UPDATE 11/03/2023AEI proves once again that HUD, US Government lied about appraisers allegedly low-balling people of color. This is exactly what appraisers have been saying all along. "We find that seemingly large differences in the share of under-valuations–appraisals where the appraised value is below the contract price– received by people of color are almost entirely or entirely due to differences in geographies where people, regardless of race or ethnicity, reside. When comparing appraisals for people of color to those for non-Hispanic white people within the same census tract, we find that there are no or minimal differences.
This analysis suggests that commonalities in people’s experiences in buying a home (e.g. first-time home buyer status) or local market conditions (e.g. the presence of a market frenzy or seller concessions) are far more important than differences in people’s race or ethnicity when it comes to determining who receives an under-valuation and who does not. This suggests that studies by FHFA, Brookings, or Freddie Mac with their singular focus on appraiser racial bias have misdiagnosed the issue." #AEI #americanenterpriseinstitute #marycummins #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #HUD https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/confirming-alternative-explanations-for-appraisal-under-valuations-new-evidence-from-appraisal-level-data/
ORIGINAL: American Enterprise Institute (AEI) made some important independently researched statements in their comment letter about the PAVE Task Force, AVMs and real estate appraisers. It shows with verified facts the flaws in the research cited by PAVE. The research cited by PAVE was poorly done by the Urban Institute, Andre Perry then twisted to meet the agenda of UI, Perry. I have no issues with promoting the interests of black people. I'm Latino and promote the interests of Latinos, Blacks, Asians, women, lower income, homeless... I do have a problem with people falsifying research to promote an agenda with racist lies which hurt innocent people. Below are a few important issues raised in AEI's comment letter to the PAVE Task Force.
1. AEI stated First Time Buyers (FTBs) tend to overpay for properties. There are also more seller concessions. This would explain appraisals being at market value which is lower than contract price. I see this all the time because I appraise in these areas. It's not the result of biased, racist appraisers.
Urban Institute, HUD, PAVE stated that "racist old white male" appraisers were intentionally low balling blacks and Latinos. Their "proof" was a difference in contract price and appraisal values in census tract areas with more Blacks, Latinos. I'd commented at the time it was probably because there is a correlation between race and income. Whites make more money than blacks, Latinos. People who make more money have more money and buy more expensive homes in more expensive areas. Areas which are predominantly black, Latino are lower income areas with many first time buyers.
"The presence of first-time homebuyers (FTBs) or the use of seller concessions could affect the sale price relative to the AVM. Our analysis in “Exploring Alternative Explanations for Appraisal UnderValuation” shows a significantly higher share of FTBs in tracts with lower levels of non-Hispanic White residents. This is significant because the literature shows that FTBs tend to overbid for a home by approximately $3,000, or about 1% of the contract price for the average home compared to repeat buyers and that they use a higher share of seller concessions, which can amount to 2.01-3% of the property price."
2. The letter noted that homes in lower priced areas that are more likely to be predominantly black, Latino are generally in lower rated condition which would be C4, C5 rating as opposed to C3 and above. I see this every day in my inspections of these areas. Again, it has to do with money. The more money you have, the more you will spend to properly maintain and upgrade your home.
"Even though the paper controls for home quality as measured by an exterior condition rating, we found in other work that exterior condition ratings can be quite different from interior condition ones. We also found that home interior quality can be a significant factor in the difference between an AVM and a home’s sale price and that for a small number of properties with extreme conditions that difference was significant."
3. The letter also again stated that AEI found no effect of race on appraisal value.
"We have pointed out serious flaws in numerous studies that purport to show widespread appraiser bias or systemic devaluations of neighborhoods." https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/exploring-alternative-explanations-for-appraisal-under-valuation/
They suggest "To better measure and document appraiser racial bias, we once again propose reviewing every appraiser for racial bias and deliberate inaccuracies based on a comprehensive review of their past refinance appraisals. To that end, we have demonstrated a working methodology in “A Blueprint for Mass Screening Appraisers for Racial Bias and Inaccuracy Based on an Atlanta, GA Study” that could be implemented today by either FHFA, Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac.Ultimately, the goal of public policy should be to identify biased and inaccurate appraisers and to prosecute the former and to educate and retrain the latter."
I fully support this. Please, fairly audit everyone's appraisals. I'd be the first to take racist appraisers out behind the woodshed. Take away their license, charge them with actual crimes and send them to prison. Stop blaming every appraiser for racism and bias. What really irks me is that these people are claiming racism and bias when they are doing exactly that to real estate appraisers. If you're against racism, bias, you should be against ALL racism or bias against everyone or else you're a hypocrite.
Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.
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