have not reached any conclusion for cause of the gaps or correlation." The gap could have many causes such as revitalizing areas and condition. AVMs assume average condition, average everything. Perhaps the homes appraised by appraisers over AVM values were in better condition than average, better than average location, better than average view, upgrades... AVMs do not see the property. They don't know the condition or if it even exists. 

AEI replied to Freddie Mac's study.

https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/aei-housing-center-critique-of-freddie-macs-note-on-racial-and-ethnic-valuation-gaps-in-home-purchase-appraisals/

2. Appraisers: Industry Diversity and Alternative Methodologies

Waters again selectively chooses information. While it's true that most appraisers are white the same is true for the US population as a whole and even real estate agents. The spotlight today is only real estate appraisers because of a very misleading paper promoted by Joe Biden, Marcia Fudge and now Maxine Waters. 

3. Appraisals: Evidence of Racial Home Devaluation

A. Waters again mischaracterizes Perry's paper. This is a false interpretation of the skewed data. "A 2018 study by the Brookings Institute (Andre Perry) found that in the average metropolitan area, homes in neighborhoods where the share of the population is 50% Black are valued at roughly half the price as homes in neighborhoods with no Black residents. Further, the study found that differences in home and neighborhood quality do not fully explain the disparities in property values.23 Specifically, the study found that “homes of similar quality in neighborhoods with similar amenities are worth 23 percent less in majority black neighborhoods, compared to those with very few or no black residents” and “across all majority black neighborhoods, owner-occupied homes are undervalued by $48,000 per home on average, amounting to $156 billion in cumulative losses.”

Perry did not control for location which is the most important factor in home value. This is a case of correlation. Blacks make and have less money than whites so they buy less expensive homes in less expensive areas. The home values came from Zillow. Zillow states their zestimates are not appraisals or home valuations. No home was "undervalued" by any amount. There are no "losses." 

B. Waters misstates the results of the Freddie Mac study. "Freddie Mac in 2021 analyzed what share of appraisers produced a significant Black-White and Latinx-White appraisal gap where homes in Black and Latinx census tracts are valued below the contract price compared to those in White census tracts." As stated above Freddie Mac stated they came to no conclusion for the cause of appraisal gaps. This article explains "appraisal gap." This was a comparison in appraisal gaps between two census tract areas and not different races, colors, ethnicities of the buyers, sellers, owners. 

C. Waters misstates the results of the Fannie Mae study. "Fannie Mae found that White homes in both majority-White and majority-Black neighborhoods were overvalued compared against both AVMs while Black homes in each neighborhood type were devalued." Fannie Mae made it's own proprietary AVM and will not disclose their algorithm. There is no "overvalued" in the study. There is only over or under the AVM. AVMs are not accurate. They only consider the most average home in average condition. They do not include views, upgrades, location in a neighborhood, added amenities... This article explains the problems with AVMs. The most likely cause of the differences is again the income, wealth gap between white, black. Whites have more money and buy more expensive homes. They are most likely buying the more improved, upgraded homes with views in the same neighborhood as blacks. 

D. Waters misstates the results of another study. "Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) conducted a key word search for millions of appraisals for transactions backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and found that individual appraisers included overt references to race, ethnicity, and other prohibited bases under federal fair lending laws in their appraisal reports." From the actual report, "From millions of appraisals submitted annually, a keyword search resulted in thousands of potential race-related flags." That is 1,000/1,000,000 = .001% or 1/1,000th of 1%. This is a minuscule amount. While there should be no such references they did not say or show the references affected the value. One of the alleged race-related words was "gentrification" which the government itself and Maxine Waters use all the time. The correct term is "revitalization" which is a normal real estate cycle.

4. Industry Regulation

Appraisers and the appraisal industry are controlled by Title XI of the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 about 33 years. ASC is a federal government agency which govern and control the industry. TAF is authorized by Congress as the source for appraisal standards and qualifications. ASB and ASQ are under TAF. Previously Maxine Waters incorrectly stated that the Appraisal Institute controls appraisers and the industry. I had tried to meet with Waters to correct this and many other false statements she's repeatedly made about appraisers and appraising. AI is a private non-profit organization which promotes the appraisal profession. It costs up to $15,000 to become an AI MAI appraiser. AI does not speak for all appraisers but a few. I am not a member.

Waters now wants to start a new federal agency to replace ASC, ASB, AQB and TAF because she doesn't understand how these agencies work. They have been working together since 1989. Now Waters wants to disrupt an entire industry to cater to her friends at the private non-profit Fair Housing Alliance.

5. Administrative Action

A. PAVE Task Force Report

The PAVE Task Force Report was just released. 

https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2022/03/pave-task-force-action-plan-from-white.html

B. ASC report

The private non-profit Fair Housing Alliance released their report. They included false and mischaracterized information including Andre Perry's paper. Here is my reply.

https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2022/01/identifying-bias-and-barriers-promoting.html

C. DOJ Statement of Interest in case Austin v Miller

DOJ filed a Statement of Interest in the case. That case has been covered extensively in this article linked below. Per black Plaintiffs' Reply they wanted the white real estate appraiser to only use sold comparables from Mill Valley and Sausalito two "white" areas which are worth about twice as much as their home, area in a "black" area in Marin City. Mill Valley is over a mile away and has one of the best school systems in the state. Austins stated it's "racist" to use sold comparables from their own neighborhood because it's "black" just like they are. These are actual quotes from their legal filing. Appraisers must use the most similar homes in the same area by law. Home values are based on LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. Every home owner would love to use Beverly Hills comps to appraise their home in South Los Angeles but you can't. I wanted to speak to Waters about her false misrepresentation of this case but Waters office would never set the meeting. I sent a letter which I will post later. Waters is clearly just listening to summaries by people with their own agenda. 

https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2021/02/alleged-discrimination-home-appraisal.html

6. Legislative Proposal

This new agency is demanding to know the race, ethnicity, gender of all licensed appraisers. This information is not mandatory in California but the federal government will now demand it. AMCs will have to turn over the race, ethnicity and gender of all their appraisers. 

On page nine it appears Maxine Waters wants actual appraisals and all information from appraisers publicly available online. Only personally identifiable information may be redacted like their name. Your home appraisal will be available with photos of the interior of your home, where your security system is located, how to break into your home, where you keep your valuables, where your safe is located, where your little kids sleep, what is the best way to break in and rob you, gun collections, religious items, family photos, where you keep your purse, home layout...?

It appears that appraisers race, ethnicity and gender information will be publicly available online as well. 

Funding for fair housing testing must be provided. I will bet that the main Fair Housing nonprofit organizations National Fair Housing Alliance want money for their sting operations. The government will be funding non profits' personal agenda. They are also behind the false and frivolous alleged discrimination lawsuit Austin v Miller. They're asking for money in that lawsuit even though they were not a party to the transaction and there was no discrimination. 

All state complaints must be referred to the federal government within 48 hours. The appraiser who is the subject of the complaint must hand over 24 months of appraisals of other people's homes in the investigation of any complaint. Invasion of privacy of other people. Can they get these docs in a FOIA request? Complaints must be resolved within 100 days. 

If someone complains about an appraiser, the appraiser must give the borrower, owner the difference between their appraisal and another higher appraisal even if there were no damages or loss. Talk about undue influence to come in over market value. You know some borrowers will be getting their friends to make over market appraisals. What if the value is lower? The market may soon be changing. The person who doesn't like their appraisal now has up to five years to file a lawsuit against the appraiser instead of the usual 1-2 years statute of limitations. 

Racism is a big problem in our country. Wasting time on issues which are not racism detracts from the real issues of racism. 

Link to actual proposed new Bill.

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/BA/BA00/20220329/114561/BILLS-117pih-EndingAppraisalDiscriminationActof2022.pdf

Video of the meeting for new bill

https://financialservices.house.gov/events/eventsingle.aspx?EventID=409150

Proposed testimony for the meeting

https://docs.house.gov/Committee/Calendar/ByEvent.aspx?EventID=114561

Peter Tobias of AEI sent in testimony "Faulty Evidence and Misdiagnosed Solutions." 

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/BA/BA00/20220329/114561/HHRG-117-BA00-Wstate-PeterT-20220329.pdf

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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