Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Sunday, July 30, 2023

Nazario Incorrectly Blames Their Home Affordability Issues in Los Angeles on Government by Mary Cummins


This family of four tries to blame the government for their inability, unwillingness to cheaply rent or buy a home in central Los Angeles on their low wages with little savings. There are a few issues here the biggest being their relatively low wages. The article states the two daughters graduated from college. Jennifer Nazario got a Masters in economics and Paula Zanario got one in public policy. Their Opinion op-ed piece shows they may not have been paying attention in class.

People making minimum wage can't afford to rent a one bedroom in LA same in SF and NY let alone buy a home. Median rent for one bedroom here is $2,100. You need two people with minimum wage jobs to afford that and they're still rent burdened. They should increase their wages before considering buying. They've now bought at the peak of the market with high interest rates and a super low down payment. Hope they didn't get an adjustable and never have an emergency or job loss.

One issue I've found with people living in rent control units is they never strive to increase their income because they don't need to. I can only imagine how low the rent is for that studio after having been there for 25 years. It's wayyyyyyy below market rent. They've been taking advantage of their landlord who has subsidized their rent for 25 years. Their landlord is probably also an immigrant Latino. 

Legally they were not allowed to have four people in there. They could have been evicted easily but the landlord was nice to them and allowed them to stay. It's two people max allowed for a studio though sometimes they'll allow a very young underage child.

As I read the article the two kids weren't old enough to work until about 2022. They said they both went to college then grad school. They chose not to get full time jobs. Then they said they, I assume the two daughters, make over $136,650 a year combined. They did at least state they were happy they had low rent so they could save a lot of money for years. That's nice. It also means they are admitting they could have afforded a bigger better place if they wanted to. They are complaining about a situation they created for themselves.

The writers state they applied for the BofA program but didn't qualify because they made too much money. They also applied for the California Dream for All program which ran out of funds. Then they whined about the pay back part of one program if they accrue equity and sell. That's how the program works and is funded! We're really just taking their word for it. There could be more involved like credit scores, time at their jobs, other debt like car payments, credit card debt, bad debt, student loans...

They ended up buying a home outside of expensive downtown Los Angeles with 3% down. This was after they basically complained about rising rents, home prices and gentrification. They moved somewhere else and contributed to gentrification in that area. "Gentrification" has nothing to do with race but finances. Finances correlate with race in the US. Whites make more than Latinos and Blacks. It's actually just the revitalization cycle of real estate. People get pushed out of more expensive areas into less expensive areas. That's what happened with this family. They originally found a cheap place to live because it was in the recession phase before the recovery phase. They just did the same with their new place. They committed "gentrification."

Jennifer and Paula Nazario suggest government programs should provide free or cheap down payments for homes for poor people with low income jobs, bad credit, lots of debt and no savings. They clearly were not paying attention in class especially Jennifer with her Economics degree. If anyone can basically buy a home for free even though they can't easily make the mortgage, taxes, insurance, upkeep expenses, they will default and lose the home. That's why conventional loans don't allow you to borrow the down payment money. If you aren't making enough income to afford the down payment, you can't weather any emergency and won't be able to pay back the loan. Someone with no money in the deal won't care as much about losing the property. No bank would loan on a property without an equity cushion for fees, costs if they get stuck with it in foreclosure. There is a ton of years long research on this. 

Someone should have dissuaded the Nazarios from writing this clueless op-ed piece. It makes them look really stupid. I wasn't going to say anything until I saw that Jennifer has a degree in Economics. I'm truly embarrassed for them because I'm Latino. Thankfully I have common sense and don't expect the government to pay for everything for me. You have to do some things for yourself in this world.

From the article: "Jennifer Nazario is a systems administrator at a network of college-preparatory schools and a first-generation college graduate with a master’s degree in economics. Paula Nazario is an assistant director at UCLA and the first person in her family to go to college. She has a master’s degree in public policy."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/family-four-shared-cramped-studio-100112963.html



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Saturday, July 22, 2023

Barbie's Malibu Beach House 33505 Pacific Coast Highway PCH Hwy by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

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The Barbie Malibu Beach house is located at 33405 Pacific Coast Highway PCH Hwy. The GPS is 34.04435703038078, -118.90477660010154 . Here is the Google map. The Assessor's Parcel Number APN is 4473-003-003. 

Barbie's Malibu Dream House is owned by 62 year old real estate agent Kirby Max Kotler

Legal description is LAND OF MATTHEW KELLER IN THE RANCHO TOPANGA MALIBU SEQUIT LOT ON N LINE OF PACIFIC COAST HWY COM N 9 14'30" E 50 FT AND N 80 45'30" W 600 FT FROM ENGR STA 229 PLUS 62.82 IN C/L OF SD HWY PER 30" E PART OF LOT 19 . Below is the parcel map. Look at the pink arrow.


It was last listed for lease for $12,000/month in 2011. Description is "Newly built, private and gated, custom architectural home situated on over 2.5 acres of land. This beautiful home, surrounded by lush and tropical landscaping, has 3 bedrooms + office/guest bedroom and 3.5 bathrooms and maids quarters. Gourmet chef's kitchen with stainless steel Viking appliances and stunning living room with fireplace. This Malibu Estate boasts magnificent 180 degree ocean and whitewater views of the beautiful Pacific Ocean from Santa Monica to the Channel Islands." Below is the last MLS for the property.

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It's currently listed on Airbnb. https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/857387972692815761?source_impression_id=p3_1690054420_cHHNZOsAAcCHU8Wl&modal=PHOTO_TOUR_SCROLLABLE

It was built in 2007 and is legally 3375 sf. The jurisdiction is City of Malibu, Los Angeles County, California.

Google image views before the pink paint job.
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Part of the property was burned in the Woolsey fire and the owner was forced to sue the insurance company. Below is a request to rebuild a nonconforming structure. It includes a letter at the end about the issues. They have until November 2023 to submit plans for permits to rebuilt. I assume they did that.

https://www.malibucity.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/5375?fileID=27065

More information from AirBnb

"Welcome to my Kendom! While Barbie is away, she has handed over the keys to her Malibu DreamHouse this summer and my room could be yours for the night. I’ve added a few touches to bring some much-needed Kenergy to the newly renovated and iconic Malibu DreamHouse. Placed perfectly above the beach with panoramic views, this life-size toy pink mansion is a dream come true!

Booking opens at 10 a.m. PT on Monday, July 17 for two, one-night stays for up to two guests on July 21 and July 22, 2023.

The space

Situated along the stunning, photogenic coastline, the Malibu DreamHouse is a sunny surfer’s sanctuary surrounded by beach, beach and more beach – just the way I like it.

I’ve decked out the place with a little more…well, me! I’m more than just beach! My cowboy stuff is great. And horses! Guitars, games and more. And of course, rollerblades, because I literally go nowhere without them. Now, guests can live it up Ken-style for a neon night in Barbie Land – six-pack not included.

- During your stay, you will have the opportunity to live in technicolor by:

- Taking a spin through my awesome wardrobe to find your best beach fit. Look out Barbie, I’ve got quite the closet too!

- Channeling your inner cowboy and learning a line dance or two on my outdoor disco dance floor or performing a sunset serenade on my guitar

- Challenging your fellow guests to a “beach off” with plenty of sunbathing and chillaxing by the infinity pool

- Taking home a piece of my Kendom with your very own set of yellow-and-pink Impala skates and surfboard

Other things to note

Once you arrive and check-in, our concierge will ensure a comfortable stay for you and your guest — including showing you around and setting out and arranging meals.

These one-night stays are not a contest. Guests are responsible for their own travel to and from Malibu. This home is privately owned and operated.

In celebration of BARBIE hitting theaters on July 21, and to honor girls’ empowerment, Airbnb will make a one-time donation to Save the Children. Save the Children provides learning resources and support to children, families, and communities in 100+ countries to build girls’ confidence and help them excel in school – ensuring everyone has equal opportunity to achieve success."

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Thursday, July 20, 2023

PAREA Update from David Samnick - Practical Applications of Real Estate Appraisal , comment by Mary Cummins

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I haven't been following PAREA as closely as I should have but thankfully appraiser David Samnick has been following it. He attended an Appraisal Institute meeting yesterday about the program. It's disheartening to say the least. The purpose of PAREA was to make it easier, cheaper and faster for new appraisers to get the training and hours of real life experience they need to get their license. A main purpose was to help diversify appraisers by making it cheaper and getting rid of the mandatory mentor/trainee. Lower income people can't work as a trainee for free for two years. I wrote a few articles about this huge obstacle to getting a license. Here's one from June 2021. https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2021/06/difficulties-becoming-real-estate.html

This post below by David Samnick makes it clear that AI and others such as McKissock have used the issue of diversity just to line their pockets with money. The Appraisal Institute, McKissock make money selling education hours to appraisers. AI got a grant from the government to work on PAREA. May 18, 2023, the AQB approved the first PAREA program, belonging to the Appraisal Institute (AI). I wish I were wealthy and retired so I could train people for free. I'd only train POC if that were legal and not discriminatory.

"Practical Applications of Real Estate Appraisal (PAREA) is a program that aims to revolutionize the real estate industry by increasing the number of appraisers. However, after listening to the Appraisal Institute speaker at yesterdays board meeting it quickly became evident that this initiative is a complete failure.

A) You cannot start PAREA until you have received all your real estate appraisal education. 94 hours = $1,700 per McKissock

B) Appraisal Institute speaker said that most AMC's/banks won't accept licensed appraisers work so he suggests going the CR route. Cost to become a CR appraiser through PAREA - $10,000

C) PAREA is a complete online course. Zero mentorship in the real world. No physical measuring. No driving. No real time experience. No true mentorship.

D) No discussion with the PAREA student about the pay to play. Multiple MLS services, E&O insurance, business expenses, accounting, appraisal software, computers, reliable transportation, and other miscellaneous expenses. Total costs can exceed $6,000 per year.

E) The Appraisal Institute said that this would increase diversity into the appraisal field yet could not tell us the breakdown of how many applicants were minorities.

F) PAREA graduates will be scooped up by AMCS to sign off on Hybrid reports performed by third party data collectors.

G) PAREA graduates have no geographic competence.

H) Total cost for PAREA at the end of the day = $17,700 and potentially more.

 

The Average Joes argued several points in the board meeting.

A) A graduate of the PAREA course would be paid and treated like a trainee as they have no real-world experience.

B) We could have more appraisers back into the industry if banks/amcs would allow appraisers to use their trainees.

C) Reinstate Licensed appraisers to be able to mentor new trainees. This would introduce the next generation of appraisers into the business.

D) Petition FHA to reinstate any licensed appraiser who took the FHA course and had to pass the test.

E) More appraisers would hire trainees if the AMC model wasn't taking so much money out of the pockets of working appraisers. Work is slow. Most have the mentality that my bills come before your bills.

 

In closing PAREA launched in 2019. And the program has not been successful in diversifying the appraisal profession. In fact, a study by the Appraiser Qualifications Board found that the PAREA program has had a negative impact on diversity in the appraisal profession.

The study found that the PAREA program is disproportionately used by white appraisers. In fact, white appraisers are more than twice as likely to use the PAREA program than minority appraisers. The study also found that the PAREA program is not as effective in providing a more accessible pathway to licensure as the traditional apprenticeship model."

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7087764386198556672/

Below was stated May 2023 by AI. “Market research has shown that value proposition—what PAREA is worth to someone in the marketplace—is around $5,000,” DiBiaso said. “Our pricing strategy may be different than that and include scholarships and discounts and payment plans. We have a commitment to The Appraisal Foundation that we will give preference of our scholarships to minorities, veterans, and people who indicate a willingness to serve in rural areas. The scholarships will come from a number of different sources including AI.” 

McKissock stated their program will be ready June 2023. “We are investing heavily in the technology tools that appraisers use,” Nancy Gerome said, McKissock’s appraisal general manager. “Our hope is to have them consistently trained. You’ll get all different types of properties and scenarios because we’re leaning into the technology and experience. We’re trying to be thorough, that’s why we’re taking our time. We want to get it right.”  

McKissock staff is preparing their launch to accommodate thousands of trainees, over a staggered period. They estimate the average time a person will take to complete the program is six months. The cost for participating is not yet determined. Staff did confirm there will be a “buy now, pay later” option, as well as scholarships.  

“We are building a scholarship program because we know one of the goals of PAREA is to bring diversity into the profession, and we want to make it as affordable as we can,” Gerome said. Those interested in participating in a PAREA program of either McKissock or AI need to have already completed their Qualifying Education. "

Clearly when the government said there was a probably with diversity among real estate appraisers and the government would give money to help diversify appraisers all these companies heard was MONEY. They will just be training more appraisers for more money and the appraisers will probably all still be mainly older white men. 

Appraisal Institute talks about grants and scholarships for POC and women all the time. I tried to apply and they said I have to pay to join their organization before they'd even talk about it. What if I had no qualifications or were denied? I'd be out the membership fee which is not cheap. It normally costs $15,000 to become an AI MAI appraiser even though I have 40 years of experience and have taken every publicly available real estate appraisal class in existence over the last 40 years. This is clearly a racket when you consider the government gave them money for the program. Gate keeping with a membership fee to the Appraisal Institute before you can access government funding.


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Fed Michael Barr: AI could 'perpetuate or even amplify' racial bias in mortgages, by Mary Cummins

Michael Barr of the Federal Reserve stated artificial intelligence AI could perpetuate or even amplify racial bias in mortgages, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, michael barr, racial bias,federal reserve, fed, loan origination, race, black, white, bias
Michael Barr of the Federal Reserve stated artificial intelligence AI could perpetuate or even amplify racial bias in mortgages, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, michael barr, racial bias,federal reserve, fed, loan origination, race, black, white, bias

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is now being accused of racial bias. They're basically stating math, statistics, numbers themselves are racially biased. Again, the correlation between race and home value is caused by the income gap. If you have less money, you buy a less expensive home. Same with credit scores. The less money you have, the lower your credit score. POC make less money than whites. I'm just glad they're not still falsely accusing appraisers of AI's bias like they did previously with Andre Perry's fraudulent paper. No appraiser was involved in his data only robot Automated Valuation Methods (AVMs) which were basically accurate.

https://www.americanbanker.com/news/feds-barr-ai-could-perpetuate-or-even-amplify-bias-in-mortgages

"Fed's Barr: AI could 'perpetuate or even amplify' bias in mortgages

By  Kyle Campbell

Michael Barr, vice chair for supervision at the Federal Reserve, said in a speech Tuesday that artificial intelligence in mortgage underwriting could exacerbate racial bias if left unchecked.Bloomberg News

The Federal Reserve's top regulator is wary of the use of artificial intelligence in mortgage underwriting. 

Speaking at the National Fair Housing Alliance's national conference Tuesday morning, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said advancements in mortgage origination technology could lead to discriminatory lending practices."

Just did some Googling on racial bias in loan origination. 98-99% of the difference in loan origination between blacks, whites explained by credit scores and leverage. Did they consider LTV on the home or all debts? There's more to credit than credit score and LTV ratios. They include savings, how long at current job, debts, monthly financial responsibilities, single vs married, children... AEI research considered those factors.

"How much does racial bias affect mortgage lending? We assess racial discrimination in mortgage approvals using new data on mortgage applications. Minority applicants tend to have significantly lower credit scores, higher leverage, and are less likely than white applicants to receive algorithmic approval from race-blind government automated underwriting systems (AUS). Observable applicant- risk factors explain most of the racial disparities in lender denials. Further, we exploit the AUS data to show there are risk factors we do not directly observe, and our analysis indicates that these factors explain at least some of the residual 1-2 percentage point denial gaps. Overall, we find that differential treatment has played a limited role in generating denial disparities in recent years."

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/how-much-does-racial-bias-affect-mortgage-lending.htm

I'm thinking this is just showboating for political reasons. The banks, credit unions don't want to give up credit scores. They correlate highly with ability to repay loans. 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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