Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Showing posts with label white. Show all posts
Showing posts with label white. Show all posts

Monday, January 9, 2023

Cancel Culture is Destroying Freedom of Speech on Important Issues by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

mary cummins, real estate appraiser, appraiser, appraisal, real estate,real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, racism, cancel culture, bias, black, white, freedom of speech
mary cummins, real estate appraiser, appraiser, appraisal, real estate,real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, racism, cancel culture, bias, black, white, freedom of speech


If someone does something racist, they should be called out and educated. If a police officer murders a black man, they should be arrested and tried in a court of law. If someone just talks about these issues, they shouldn't be attacked, sued, have their business ruined, reputation destroyed, be harassed, threatened and assaulted. It doesn't make any sense. It harms freedom of speech, promotes racism and destroys any chance at public discourse of the issues.

Lizzo took a moment on a Sunday morning to share her concerns about cancel culture.“This may be a random time to say this but it’s on my heart.. cancel culture is appropriation,” Lizzo tweeted on Sunday (Jan. 8).“There was real outrage from truly marginalized people and now it’s become trendy, misused and misdirected,” she wrote. Lizzo continued: “I hope we can phase out of this & focus our outrage on the real problems.”

People are more upset about people talking about racist issues than the actual racism, race violence and hate crimes. People are more upset about someone stating facts about the false narrative of the racist appraiser than they are about real racism against blacks, the wealth gap or the fact that blacks, Latinos have little generational wealth. We appraisers can't even talk about the issue without being attacked, harassed on social media, getting false negative business reviews, death threats or threats of physical harm. Appraisers can't even comment on articles about the false narrative of the "racist appraiser" or we'll be viciously attacked. In fact some appraisers, AMCs and lenders have piled on to the false narrative in order to garner praise, seem woke, appear to be doing something about racism, get business, positive press and to not be attacked over the same issues. Some lenders have even used this issue to rip off POC by luring them in with promises of no racism only to charge them higher rates which is racist.

The real issue here is the income and related wealth gap between whites and POC. Because POC make less money, they have less money and wealth including generational wealth. Because they have less money and wealth, they buy and own less expensive homes in less expensive areas. The cause of the difference in value between white and black, brown owned homes is not the fault of the real estate appraiser. The data used in these misleading articles didn't even come from appraisers or appraisals but flawed automated valuation methods, robots, software programs by failed Zillow. The real problem is the income gap. Tell politicians and the government to fix the income gap. Assaulting real estate appraisers will never fix the problem.

Someone on Twitter stated in response to Lizzo's tweet, "Jessica Ballinger @BallingerMom Replying to @lizzo

Absolutely ❤️ There are very real issues that warrant outrage… I sometimes wonder if cancel culture stems from people feeling impotent against those bigger issues, so they go after simpler targets to feel better about themselves, like they did something."

I can understand the feeling of wanting to do something about racism but harming an innocent bystander is wrong. If someone sees racism against POC by white people, that doesn't give them the right to beat up and kill any white skinned person they see. That's just as racist as the racism they say they hate. It's also hypocritical.

In this situation by forcing real estate appraisers to shut up about the false "racist appraiser" narrative they are destroying freedom of speech and any public discourse on the issue. Instead the public only sees the misleading articles about specific cases in the media which are false. The media now writes these articles to get more outrage, traffic to sell more ads. One media will share the article by another media to make money off ads. 

I've written about some of those cases here. The homeowners weren't low balled due to the fact they were black and the appraiser was white. The homeowners weren't even low balled in the specific cases I reviewed here. The specific properties were appraised using the closest most similar sold comparables. They were all near the edges of more valuable but very different neighborhoods. They were worth less than homes in the next neighborhood for very good reasons. The homeowners just wanted their homes to be worth more and were maybe misled by Zillow, RedFn and other robot "Zestimates."

I really hope in 2023 appraisers will be allowed to write articles about these issues or at least comment on articles without being so viciously attacked that they have to delete their comments or only comment anonymously. That doesn't help anyone. It just perpetuates racism and hatred against white appraisers.


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, June 26, 2022

Wealth gap, income gap, home value gap, race, gender, marital status and Roe v Wade by Mary Cummins

Research has unequivocally shown there is an income and wealth gap between whites and blacks, Latinos. This is why homes owned by white people are worth more than homes owned by blacks, Latinos. People buy the homes they can afford and whites can afford to buy more expensive homes. Appraisers aren't appraising them differently. 

We also know there is a wealth, income gap among men and women, married verses single and especially single mothers with children under 18. Research has also shown that poor, black, Latino women were more likely to get abortions than white women. https://abc7.com/abortion-cdc-data-women/11815941/ 

The reversal of Roe v Wade forcing poor women especially of color to have babies is just going to make the wealth, income gap that much worse. It's also going to cost the states money in welfare, Section 8 housing, Medicare, EBT.... I don't think the GOP really thought about the repercussions of banning abortions. White Supremacists who tow the GOP line including anti-abortion will only have themselves to blame when POC actually do replace them via a higher birth rate. That's already happening but banning abortions will make it happen faster. 

Here's a great article to share with lots of pictures for those who don't care to read.

https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/23182150/abortion-rights-economic-justice

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Sunday, March 13, 2022

Misleading False Race Related News from Bloomberg Analyzed by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser





Bloomberg writers Shawn Donnan @sdonnan , Ann Choi @annjychoi , Hannah Levitt @hannahlevitt and Christopher Cannon @homiedonttweet just published an article titled "Wells Fargo Rejected Half Its Black Applicants in Mortgage Refinancing Boom. Fewer than half of Black applicants were approved by the biggest bank mortgage lender." This is an incredibly misleading article full of misinterpreted information and some fake data. (editors, contributors Robert Friedman @rfriedman305 Alex Tribou @AlexTribou David Scheer @david_scheer Jason Grotto @jasongrotto)

In the first anecdote with no evidence it's stated Mauise Ricard III tried to refinance a home he didn't live in. Non owner occupied is considered investment property. It's a riskier loan so there is always a higher rate, lower loan to value ratio and stricter loan requirements. They didn't charge him a higher rate because he's black. There is plenty of racism in this world but not everything is racism. Why didn't the writers talk to a loan agent or appraiser to get some accurate information? They wanted more traffic to their article so they intentionally made these false sensationalist claims of racism and outlandish click bait title. 

Let's start with some real facts based on real independent data. Whites make and have more money than blacks, Latinos. "As of 2020, black families have a median household income of just over $41,000, whereas white families have a median household income of more than $70,000." Ref. 1. People who make more money have more money, assets and a higher FICO score Ref. 2. They are a lower credit risk when it comes to loans because they are more likely to be able to afford to pay back the loans. The higher the FICO, the more likely you are to get loan approval, see top chart. Chart below shows the correlation between income and FICO scores. National Association of Realtors NAR research shows the higher the income, the less likely you are to be denied a loan. This is a money issue and not a race issue. 



People buy homes they can afford. Someone who makes less money will buy a less expensive home in a less expensive area because that is what they can afford. That is the correlation. If you want blacks to have higher credit ratings and own more expensive homes, help them make more money. Don't yell at banks and home appraisers for not giving them loans and not appraising their homes over market value. You can complain all day and banks, appraisers can't do anything to fix it. In fact when banks were allowed by the government to be looser with loans and home values were skyrocketing, black homeowners got loans then lost their homes in the great recession because they couldn't afford the payments. You would do a disservice to someone with less money, less income if you gave them a loan they couldn't afford because they are more likely to be foreclosed upon and lose their entire investment and home. You'd be hurting and not helping them.

Here's an analogy maybe people can more easily understand. Blacks and Latinos own cars which are in general worth less money than cars owned white people because they make and have less money. Is Kelly Blue Book the reason why black, Latino owned cars are worth less than white owned cars? No, it's because they bought less expensive cars to begin with because that is what they could afford. Why aren't these people calling KBB racist and biased like they're calling banks and appraisers? It would make just as much sense. 

The article goes on to state that whites were able to refinance more often than blacks in the recent real estate run up with low interest rates. This goes back to income inequality. Even if black, Latino owned homes increased in value, the borrower is still making the same amount of money. While the loan to value ratio is important your home loan amount is based on your ability to repay the loan. Banks don't want a repeat of the great recession where they gave loans to people with equity but no ability to repay those loans. People blamed appraisers for that when it was actually caused by less government oversight and the resulting loose lending. The government and people forced banks to give risky loans to blacks, Latinos and people with low credit ratings. They're trying to do it again now. They do it every time there is a run up in home values. When they did it before the great recession many poorer people just took all the equity out of their homes and spent it on personal items. Then they lost their homes. 

"Wells Fargo, which declined to comment about individual customers, didn’t dispute Bloomberg’s statistical findings. It says it treats all potential borrowers the same, is more selective than other lenders, and an internal review of the bank’s 2020 refinancing decisions confirmed that “additional, legitimate, credit-related factors” were responsible for the differences." (FYI the bank can't comment about individual customers to the media or anyone except the borrower based on privacy, confidentiality law)

Banks have the right to set their lending requirements based on finances. They can discriminate based on finances. After Wells Fargo's tough times a while back you can bet they will tighten lending requirements which is their right. Do people want them giving fast and loose loans to anyone then have another banking crisis and have to bail them out? Remember this below?!

"Wells Fargo agreed in 2012 to pay more than $184 million to settle federal claims that it unfairly steered Black and Hispanic homeowners into subprime mortgages and charged them higher fees and interest rates. The bank didn’t admit to any wrongdoing and said at the time that it treated all customers fairly regardless of race." (FYI government doesn't have to prove bias in these cases. They just have to show one race was treated differently than another).

Previously Wells Fargo gave loans to riskier borrowers and they defaulted. This goes back to income inequality. The less money your make and have, the more likely you are to default on a loan. This time around Wells Fargo decided to reject riskier borrowers and people claim racism, bias and discrimination. No win situation here. Damned it you lend to riskier borrowers, damned if you don't. 

"Rohit Chopra, head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, said at a press conference in October announcing a new push by the Justice Department and regulators to combat so-called redlining by financial institutions. Among the issues he singled out was the role of mortgage underwriting algorithms that banks have long used, calling the disparities in lending outcomes a sign of “digital redlining, disguised through so-called neutral algorithms.”"

The algorithm is based on income, assets, debts, loan to value ratio, debt to income ratio... Research based on millions of loans over decades has shown a positive correlation between higher income, more assets to the ability to repay a loan. The opposite correlates with the inability to repay a loan. It's not redlining. Credit cards, auto loans, other loans are based on the same FICO scores but they're not tied to a property address. That is how people have made lending decisions for centuries all over the world. If a nonprofit or the government wants to loan money to high risk people, let them do it. Don't force private businesses to do it especially government insured banks.

"Kristy Fercho, who in August 2020 became the first Black woman to oversee Wells Fargo’s home-lending business and its more than 25,000 employees, says the bank’s processes are race-blind and that its lending decisions were “consistent across racial and ethnic groups.” Any racial disparity in outcomes for refinancing in 2020 was the result of variables Wells Fargo doesn’t control, she and other executives say, including credit scores, the appraised value of homes and broader inequities in the U.S. economy."

Finally the article speaks a truth, "A typical White family had eight times more wealth than a Black one, according to a triennial Fed survey last published in 2019." And now a huge misleading statement, "The refinancing gap gets at the ability of Black families to build on the wealth they have. Not being able to refinance a home “means that people have less resources to invest in their children, less resources to start businesses, less resources to renovate their homes, less resources to buy additional homes,” says Andre Perry, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution whose 2018 study found that the average Black home was valued at $48,000 less than its White equivalent. That differential amounts to $156 billion in missing Black wealth."

Andre Perry's "study" is a paper written by himself that was not published or peer reviewed Ref 3. It was based on inaccurate Zillow robot home estimates. No appraisers were involved. Perry intentionally chose two very different groups made up of homes in areas where 0-1% were black and homes in areas well over 50% were black. He didn't know if the homes were owned by white or black people because it's impossible to tell ownership. He compared the very different group values to each other. He did not adjust for location because it's impossible to adjust for location. Everyone knows the main indicators of home value are location, location, location. That misleading paper based on a very small intentionally misleading sample allegedly showed a difference of $48,000 in value between homes in majorly white verses black areas. 

We again go back to the real research which shows whites make more money than blacks, Latinos. Again, people buy homes they can afford. Someone with only $1,000 and a low credit score is not going to buy a $5,000,000 home in Beverly Hills no matter what race they are. They may buy a $75,000 home in Detroit with government financing. Is the bank or appraiser responsible for the differences in value between the $5,000,000 home and the $75,000 home? Not in reality but according to the article they are. 

The article stated that blacks were even less likely to refinance more recently. This goes back to income, credit rating. Even if their home appreciated in value their income, assets, credit rating stayed the same. Banks are more cautious after the great recession. They now make sure people can pay back the loan, make the loan payments based on their income.

Finally after reading the entire article they post a truth, "A 2021 study by Fed researchers given access to a privileged version of the same data used by Bloomberg that included applicants’ credit scores showed racial gaps can be largely attributed to those scores and the recommendations automated underwriting systems make to lenders." Credit scores are the main indicator of underwriting decisions! 

Of course the article went on to state that the credit score algorithm is biased and should be changed. It should include rent payments. Fine, let it include rent payments then do some research to see how that affects ability to repay home loans. Clearly it would only affect first time buyers as second time buyers don't pay rent.

The article then promotes the false biased appraiser myth. Then the article stated that banks raised the credit scores needed to get loans after the great recession which they state is not fair for black people. These people complained when black people lost their homes after the great recession and now they're complaining that they can't get a loose and easy loan? The only way some of these people will be happy is if people just gave them free money and houses. They might think that is fair. 

The authors end their article on the big lie, "He and his wife moved their young family to a bigger home in the more expensive, and predominantly White, Fulton County suburb of Sandy Springs in 2017 to be closer to better schools. (snip)” The move has also given him a rare perspective on the economics of segregation. His new home and those around it are valued far higher than those in the predominantly Black southwestern Fulton County suburb they left behind, where they still own the property they sought to refinance with Wells Fargo. But Ricard says he pays almost as much for the home insurance on his old home, which he now rents out, as his new one."

Ricard wanted to move out of his old predominantly black neighborhood into a predominantly white neighborhood per his own words. He was willing to pay more for a home in a different whiter location. He noted the better schools. Property taxes pay for most of a school's budget. Property taxes are based on home values. The higher the home values, the more money for schools and the better they are. There is also a correlation with lower crime. Lower crime, lower home insurance rates. Of course his insurance is lower in the more expensive neighborhood. This has nothing to do with segregation today. These are all common sense facts for anyone especially anyone in finance, banking and real estate. 

I believe these writers wrote this article knowing full well it's totally inaccurate. The real cause of the wealth gap between whites and blacks is the income gap. Fix the income gap and you will fix the wealth gap. White and black owned homes would eventually appraise the same if their incomes were the same. Stop blaming banks and appraisers for the income gap. Stop spreading this false and misleading misinformation. This misinformation has been weaponizing race to further divide our nation. Racism is a big enough problem as it is. We must do everything we can to stop racism but false and misleading articles like this just make it worse. They detract from the real issues of racism. 

*I sent this blog article to all of the writers, contributors and editors of this misleading article.

Article: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-wells-fargo-black-home-loan-refinancing/

Ref. 1. Szapiro, Aron (October 6, 2020). "Can Baby Bonds Shrink the Racial Wealth Gap?". Morningstar.com. Retrieved October 8, 2020.

Ref. 2. People who make more money, have more money and a higher FICO score.August 13, 2018. "Are Income and Credit Scores Highly Correlated?" Rachael Beer, Felicia Ionescu, and Geng Li1

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/are-income-and-credit-scores-highly-correlated-20180813.htm

Ref. 3. Andre Perry's paper is based on erroneous data and contains major statistical and analytical errors making the results meaningless.

https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2021/06/false-statement-by-president-joe-biden.html

Chart below shows loan approval rating for difference FICO scores for FHA loans. They have looser requirements. Still, the higher the FICO, the higher the chance of loan approval.



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Friday, October 29, 2021

Sellers, Buyers set home values NOT Appraisers - by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

Sellers, Buyers set Property Values NOT Real Estate Appraisers, Mary Cummins, Los Angeles, California, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal

UPDATE: I tweeted my article to Andre Perry. After he made a few ridiculous replies which only showed how much he doesn't know about appraisers and appraising he blocked me. Thank god I just swallowed my sip of iced tea or I would have spit it all over my computer monitor laughing :-D This guy can dish out bad statistics, bullshit and racism but can't take simple facts. 

FTR Andre Perry has stated many times that Appraisers are racist and biased. Here are some quotes. He stated this as a fact when it's not. From written testimony from U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services. "And we’ve witnessed viral news stories revealing how appraisers value Black and white homeowners differently." He's one of the main people spreading those false media articles about alleged bias which I researched and about which I wrote articles. 

"We don't want to lay the complete blame on the loss of home values on appraisers," said Perry. "They are certainly an important trigger but the same attitudes that appraisers have, so do [some] lenders, real estate agents and other people in various markets." Many more citations below.



Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race
Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race


Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race
Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race

Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race
Andre Perry, Brookings Institute, Know your price, valuing black lives and property in america's black cities, andrew m perry, andre montel perry, @andreperryedu #andreperry, brookings, book, racism, bias, real estate, appraisal, avms, research, paper, black, white, race

In the intro of his book Andre admits to having anger management issues with people with whom he disagrees. He said he "verbally assaults" people. He stated "My life "which has been beleaguered with unpredictable outbreaks of rage, largely stemming from reminders of past feelings of vulnerability and worthlessness. Minor disagreements with lovers, friends, colleagues, and strangers often turned into blowout arguments, for reasons unknown to them." The intro of his book also shows that his main focus in life seems to be that white people have done him and black people very wrong basically destroying everyone's lives, family and specifically their money. He stated his father died in prison and his mother abandoned him and his brothers with the local baby sitter. It does sound like a tough life that has affected his view of life and others. He stated his goal in life is to show that the main problem in this world is white people. Read the intro to his book and come to his own conclusion. The intro is online and free. 

ORIGINAL: Everyone knows the "fair market value (of a house) is the price at which the property would change hands between a willing buyer and a willing seller, neither being under any compulsion to buy or to sell and both having reasonable knowledge of relevant facts." This is the basis of our world economy and free market society. Everyone agrees with this except hate monger Andre Perry who blames lower property values on "racist white appraisers." 

Andre Perry just wrote another crazy article about racism and real estate. Someone needs to contact the editor at the Brookings Institute about allowing flawed statistics, misleading research and the promotion of racist hate mongering in their name. 

Andre Perry has never let facts and data stand in the way between reality and the racist narrative he's created and actively promotes. He believes everyone in the US is responsible for home values in areas which are mainly "black," i.e. over 50% black per his own criteria, being lower than areas that are mainly "white," i.e. 1% or less "black." He actually only compared a few extremely different areas. This article proves that Perry's paper is based on extremely misleading data selection and biased comparisons which were then used to invent a false and misleading racist narrative. Note that his paper has never been peer reviewed or published in a journal article. It would never pass peer review. A "refereed (peer-reviewed) journal is reviewed by expert reviewers as a quality-control measure." I just checked Perry's resume and he has no peer reviewed articles or papers on his false racism in appraising theory.

In the article Andre Perry wrote "Lower home prices in Black neighborhoods reflect how much we value their residents." Nope. Home prices reflect the price agreed upon by a willing seller and buyer. It has nothing to do with the value of residents. The Appraiser also has nothing to do with the home price or value. A seller could sell his home for $100,000. If the buyer pays cash, there's no appraiser or appraisal. Seller and buyer set the price which is later publicly shared by Zillow, RedFn and MLS. Those sales set the market price for similar homes. Seller and buyer alone control that price and value

Now if the buyer wants a home loan, he'll probably need a real estate appraisal. The purpose of the appraisal is so the bank knows there's enough equity in the home to pay off the loan in case the borrower defaults on the loan. I could appraise that home for $10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 and the sale price stays the exact same at $100,000. The home still sells for $100,000. THE APPRAISER AND APPRAISAL DON'T AFFECT THE PRICE OR VALUE! This proves that Andre Perry does not understand the concepts of value, price, real estate, economic principles, basic math...or common sense. His "paper" includes almost every single major statistical error possible. Why does anyone believe this guy or that meaningless paper? It has less merit than an op-ed.

If Perry wants to blame someone for lower home values in some black areas he needs to blame the buyers of those homes which are mainly black per his "research." He should tell those greedy (sarcasm) buyers to pay $1,000,000 for that $100,000 home if they "value their residents." "Don't be a cheap bastard! Pay the seller more than what that home is worth! Do it for the good of the community!" (sarcasm) You sell a few homes for $1,000,000, they're all worth $1,000,000, right? Sadly, no.

FTR I attended the 2019 meeting Perry mentioned in his article. That was the first time I encountered Andre Perry and his lack of real estate, economics or statistics knowledge. 

From Perry's article. Notice he speaks about himself in the third person. Who does that? He doesn't even know that the Appraisal Institute is just a private org that doesn't certify or regulate the appraisal profession. I added what is in parenthesis.

"In 2019, one of this blog’s authors (Andre Perry) testified in Congress along with representatives from the Appraisal Institute and the Appraisal Foundation, two organizations that help certify and regulate appraisal professionals. When Rep. Al Green of Texas asked the panel to raise our hand if we believe “discrimination plays a role in the devaluation of property in neighborhoods that are predominated with minorities,” I was the only one who raised a hand."

I decided to go find this video to refresh my memory as I was working while listening, watching the original hearing. Andre Perry is a liar. See the video below. The guy directly behind him also raised his hand so 2/26 people. He was not the only one. Perry also lied about the question. This is the real question, "Do you believe that invidious discrimination, invidious is harmful, (full definition: Treating a class of persons unequally in a manner that is malicious, hostile, or damaging; unfairly, unjustly discriminating) plays a role in the devaluation of property in neighborhoods that are predominated with minorities but more specifically black people? If you do believe this, raise your hand. If you think black people are being discriminated when their property is being appraised, would you kindly raise your hand." Andre Perry raised his hand. This shows he is specifically talking about appraisers appraising properties and not AVMs here. AVMs are not appraisals. This is why Appraisers are upset. He accused us of invidious discrimination besides bringing up and widely sharing anecdotal media articles about alleged discrimination by appraisers. 



All the real estate experts with many years of experience and multiple degrees in real estate did not and do not agree with Andre Perry. This shows that Perry does not know what he's talking about. I also would not have raised my hand. The property in question is not, was not devalued. There is no discrimination in property valuation because it's based on a math formula. Most Appraisers never see the buyer, seller or know their race. It's just an address to us. The robot appraisals don't see anyone or anything, not even the property. Andre Perry's paper is based on robot appraisals and prices agreed upon by sellers and buyers. Appraisers had nothing to do with the data he used. I'm not saying racism doesn't exist. It does. It's just not an influence in real estate appraisal especially robot real estate valuations like Zillow.

Perry states that homes in black areas are worth $48,000 less than in "similar" white areas. Then what explains the differences among the values in white areas? It can't be discrimination against black people because they're white. Same thing happens in brown areas. What explains the lower value of a white owned home in a black area? Again, the owner is white and not black. Will all the white and brown people with lower home valued be compensated by any new government initiatives or reparations for low valued homes? Perry has been talking about using his $48,000 figure as a measure of reparations for black people. What about the rest of us suffering from low priced homes? I don't even own a home. Will all people who don't own homes, even homeless people also be getting a check? 

In the article Perry talks about the Indiana and Florida media articles about alleged racism in real estate appraisals. Recently he said those were just media articles and we don't know if it was racism or not. He even said recently he's never said appraisers were racist and he doesn't feel they are. Now he's back to promoting the idea of racist appraisers again! This guy will say whatever the audience in front of him wants to hear. He doesn't even know his own truth. He's that insecure.

His recent article is about the "Brookings and Ashoka Collaborative Innovation Challenge." They're offering money which he will most likely reward to a like minded friend who promotes his racism. Stuart Yasgur the VP & Global Leadership Group Member represents Ashoka #stuartyasgur . The prize is supposed to go to the person who solves the problem of homes in specific black areas being worth less than homes in specific white areas. I may send in a solution to the problem. My solution is that the problem as defined by Andre Perry doesn't exist. He created it. I solved it. Poof, it's gone. Where's my check?

#andreperryedu #stuartyasgur #brookingsinstitute #ashoka #racism #hatemonger #marycummins #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #brookings #race #bias #appraisal

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

Monday, July 26, 2021

Racial discrimination alleged by Cora Robinson in real estate appraisal 5924 Martin Luther King, Oakland, California - by Mary Cummins

cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins
cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins

01/04/2022 UPDATE: Based on a response to my FOIA response from HUD I believe the discrimination complaint filed with HUD was dismissed. HUD has not given an official answer though the investigation is over. They did previously force me to refile in order to extend the time to reply. HUD is fighting these FOIA requests forcing appeals. Because Fair Housing Advocates of Northern California didn't release any news saying they won the case it appears they lost. This was just another fake, frivolous discrimination complaint filed against an appraiser promoting the false narrative that appraisers are racists who low ball black home borrowers. 

ORIGINAL: Julian Glover just covered another story of alleged racial discrimination in a real estate appraisal in Oakland, California. After he ran his first story I contacted him via email and Twitter. Julian Glover never replied. 

The owner of the home is Cora Robinson. The home in question which they specifically mention in their public report is 5924 Martin Luther King, Oakland, California. The address is also public if you search for Cora Robinson's name. The author of the article included this information which is why I'm using it here. First, some facts.

5924 Martin Luther King Jr Way, Oakland, California 94609 is legally a 4 bed, 2 bath, 1.5 story home built 1885, 2,336 sf on 6,000 sf end lot. It's listed as last renovation 1940. I searched building and safety and see no permits for any upgrades or additions. The owners were in default in 2012, 2013. It appears one of them runs a hair salon called Your Locs out of one unit which I don't  believe is allowed per zoning. Please, no one report the business or unpermitted additional bedroom, bathroom. Times are tough enough. 

Zillow lists the home as 5 bed, 3 bath with a current AVM or automatic valuation method Zestimate of $1.2M, range $1M-$1.4M. RedFin estimates $1.1M. Trulia $1.2M. RealtyTrac estimates it as a 4 bed, 2 bath home at $1M. Realtor estimates it at $1.2M. CoreLogic refuses to give an AVM or RealValue because it hasn't sold in a long time and doesn't appear to have recent renovations. Their error variance is too high to give an estimate or even a guesstimate. 

Now for some allegations. July 2020 Cora Robinson said it appraised at $800K which would have been within the range of the AVMs at that time. Cora said Zillow was $1.3M at the time which is false. I'm glad she didn't white wash her home before the last appraisal. All appraisers saw the same exact home in the same condition. Oct 2020 appraisal came in at $825K. February 2021 it appraised at $1.2M. March 2021 she got a new 1st loan at $606K which is about 50% loan to value ratio which is a very low ratio. 

Cora states the property, area is not subject to rent control. Yes, it is. Just because she has a relative currently living there doesn't mean the next owner would be free of rent control. Cora states it's in the higher demand area of Rockridge. It's not. It's three neighborhoods south on the other side of the freeway. Cora states the appraiser made two appraisals. He made only one which he appears to have updated. Cora stated the "bad" appraiser used comps with "nearby homeless encampments, liquor stores, trash on the sidewalk, greater structural neglect and other markers of poverty." If you look at the satellite image of the subject property, that describes the subject's area exactly. There's a liquor store on the corner of Cora's block and a homeless camp one block away! Is this lady for real? She wanted the appraiser to use a $1.6M comp from Rockridge which is a mile north, north of the 24 fwy and a much better more expensive area. Cora said the "good" appraiser used comps "in all directions." We are supposed to use the best comps and not comps in "all directions." Cora thinks the appraiser should have only used higher comps located northwest of her home in the nicer "whiter" area of Rockridge. Cora literally said that the appraiser used comps in areas which have more black people i.e. "has a higher percentage of black residents" which Cora states has a negative effect on value. Who is the racist and biased one here?! Just to be clear Cora is black saying these negative things about black people and how they negatively affect property value. These are direct quotes from her actual written and sworn complaint! 

Cora received the home for free from her mother who received it for free from her grandmother. Cora states she was paying about 7 to 13% interest rate on her mortgage which she got in 2008 at the peak of then prices and interest rates. Everyone knows those loans were predatory. To be paying on that loan all those years is crazy. We're clearly dealing with someone who doesn't understand real estate or finance. She feels she should be paid the difference between that higher rate and her current rate. That is ridiculous. Cora agreed to the terms of the old mortgage. The lender is the one who refused the new loan. The main reason for loan refusal is the credit rating of the borrower. Cora states she is retiring which means refinancing again will be impossible. I believe an appraisal done by any appraiser at the earlier time would have been much lower than the current appraisal. You can't "sue" an appraiser for market value. No money was lost here. The appraiser also only works for the AMC and lender not the owner of the property. 

The home is an end lot on a very, very busy street with what appears to be a Metro train which then turns into a highway, see pic below of the subject property taken from across the Metro. 

cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins
cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins


There are apartment buildings on the street, vacant lot, homeless camp, trash, liquor store. These things reflect negatively on the value. There are more regular lots than end lots which would skew the value higher for all duplexes in the area. I see current comparable sales at $800,000 to $1,500,000 with most $900,000 to $1,100,000. The sales at the lower end were end lots which have not been fully recently renovated. The sales at the higher end are regular lots away from traffic, apartment buildings which have been very recently fully renovated. These comps were given to me by robots. I don't have MLS for this area so I can't actively search it. No one can say I discriminated in my search for comparables as I didn't actively search beyond typing in the address. 

I just used a robot to do a default search for the property which is +/- 20% size within one mile radius. I only changed it to search for the previous 12 months. The comps I found for when it was appraised the first and second time were $755,000 and $850,000 which were right next to the subject, newer, larger and had more bedrooms, baths. The robot refused to search properties in Rockridge which is actually three communities and over a mile away. The more recent comps are $1.1M, $1.1M, $1.0M and $1.3M. I haven't seen the inside of the properties. They could have been and probably are full remodels. I saw some pics of the subject online. It's an old remodel which needs a full remodel. This claim is now officially busted. 

Below is the map from the search. Maybe this is what Cora means when she stated all the comps were in one direction in the first two appraisals. Most are in one direction even though I pulled a mile radius. Cora's area has commercial, retail, vacant lots, hospital... Maybe there are fewer duplexes in that area. See how far away Rockridge is from the subject, i.e. bottom right of the map. There are cute restaurants, shops, trendy grocery stores, nice parks in Rockridge. In North Oakland there aren't even any fast food chain stores. Fast food chain stores heavily research locations. A location without them has many negative issues. You can get food at the liquor store or the gas station in Cora's neighborhood. Look at the satellite image.

cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins
cora robinson, oakland, california, real estate, appraisal, discrimination, 5924 martin luther king, duplex, bias, mary cummins


Median sales price for a duplex this size in this area went from $900,000 to $1,200,000 within the last 12 months. That's a year from Cora Robinson's first appraisal. The property has gone up in value immensely between the time of the first and last appraisal. As I look at the chart it was about flat July 2020 to January 2021 then it went from $900,000 to $1,200,000. That's a 33% increase in value right there. The appreciation in this area has been skyrocketing because it's such an inexpensive area compared to other local areas. People who are priced out of the more expensive areas of Oakland are going to these less expensive areas. The duplexes selling for more have been recently fully renovated. I bet there are flippers buying run down properties and fixing them up for much higher resale which is driving a lot of the increase in value. The combination of flippers and people being priced out of more expensive areas has driven the explosion in value in this area. 

Based on the information about the subject property and the sold comparables I researched the first and second values could have been correct for that time. Based on the same a higher more recent appraised value would have been within the more recent range of values. It's also possible the more recent appraisal came in a little high per the real bed/bath count, location and condition of the subject. I have a feeling the appraiser will be cleared of wrong doing in this specific case. I did an information act request and will post the results when I receive them. They don't release them until after the investigation is finished. 

Fair Housing Advocates of Northern California released a press release stating they are helping Cora Robinson file a complaint to HUD. The complaint is an online form. She didn't need any help filling it out. It's easier than filling out a loan application. I personally feel this non-profit organization released this news for media attention to get donations. They should have hired a review appraiser to review the appraisals before submitting the complaint. They have most likely destroyed the reputation of the appraiser whose name they plastered all over their national press release, articles and media outreach.

Here is the press release from the FHANC.

 https://www.fairhousingnorcal.org/press-releases-and-statements/announcing-discrimination-complaints-filed-with-hud-allege-race-discrimination-in-home-appraisal-process

and the complaints

Fair Housing Advocates of Northern California Complaint 1
Fair Housing Advocates of Northern California Complaint 2
Robinson Complaint 1
Robinson Complaint 2 

FOIA request was made for all information related to the complaint. Results will be posted here. 

Based on my review of a few of these alleged cases of racism in appraising it appears some of these cases partly stem from the lay person not understanding the appraisal, appraisal process or appraised value. Because they don't understand everything, have experienced racism in the past in other ways, have seen the recent false and misleading news articles about racism in appraising they assume racism must be the cause of the value. People misunderstand situations and jump to the wrong conclusions every day. It would be great if people could first ask the appraiser, lender questions before assuming it was racism and attacking the appraiser, profession and all people of a different race/color. Assuming things about people of a specific race/color without evidence is actually the definition of racism. It's hypocritical for someone claiming racism to behave in a racist manner.

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Thursday, June 10, 2021

Race and Racism in Real Estate Appraisals - Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Appraisal, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser, appraisal, Los Angeles, California, racism in real estate, race, racism, diversity, discrimination
Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser, appraisal, Los Angeles, California, racism in real estate, race, racism, diversity, discrimination

I just read an article about racism in the real estate appraisal industry. I'm not going to link to it because it's so misleading. The author who is not an appraiser or in the industry stated that because most real estate appraisers are white per one poll that means the real estate appraisal industry is "racist" against Black people. According to the same Appraisal Institute poll they cited most real estate appraisers are male, i.e. 77% vs. 21% female, when females make up 50.8% of the population. Does that mean all male real estate appraisers are misogynists who will appraise women's homes for less than men's homes? Obviously not. That's as ridiculous as the article I just read.

A very important thing to note is the disclaimer in the Appraisal Institute race chart, i.e. "U.S. appraiser population statistics were derived from the ASC National Registry as of Dec. 31, 2018. Additional demographic statistics were derived from Appraisal Institute studies conducted in 2016-2019 that were comprised of randomly selected AI and non-AI real estate valuation professionals. In Q1 2019, the Appraisal Institute invited 15,600 valuation professionals, resulting in 750 responses."

Appraisers in the ASC National Registry are only "State certified and licensed appraisers who are eligible to perform appraisals in federally related transactions." We're talking a small subset of all appraisers in the US. This is not all appraisers in the US. The results don't reflect the racial diversity of all appraisers in the US. It probably represents more successful, wealthier appraisers who are generally white men.

Appraisers in the Appraisal Institute are a even smaller subset of long time, wealthy, successful appraisers. The reason is because it costs a lot of money to become an AI appraiser. We're talking at least $15,000. It costs $370 just to join the group without even being an AI appraiser. These people are even more wealthy than ASC appraisers. They're more likely to be white men.

The appraisers they questioned for their poll on races of appraisers is clearly biased. They only asked wealthier appraisers. We do know that wealth correlates positively with the male sex and being "white." That means poorer people, women, Blacks, Latinos, new immigrants....were most likely excluded. Of course the results would show that most appraisers are white men. 

Below is a chart of race % of nation per US census, real estate appraisers per appraisal institute and real estate agents. 



Let's get to the AI race numbers anyway. Per the Appraisal Institute based on answers to a question on "race," the responses were as follows for licensed real estate appraisers: 

Hispanic/Latino 4.3%
American Indian/Alaska Native .4
Asian 1.1
Black or African American 1.3
Caucasian or White 85.4
Multiracial .7
Prefer not to say 5.1
Other 1.7
Total 100%

Per the US most recent US Census, the responses were as follows. Keep in mind that this represents ALL people including babies, children, retired people, disabled, incarcerated, criminals convicted of finance crimes, people in comas... people who can't be appraisers. It does not represent all the people who could physically, legally, technically be real estate appraisers. Such a subset would more likely be white men based on wealth and income.

Hispanic/Latino, alone, percent 18.5%
American Indian/Alaska Native 1.3
Asian 5.9
Black or African American, alone, percent 13.4
Caucasian or White, alone, percent 76.3
Multiracial, percent 2.8
White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, 60.1
No prefer not to say category
No other category

Total = over 100% because of multiracial and multiple categories

We're not really comparing apples to apples here because of multiple categories including "prefer not to say" and the fact that it includes all people in the US. The population sample of appraisers was also highly skewed because of the limited appraisers they questioned. There still could be more white real estate appraisers than in the general population. In this instance someone tried to state that means appraisers are racist against Black people. Oddly enough people haven't said the same thing about real estate agents. I only see articles about appraisers. Let's look at those numbers and see how they compare. 

White  74.2%
Hispanic or Latino 12.3%
Asian 6.4%
Black or African American  5.0%
Unknown 1.8%
American Indian and Alaska Native 0.3%

Those numbers look pretty similar. They also look pretty similar to the population as a whole. There are more white people in the US than Latinos, Blacks, Asians. Does this automatically mean all white people are racists against Blacks? Of course not. The racial makeup of a population does not mean one race is racist against another specific race. There are also fewer Latinos, Asians, American Indians... They are not the ones specifically complaining today. 

Don't get me wrong. Racism definitely exists in the US. It's a huge problem. More Black people are murdered by police. More Black people are in jail. More Black people are falsely convicted of crimes. There definitely are appraisers who are racist just like in all other professions. My issue here is articles stating that because most appraisers are white similar to the US population as a whole means they definitely are racist toward Black people and intentionally low balling their appraisals. 

Based on experience the real reason people right now are yelling racism in real estate appraisals is because buyers are not getting their loans approved for purchases and are unable to make up the difference in cash. The same goes with refinances. Properties are not just selling over list. They are going under contract over the price of the highest sales in the area for similar homes. Appraisers can't appraise a home for higher than the highest similar closed sale. A similar home is +/- 15% size, within last three months, within a 1/2 mile radius, with same condition/upgrades, amenities (e.g. pool, 2 garages)... The appraiser must use the "most similar" comparables. We must bracket size and amenities. The lender made that requirement. Not the appraiser. We are just following orders and a mathematical formula. Buyers are being forced to make up any difference between the contract and the maximum loan allowed in cash. Black, white, brown ... people are all having their appraisals come in lower than they desired. It's not race specific. In 2019 Fannie Mae stated home appraisals came in low 8% of the time. Today it's over 20% of the time. This affects everyone.

Buyers, homeowners don't seem to understand the purpose of a real estate appraisal in the home buying process. If you want to pay 100% cash for a property, you don't need an appraisal. Pay whatever you like. If you want to make a down payment and have a loan, you need an appraisal to get the loan. The real estate appraiser works for the lender and not the seller, buyer or borrower. The lender is willing to loan a certain loan to value ratio (amount of loan / value of property) on property for a borrower with good credit, steady job, assets, cash, investments and a down payment. The purpose is to make sure that if the owner can't make the loan payment for whatever reason that the lender can foreclose and sell the property for enough money to cover the loan balance and all costs. 

The real estate agent is involved in the same transaction yet people aren't calling them racist. The racial makeup of real estate agents is about the same as appraisers. They are going after the appraiser even though it's the lender who is denying the loan. They could pay the difference in cash but they either can't or don't want to. They would call the lender racist but there is no one individual that represents the lender. It's easier to attack the appraiser who has a name and a face so that is what they're doing. 

If Black people want more Black appraisers to feel better represented, they need to become appraisers. If they are having a problem finding a mentor to get their hours, Black appraisers should form an organization to mentor and support Black trainees. Then Black people should only hire Black appraisers to support them financially. The problem finding a mentor has nothing to do with color. It has to do with the difficult trainee process. One article blamed the problem on white people which is totally false. ALL trainees have the same problem finding a mentor. I actually wanted to start a program to help new appraisers and mentor Latinos and Black people. When I found out how much time, money and hassles it would cost me, I changed my mind. Here's an article I wrote about the mentorship issues. 

FWIW I'm Latino and speak Spanish. I appraise properties in lower priced Black, Latino areas. I understand the issues as they relate to value. 

If your loan is denied because of an appraisal value, here's an article I wrote on how to appeal the appraisal. 

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Redlining in home loan financing - Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Los Angeles, California


UPDATE: 08/12/2023 AEI just posted an op-ed about redlining. It stated only 20% of people living in redlined areas at the time were black owners. I previously stated most who owned property in redlined areas were white. Now we know it was 80% which proves my point with research. Whites were primarily negatively affected by redlining because whites owned the property. This proves that blacks were not the target or "victim" of redlining.

This also shows that blacks and others were pushed into these areas because they were cheaper to rent. That is why they were drawn to those areas. No one corralled them into these areas. Poor whites, Latinos, newer immigrants were also in these same areas for the same reasons. Redlining did not cause the areas to deteriorate.

“Our results suggest that racial bias in the construction of the HOLC maps can explain at most 4 to 20 percent of the observed concentration of Black households in the lowest-rated zones. Instead, our results suggest that the majority of Black households were located in such zones because decades of disadvantage and discrimination had already pushed them into the core of economically distressed neighborhoods prior to the federal government’s involvement in mortgage markets.”

Redlining did not keep black people from owning homes. "However, there was a robust growth of black home ownership during the postwar era; continuously increasing from 21% in 1940 to 54% by 1980."

Another point is the condition of the homes in primarily black owned areas. They previously were middle class white areas which experienced deterioration and decline which is a natural real estate cycle. This made the properties cheaper and blacks and others were more easily able to afford to rent them. Some even owned them. Redlining didn't cause this. It's just a real estate cycle which happens all over the world. Blacks, Latinos ended up reaping the benefit of buying the depreciated homes when the areas went through the revitalization stage and greatly increased in value. They sold the properties at a large profit.

"Unlike the Oliver-Shapiro assertion that “their homes and communities deteriorated and lost value,” many of these black neighborhoods were previously upper-middle class ones. This filtering down housing process provided a financial foundation for many black families. And when the professional classes chose to repopulate some of these neighborhoods, black homeowners, including Washington DC’s Shaw district, reaped the gains from further housing appreciation."

Another interesting point is the wealth gap between whites and blacks. It's not caused by the median or average family wealth differences. It's mainly caused by the upper class wealth. I would bet that most of the overall wealth gap is driven by the 5% most wealthy people who are white. If you removed people worth over $5,000,000, the wealth gap would shrink immensely. It's probably the billionaires driving most of the wealth gap.

"The left-wing blogger Matt Bruenig found that if black households in the lower half of their distribution had their wealth raised to be exactly the same as white households in their lower half, the overall racial wealth gap would be reduced by just 3 percent. As a result, he concluded, “What this shows is that 97 percent of the overall racial wealth gap is driven by households above the median of each racial group.” Indeed, over two-thirds of racial gap reflects the differences in assets held by the top ten percent of households in each group. Class, not race is the major driver of wealth inequality. "

Another reason for the wealth gap is the difference in family structure. Couples have more money than single people.

"To be sure, racial disparities in home ownership rates persist. But a significant share can be explained by family structure. In 2022, overall black homeownership was 44 percent; but for married couples it was 64 percent, virtually the same as the overall white homeownership rate. "


ORIGINAL: Redlining - Definition: To refuse (a loan or insurance) to someone because they live in an area deemed to be a poor financial risk.
The National Housing Act of 1934 created the Federal Housing Administration FHA to help revive the US economy after the Great Depression. The purpose of the FHA was to provide affordable loans so people could buy homes. Private lenders would make the loans and the federal government would insure them for losses. The new loans would have lower down payments, smaller monthly payments and were more affordable.
President Roosevelt's New Deal created the Home Owners Loan Corporation to help process the home loans. "To facilitate private investment through the FHA, the HOLC, and the Federal Home Loan Board Bank (FHLBB), the federal government crafted a national set of standards for assessing mortgage risk. Through its 1935 City Survey Program, the HOLC gathered data about neighborhoods from approximately 239 cities and compiled the results into a rating system ranging from A to D. Communities with A ratings represented the best investments for homeowners and banks alike; B, neighborhoods that were still desirable, C, those in decline, and D, areas considered hazardous. "A" communities generally had access to better amenities such as better schools, parks, shopping, transportation and were therefore more desirable. "D" communities generally were located near less desirable features such as industrial properties and they had fewer and lower quality amenities." To visually capture these rankings, the HOLC then turned these ratings into color-coded maps, using green for A, blue for B, yellow for C, and red for D – the origin of the term “redlining.”

Many researchers have stated the HOLC maps were more a consequence of existing ordinary and discriminatory lending practices as opposed to being a cause for them. Still, the spatial isolation could make it a self-fulfilling prophecy over time. Many have stated the ratings were just a description of the current state of the real estate cycle for each neighborhood. A "D" area could be revitalized, redeveloped into a "B" area. If that area improved with the addition of more public transportation, parks, schools, shopping, it could become an "A" area. This is what has happened in downtown Los Angeles and other areas such as Boyle Heights which some refer to as gentrification. Areas which were in a then D zone are now a B zone. The reverse has also happened. Some areas which were B are now D. Real estate risk constantly changes.

Others have shown how the HOLC grades were more a function of factors such as housing condition, residential density, and housing type, as opposed to solely ethnic and racial composition. If the ethnic and racial compositions were not included in the maps, it would not have affected their accuracy in determining loan risk. Over time some of these ratings became more associated with race and immigration status than unbiased risk. The term "red zone" ended up having a connotation of POC, immigrants living in poor areas. Generally poorer people, people of color and immigrants lived in the C, D areas because it was less expensive. Over time the redlining caused less investment in C, D areas and more in A, B areas causing a greater divide between the areas. As people were pushed out of more expensive A, B areas and into C, D areas, those areas became A, B areas.

It must be noted that the actual HOLC maps never stated "D is a black area" or "D is an immigrant area." There were worksheets prepared by individuals which were used to determine the risk of each specific area. Those worksheets included many factors and descriptions including the following from top to bottom (see worksheet for an area of Los Angeles below), population, class and occupation, nationalities, income, sometimes "negro" %, building type, size, age, condition, owner/tenant % occupancy, home price bracket, sales demand, predicted price trend, sales demand, new construction, rate of sale of new construction, overhang of HOLC properties, description and characteristic of area. It's important to note that the maps only covered 239 cities. We have 108,000 cities in the US. The entire US was never mapped. Only .2% of cities were mapped, 1/5th of 1%. It's clearly impossible for the mapping of only .2% to affect all cities today.

Today in real estate appraisal and analysis we use all of the above factors except race and nationality. It's a violation of the Fair Housing Act to consider or mention race or nationality because it would be discrimination. All of the other factors are good indicators of value and trends. Now the US Census does include race and whether or not someone is "foreign born." The census has nothing to do with real estate sales or loans. It's a population study.

That said the areas ended up correlating with higher populations of POC, immigrants and poor people based on affordability. There is a direct correlation between income and POC. Whites make more than Latinos and Blacks. People with more money buy more expensive homes in more expensive areas. If the government wants to correct the wealth gap, they need to fix the income gap. Appraisers can't do it. If one were to note today property in the four distinct phases or life cycles of real estate, one would probably find a higher percentage of POC, immigrants and poor people in those same areas because hazardous, run down, less desirable areas have lower rent and less expensive homes to buy. In some areas, it's all poor white people. The correlation is income and wealth. People buy or rent what they can afford based on their income. Wealth is tied to income. Race correlates with income. The correlation is NOT race = home valuation. The causation is income.
The Fair Housing Act of 1968 made redlining due to race illegal. It became "unlawful to discriminate in the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale of a dwelling because of race or national origin." A bank could no longer refuse to make loans in certain areas based on those specific factors. Banks can only refuse loans based on the credit, credit history, income, assets, debts, expenses of the buyer, borrower. Those were the only factors that ever mattered in relation to risk anyway.

I am using this example below because it specifically mentions race, nationalities. Not all of the worksheets noted it. It was up to the individual filling in the form. The race, nationality had no effect on the rating. It was just reporting. They could have omitted it and ratings would have been the same. We know that race, immigrant status, being poor correlated with the lower C and D ratings because they correlated with lower income, lower net financial worth, lower credit ratings which affects affordability. This is not to say one caused the other. This is just to aid in the explanation of what "redlining" was.


Another important thing to consider is most people in the "redlined" areas were renters. Generally these areas are 80% tenants. The people who owned the property were mainly white. White property owners were the ones being denied loans or charged more for the loans. POC property owners were in the minority but they were also denied loans or charged more. And again this is only for government backed loans. People still got loans on the properties from sub prime lenders. We still have sub prime lenders today who do riskier loans. Those riskier loans are for riskier borrows or properties. A risky borrower has little cash, poor credit, lots of debt, shorter confirmed work history, undocumented work history, little income showing on tax returns, income only from retirement funds or investment property... A risky property is located in a wildfire area, higher risk flood zone, lava zone, tornado zone, next to river/ocean/lake, landslide area, on an earthquake fault, condo development with a major lawsuit, condo development with insufficient repair funds, older property, property not in average condition, property that needs seismic word, property with tenants that refuse to move, property that is behind on property taxes... Notice all these risk factors have nothing to do with race or color. These are just loan risk factors. Any safe bank would consider all of these risk factors especially if they are offering and reselling government backed loans.

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


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