Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Showing posts with label mary cummins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mary cummins. Show all posts

Friday, December 13, 2024

Appraisal Institute States FHFA Study is Deeply Flawed, Comments by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser


Appraisal Institute states FHFA "study" is flawed. The "study" also used the Zillow Home Value Index aka Zestimate which includes tax assessor data, MLS listings, public data, info provided by alleged property owners... The data, analysis and conclusions are all flawed. GIGO, Garbage In Garbage Out. No one would ever publish their paper in a peer reviewed journal for those reasons yet the government sends it out as "factual research." Biased. #appraisalinstitute #FHFA #zillow #zestimatefails #Zestimate #marycummins #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal

From the article.

"A study on the use of time adjustments by appraisers conducted by two researchers at the Federal Housing Finance Agency in November contains serious flaws that misrepresent the appraisal process and further demonize the appraisal profession regarding racial bias. The study, Underappraisal Disparities and Time Adjustments to Comparable Sales Prices in Mortgage Appraisals, contends appraised values often fail to reflect rapidly increasing home prices in competitive markets. It further casts housing equity concerns, claiming that time adjustments are used less in curing “underappraisal” in majority Black and Hispanic neighborhoods than in major White neighborhoods. The study suggests appraisers should use automated valuation models and lenders should randomly assign appraisal orders to mitigate bias.

For one, the assumption that appraisals should perfectly mirror the pace of rising market prices oversimplifies the role of appraisers and the appraisal process. The study does not sufficiently account for the complexity of making time adjustments in markets with uneven price growth or where transaction volumes are low, limiting the availability of comparable sales.

The study also interprets caution by appraisers as “underappraisal,” when this may represent a prudent check against market volatility. In rapidly appreciating markets, appraisals may appear low compared to contract prices, but this could serve as a risk-mitigation tool, in protecting buyers from overpaying during speculative bubbles.

Further, the research ignores critical dynamics of the appraisal process in how comparable sales may be accounted for by appraisers in the narrative section of appraisals. For example, in some markets, a market change might occur with an increase of as much as 1% per month. Therefore, a comparable sale that is as recent as 2 or 3 months ago, could require a 2% or 3% positive adjustment to the sale price. On the other hand, with a market that is moving at a mere 3% a year, then a three-month old sale would correspond to only a .75% adjustment. An appraiser might well not apply such adjustment, as it could be argued as being of virtual rounding error. An appraiser might well handle the issue in the reconciliation of the three to four or more comparable sales presented in the sales comparison approach, which is completely overlooked by the study.

There may be a myriad of other factors at play. For instance, and for whatever reason, an appraiser’s analysis could indicate that one of the comparable sales sold on the “high” side. Applying a time adjustment for an above-the-market sale, while requiring explanation, might not be appropriate at all.

The study also leans heavily on the use of automated valuation model information from Zillow, which has its own credibility and accuracy problems."

Read the rest at the link.

Link to article

https://www.appraisalinstitute.org/cmspages/newsletters/getemailbrowsercontent.ashx?issueGuid=a47d3875-adac-4c06-976f-a74cf075c4f3&recipientEmail=adomatis%40hotmail.com&hash=dee4bfd3032a0548215443494269a5ad0ce160df6bf2e9f5eb5bd5cbc41fc36a&utm_source=ainewsletter_appraisal_now_20241213_a_b&utm_campaign=ainewsletter&utm_medium=email&fbclid=IwY2xjawHJbQtleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHRhQEY41enGI_9PE2g1aIpBP89mxTLlgApt8kVLq_Amh_Gru75czg-oGFw_aem_RMT7BVcsvwnhpT-8Tkl0FA

Link to the flawed FHFA "study" "Underappraisal Disparities and Time Adjustments to Comparable Sales Prices in Mortgage Appraisals" by William M. Doerner, Scott Susin, November 2024. Working Paper 24-07

https://www.fhfa.gov/sites/default/files/2024-11/wp2407.pdf

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Friday, December 6, 2024

Taking a Listing in Probate and Trust webinar by Paul Horn Attorney, notes by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser


I attended a webinar given by California probate estate attorney Paul Horn. It was very informative and entertaining. Paul Horn Esq definitely knows wills, trusts, probate and real estate. He gave some great advice which I've actually heard from other estate attorneys.

It's important to order a date of death historical appraisal to determine market value at time of death. Paul Horn stated it's well worth the $500 cost. One person asked if they must sell the property for the appraisal value. He said "of course not." Sell it for what you believe is the highest current market value. 

In order to sell a home in probate you will need three main things i.e., Order for Probate, Letters, Notice of Proposed Action. These are all legal forms which can be found at lacourt.org He posted samples but they had names so I won't repost them. A real estate agent would get these items from the attorney handling the probate, estate. The real estate agent does not fill them out. The attorney does.


This is the California Probate Process.


The best thing is to avoid probate altogether. It will save you time, money and headaches. Get a will and a trust. Put the property in the trust. Make sure not to put the name of your heirs on the deed. Put the name of the trust only. This image shows the benefits of a trust versus a will. If you only have a will, you have to go through probate.


These are the essentials of good estate planning.

A married couple should take ownership as community property to avoid extra taxes.


 Here is one of Paul Horn's videos on the probate process.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZtMW7hlH-c

You should have an attorney handle your will and trust. This is not legal advice. I am not an attorney. I would recommend Paul Horn to handle trusts, wills and probate. He knows what he's talking about. I've been doing historical date of death appraisals for over 40 years. I've had to deal with estates and probates so I've dealt with many estate and planning attorneys. 

@paulhornesq https://www.paulhornlawfirm.com/

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Sunday, December 1, 2024

CLAW MLS Allows Agents to Remove Photos at Close of Sale by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser Los Angeles


Combined Los Angeles Westside Multiple Listing Services CLAW MLS via Vesta Plus allows all subject photos except main photo to be removed, unpublished from the listing when the property is sold. It's for privacy reasons which I totally understand. Seeing the condition of the listed and sold comparables is such a vital data source for real estate appraisers. I wrote an email to the MLS asking if there is a way real estate appraisers could view the photos . 

"I received notice yesterday that all photos except one main photo could be removed from the MLS when the sale closes. As a real estate appraiser this will be a huge loss of data and information. It will affect the appraisals of all homes if we can't see the condition, upgrades or amenities of the comparables. 

Is there a way for appraisers to access the hidden photos for appraisals? We can agree never to post the photos publicly."

CLAW MLS response.

"Thank you for your email and we understand your concerns.  Please note that as of right now, selling agents do already remove all photos except the main one once a listing is sold.  Unfortunately, once the photos are unpublished, there is no way to retrieve them.

Removing all photos is a very common request as selling agents are constantly being asked by the new owners to remove photos due to safety concerns."


Someone commented on LinkedIn that the photos would still be on Zillow. Only if the owner doesn't request their removal. You can remove all photos of a house you claim to own. 

It may be a good idea for appraisers to print out the MLS listing of comps used with photos for the work file in case there are questions later. Click print, with photos, save as pdf. 



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Sunday, November 24, 2024

What will Donald Trump, Scott Turner do to HUD? Same thing Trump Did First Term, Cut the Budget and Programs, by Mary Cummins



Photo: Wikipedia, Donald Trump, Scott Turner, HUD, Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, 

Donald Trump nominated ex-football player, motivational speaker and Pastor Scott Turner to be the head of HUD. Scott was a Texas State Representative for the 33rd District for two terms. He was also on Trump's White House Opportunity and Revitalization Council during Trump's first term. In 2023 he was hired as Chief Visionary Officer (lobbyist?) at JPI a real estate company.

When Turner was on the White House Opportunity and Revitalization Council he co-produced a one year report. That report was the result of the Trump 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. It dealt mainly with plans to promote investments in Opportunity Zones. A final report released in 2020 stated they were involved in different grant programs. Trump cut the HUD budget at least 18% during his term so grant programs and funding were reduced. That appeared to be a name only PR council and report.

We can expect Trump to again cut the HUD budget. I personally feel some programs are vital and others should be cut. I'd like to suggest HUD cut the funds given to NFHA for defamatory advertisements trashing appraisers. They could also cut the funding for the improper sting operations and lawsuits regarding appraisers. They should also look into the false and frivolous appraiser complaints. Hire an independent real estate appraisal company to investigate to see if the values in question were market value or not. If they weren't, investigate. If they were, dismiss the complaint and send an all clear letter. So much money was wasted on these worthless programs that did not find appraiser bias.

Trump in his Project 2025 plan stated he'd get rid of PAVE. The PAVE Task Force is over and it didn't really change anything. The main purpose was to get black, Latino and lower income votes and to keep campaign promises about solving made up problems. Joe Biden lied and said appraisal bias was a huge problem causing wealth inequality. The real problem is income inequality causing wealth inequality. Biden said he alone could fix the fake problem if they voted for him. The fake problem didn't exist. 

We were already doing all of the suggested PAVE programs. We already had appraisal appeal aka Reconsideration of Value ROV processes. We already had mandatory bias, discrimination and fair housing education. We already had a complaint process. We were already planning a PAREA like solution to the mentorship program problems. The PAREA program is not yet successful with only a handful of graduates at huge expense. Appraisers are almost as diverse as real estate agents. The issue is high initial cost, time and inability to make a living in the current market. This goes back to income inequality. 

Most people think HUD has the power to solve the housing crisis. It does not. HUD only oversees public housing programs and government backed mortgages. They have no control or jurisdiction over the real causes of the housing crisis which is insufficient number of housing units. That problem is caused by the states, counties and cities building requirements. It's not a problem under the direct jurisdiction of the federal government.

Trump has made some suggestions for helping the housing crisis. He will most likely roll back the Inflation Reduction Act which mandated more energy efficient homes. I doubt the developers will trickle down those savings to the consumer. Trump also suggested using federal lands to build homes. Those lands aren't in areas where people want to live. The last time the government did that developers built cheap shitty homes on swamp land such as Marin City. Trump said he'll reduce interest rates but he has no control over that Department. 

It will be interesting to see what Donald Trump and Scott Turner actually do with HUD. I predict they will just reduce the budget and cut programs like Trump did last time. Turner will do a lot of positive press and release a lot of positive reports while he obeys Trump and guts the Department as much as possible. 


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Thursday, November 21, 2024

UCLA States Los Angeles City Rezoning Plan Falls Far Short of Housing Needs by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

UCLA report chiping in: evaluation the effects of LA's citywide housing incentive program on neighborhood development potential, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, los angeles, california, zoning, housing crisis, homelessness, homeless, rezoning, city wide housing incentive program CHIP

The UCLA report "CHIPing In: Evaluating the effects of LA’s Citywide Housing Incentive Program on neighborhood development potential" states Los Angeles City rezoning plan will not provide enough housing. While the city deals with the aftermath of insufficient housing, i.e. homelessness, they are not dealing with the root cause which is an insufficient number of housing units. This reminds me of LA City's homeless pets problem. As a rescuer we say we can't adopt our way out of the problem. We need to shut off the supply of homeless pets at the source. We need the same with homeless humans. We can't just keep putting homeless in short term expensive city paid housing. We need to stop the cause of most people becoming homeless which is lack of sufficient housing. Below is the summary.

"At any given moment, thousands of people in L .A. County experience homelessness, but many thousands more teeter on its brink, living precariously in the region’s unforgiving housing market. Despite considerable public investments in supportive housing and homeless services, the county has thus far failed to reduce homelessness. This lack of progress can partly be attributed to inattention to the upstream determinants of homelessness. A combination of local, state, and federal efforts have helped a growing number of unhoused people return to stable housing, but we have made little headway combatting the conditions that put people at higher risk of homelessness in the first place. We have successfully increased the outflow from homelessness, but we have failed — so far — to reduce the inflow into homelessness."

Back in 2022 Los Angeles City approved a plan to rezone to accommodate more housing. It included rezoning some single family residential R1 zones for multifamily use i.e. two plus units.

"CHIP differs significantly from the rezoning plan proposed in the city’s certified housing element, adopted by the Los Angeles City Council in 2022. In its housing element, the city outlined strategies for allowing up to 1.3 million newunits across 15 programs, including some that would rezone properties currently zoned only for single-family detached housing. As part of CHIP, the city substantially revised these original rezone programs and removed proposed changes to single-family zones, which account for 74% of residentially zoned land in LA (Menendian et al., 2022). This departure from the adopted housing element has important implications for the city’s ability to meet itshousing production goals and to affirmatively further fair housing (AFFH) —as mandated by state and federal law —by increasing housing options in well-resourced, opportunity-rich neighborhoods."

The UCLA report states that the current CHIP approved plan will not produce enough housing to meet the city's goals or needs. The main reason is because rezoning is one thing but developers actually building more housing units in those areas is another thing. It doesn't make economic sense to build in the areas the city with these mandatory requirements. CHIP offers bonuses if developers deed restrict some units for low income. This forces developers to pay to build and subsidize housing for poor people on their privately owned land. They lose money doing this so it doesn't make economic sense. It's like telling developers they must build housing with both hands tied behind their back. The issue is NIMBYs telling the city they don't want more housing in their areas because they fear traffic, lack of parking, yadda yadda... Lower income people tell the city not to allow more housing unless they get free or almost free housing. UCLA believes in order to meet the housing needs of the city the city must go back to just allowing more housing with fewer restrictions in single family and other zones.  

I totally agree with this and have been saying this for years. Part of homelessness is lack of sufficient number of housing units. Had the city allowed more housing years ago, we'd have enough affordable housing today. Yet they continue to not allow enough housing to be built. This just makes housing even more expensive and scarce. Then when housing is too expensive they enact more rent control which makes the problem ten times worse. Rent control helps a very few people short term at the cost of loss of more housing for everyone in the future. Rent control ends up hurting everyone including tenants, cities, property owners and developers.

Below is the actual UCLA study. 

https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7xf2b3j0


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Friday, November 15, 2024

AVMs Are Not Accurate in Los Angeles County Because Not All Building Square Footage is Public by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser


I was in a webinar last week with Jeff Prang the Los Angeles Property Assessor. https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/2024/11/assessor-jeff-prang-speaks-at-appraisal.html I'm so happy that someone asked the following question. 

7. Why aren't guest houses, pool houses in the assessor records?

Jeff Prang: "They are but they're not public or online. You have to go to the office to see them. You can look at the pictometry view in the assessor site to see the outline of buildings. We have records for patios, balconies, guest houses, pool houses."

My comment: In my experience they generally only show the first building on a property. Generally second units or homes that are added later are  not in the records. I do see them sometimes by MLS sources that include size of all buildings on the site but not always. This is so important especially for 2-4 units, two homes on a lot or SFR with ADU/guest house. Many have assumed the buildings weren't permitted or legal for this reason. This means AVMs are extremely inaccurate for these properties with one building in front and say extra units, ADU, guest house in rear. You may only see 1/3 or 1/4 of the true size. An AVM would assume that only the front home exists and value it based on that size alone. 

This is of course just one reason why AVMs are inaccurate. I've written a couple of articles about the problems with AVMs in this blog. Main issue is they don't know condition, whether it exists or not, true size, number legal permitted beds/baths, upgrades, amenities, lot type, specific location in a neighborhood, view... These factors can make an AVM vary from true market value by 100%. I've seen Zillow AVM values when the property burned down years ago. I've also seen Zillow values for an old home which was demolished and replaced with a new larger home or units. Public records don't get updated until a while after new construction and Certificate of Occupancy permit. Building and Safety has to send the permits to the county assessor who then adds it to the database. 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Donald Trump's Plan for Housing by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser Los Angeles, California

donald trump, project 2025, mary cummins, housing, real estate industry, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, waiver, hud,
donald trump, project 2025, mary cummins, housing, real estate industry, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, waiver, hud, 

What is President elect Donald Trump's plan for the housing industry and specifically real estate appraisers? A look at Project 2025 the Presidential Transition Project can give us some clues. Chapter 15 Department of Housing and Urban Development written by ex HUD head Ben Carson can give us a glimpse into the new administration's mindset. The plan actually mentioned real estate appraisals. I will only touch on a few of the programs.

1. "Immediately end the Biden Administration’s Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity (PAVE) policies and reverse any Biden Administration actions that threaten to undermine the integrity of real estate appraisals. Footnote: At a minimum, these efforts duplicate what the federal government already collects and assesses; at worst, they institute arbitrary procedures in real estate appraisal practices that undermine integrity and perversely introduce arbitrary biases into what should be an unbiased system for determining financial value."

The PAVE taskforce actually didn't really accomplish anything except furthering the false narrative of the "old white racist male" real estate appraiser. We already had mandatory bias, discrimination, ethics classes which covered fair housing. We already had appraisal appeals aka Reconsideration of Value (ROV). People could always file complaints. The point of the PAVE taskforce was to keep a campaign promise to "fight" falsely alleged "appraisal bias" against POC. Biden created a nonexistent problem so he could say he fixed it so he could get POC votes. Independent research by AEI based on government data proved no such bias, discrimination exists. There really isn't anything to roll back as the task force didn't really do anything new so no big deal here. 

I do hope that it will stop the HUD grants to NFHA which pays for false and defamatory ads in media attacking real estate appraisers. That's a huge waste of money to "fight" a problem that doesn't exist. The purpose of the ads is to recruit fake clients for NFHA so they can sue appraisers for no money settlements. Sometimes they get a few pennies from the AMC and lenders which I feel is press related extortion and blackmail. I wish appraisers could collectively sue HUD, NFHA for these defamatory actions. The hate and racism towards real estate appraisers is off the charts. The false narrative has caused false complaints and fake lawsuits besides death threats and racist name calling.

2. "Repeal climate change initiatives and spending in the department’s budget request. Footnote: Revise regulatory and subregulatory guidance, where applicable within statutory authorities, that adds unnecessary delay and costs to the construction and development of new housing and has been estimated to account for about 40 percent of new housing unit costs in multifamily housing."

I assume they would roll back the Inflation Reduction Act. It's true that the act adds a few thousand dollars to new home construction and final costs to the buyer. The clean energy initiatives do save the buyers/owners money over time. It's also good for the local clean energy industry and home values besides of course the environment. Most clean energy programs use domestic labor and supplies except maybe some solar panels so it's good for part of the local economy.

Team Trump thinks this will save consumers money and bring down housing costs. It won't but it will provide more profits for developers. They will not be trickling down the savings to consumers. Prices will stay the same but homes won't be as energy efficient.

All that said we do need to roll back some building restrictions. They increase housing costs and are the main reason we don't have enough housing. Just building more housing more easily, quickly and less expensively would help the housing crisis immensely. We just need more homes of all types. Because home and land prices have skyrocketed because of lack of sufficient housing it's almost impossible to build affordable housing. This is the direct result of government mandates and restrictions even though people love to blame "greedy" developers. They think developers should not only work for free but they should lose millions on each project for the life of the building.

We could also use some help with zoning. Developers should be able to build some 2-4 units in some single family housing areas with restrictions. Some of these 2-4 units look just like SFRs. We need more than just super expensive ADUs. We could use some 5-8 units in 2-4 zones. 

There needs to be some automatic approvals of some standard construction projects. NIMBYs have stopped most new construction just by filing complaints. This can cause projects to take up to ten years before they can even break ground. The developer has to pay for the holding cost of the project while these issues are processed. They are generally resolved by developer giving complaining neighbors land, money, and infrastructure. They are also resolved by developers giving politicians land, money, infrastructure and "favors." Developers also acquiesce to building fewer units which is the opposite of what we need.

Trump's plan for tariffs will of course increase construction costs for building supplies. Homes are already too expensive. Deportation of construction workers will cause construction costs for labor to increase dramatically. I hope he doesn't go through with these promises. I hope Trump's wealthy real estate friends talk him out of it but it didn't help tariffs during his first term.

Trump has no control over the Fed rate so he can't reduce interest rates. If anything, his tariffs will increase inflation causing rates to stay the same or even go up. The tariff caused inflation could tip us into a recession. 

Isaac Peck of WorkingRE just wrote a good article about Donald Trump's plan for the housing industry. He didn't go into interest rates, tariffs or mass deportations. He did touch on appraisal waivers, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, CFPB, PAVE taskforce, housing...  on https://www.workingre.com/now-what-on-a-new-trump-administration

It will be interesting to see what the new administration will actually do for housing and real estate appraisers. I'm hoping some of his promises were just campaign rhetoric. Tariffs and deportations are such a bad idea for the real estate industry, economy and nation as a whole.

While I didn't think Kamala Harris' housing plan was that great at least it wouldn't have made things much worse. Trump's plans will make things much worse. Trump's plan for the economy and nation as a whole are much, much worse. I really hope Trump doesn't actually interfere with actual fair housing. This is why I voted for Kamala Harris but will have to deal with the Trump administration for the next four years.


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Friday, November 1, 2024

Assessor Jeff Prang Speaks at Appraisal Institute Women's Initiative Committee November 1, 2024 by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

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jeff prang, los angeles county, assessor, property, real estate, mary cummins, california, appraisal institute, boe, board equalization, brea, real estate appraiser, appraisal

Speaker: Los Angeles County Assessor Jeff Prang   

Date: November 1, 2024 via ZOOM

Great presentation by Jeff Prang the head of the  Los Angeles County Assessor's Office. The slides below show his presentation. There were some good questions after his presentation.

Questions (These aren't complete.)

1. How are property tax assessment appeals processed?

He explained the process which is outlined in the assessor website. He said their backlog was 40,000 cases when he took over the department. It's down to 20,000. One issue is there are appeal agent who contact new home buyers and state they paid too much for the property. They offer to appeal the tax basis to reduce property taxes for a % of the reduction. These appraisers, attorneys file 50% of the cases a year or about 5,000 cases. They don't proceed with most cases filed. There is now a $47 application fee to reduce these frivolous appeals.

2. What is the cause of appraiser attrition in your office?

Retirement, Covid and high cost of living in Los Angeles. 

3. Are the assessor appraisers licensed by BREA?

No, they are approved by BOE, Board of Equalization. 

4. How do you know the current size of properties?

Building and Safety sends over the permits for additions.

5. What do you need to be an assessor appraiser?

Four year college degree but it can be waived if you pass the test.

6. How did Prop 19 affect your office?

We were not given instructions, tools or a program to follow. We had to create the program on our own from scratch. We are processing the requests which cover many counties.

7. Why aren't guest houses, pool houses in the assessor records?

They are but they're not public or online. You have to go to the office to see them. You can look at the pictometry view in the assessor site to see the outline of buildings. We have records for patios, balconies, guest houses, pool houses.

My comment: In my experience they generally only show the first building on a property. Generally second units are added later and they're not in the records. I do see them sometimes by MLS sources that include size of all buildings on the site but not always. Maybe that was in the past when they sold the data. Maybe some services saved the data they bought. This is so important especially for 2-4 units or SFR with ADU. Many have assumed the buildings weren't permitted or legal for this reason. This means AVMs are extremely inaccurate for these properties with one building in front and say extra units, ADU, guest house in rear. You may only see 1/3 or 1/4 of the true size. 

"The Southern California Chapter of the Appraisal Institute is proud to announce the launch of its Women's Initiative Committee (WIN).

The purpose and objective of this newly formed committee is to promote the advancement of women within the appraisal profession. In monthly Zoom meetings, we will host discussions of relevant topics, invite special guest speakers, network, and assess the unique challenges and opportunities we face.  All are welcome to attend. Appraisal Institute membership is not required, and the Zoom meetings are free of charge."

Ariana Arredondo, MAI 

Linda Whittlesey, SRA 

Jennifer Hsu, MAI 















Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Rancho Palos Verdes Homeowners Will be Offered Market Value for Homes in Landslide area by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

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fema, home buyout program, rancho palos verdes,landslide, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, home, grant, fema program,


Homeowners will be offered "fair market value" for homes. The price will be "determined by an appraisal that is based on the fair market value of the land on Dec. 1, 2022, prior to the acceleration of the landslide." If you don't agree with the city's appraisal value, contact us for a historical restrospective appraisal of your home for an affordable rate. The program will pay for the "Appraisals costs." #ranchopalosverdes #homebuyout #landslide #marycummins #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal

From the program: "A licensed appraiser hired by the City conducts these appraisals. Cal OES will hire a certified appraiser to review the methodologies used to calculate the value and prepare the appraisal report. If a resident would like to appeal this offer, they may hire their own licensed appraiser, out of pocket, to conduct an independent appraisal. This second appraisal will also be reviewed by the Cal OES review appraiser. "

The program will pay for "Appraisals costs" and other costs. See below.

We have years of experience doing appraisals for eminent domain for the Metro and other government agencies. We do the second appraisal for property owners don't agree with the city's offer. Metro pays for the second appraisal cost. Based on our experience with Metro and other government agencies, their offer is generally at the lower end of market value. Our clients received more money after a second appraisal was conducted.

More about the program:

Voluntary Property Buyout Program

On October 28, 2024, the City of Rancho Palos Verdes, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) announced a $42 million voluntary buyout program for property owners in the Greater Portuguese Bend landslide area whose homes have been damaged or threatened by land movement. Established with funding from FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Grant Program, the Voluntary Property Buyout Program is intended to help eligible homeowners relocate to safer areas by offering a fair market value for their properties based on pre-disaster appraisals. Properties acquired by the City through this program will be permanently converted to open space and deed-restricted, protecting the community from future redevelopment risks in these vulnerable areas.


An overview of the program guidelines and application process are detailed below. A PDF version is also available.


Property owners interested in applying for the buyout program must request a voluntary property inspection from the City by 5:30 p.m. on Monday, November 4 by e-mailing buildingsafety@rpvca.gov. Program applications are due to the City by 4:30 p.m. on Friday, November 8, 2024.


Download an application by clicking the button below. Complete the application form and email it to landmovement@rpvca.gov, or print and return it to City Hall by Monday, November 4 at 4:30 p.m. City Hall is located at 30940 Hawthorne Boulevard in Rancho Palos Verdes. Regular business hours are 7:30 a.m. - 5:30 p.m. Monday-Thursday, and 7:30 a.m.-4:30 p.m. Friday.


Voluntary Property Buyout Program Application


Download and print or email your completed application (PDF). Open in Adobe Acrobat to use electronic signatures.

Introduction

Many cities across California and the country have utilized buyout assistance programs for their residents to rebuild their lives and create new memories in safer places.


This Voluntary Property Buyout Program (Program) has been developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the California Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) in partnership with the City of Rancho Palos Verdes (City) to enable property owners caused by the Greater Portuguese Bend Landslide Complex (Landslide) to relocate from the risk of imminent failure of land movement. Funding for this Program comes from FEMA through its Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP). 


HMGP

Generally speaking, FEMA’s HMGP is funded whenever a federal disaster is declared by the President. Funding that becomes available through the HMGP can be applied to any city in a state for which a federal disaster is declared and is not limited to the affected City. 


FEMA is funding this Program in the amount of $42 million to the City based on the Federally declared California disaster for the winter storms that occurred between January 31 and February 9, 2024. Additional future Program cycles may become available to affected residents depending on whether a federal declared disaster occurs in California. In other words, this Program may not be considered a one-time opportunity and may be available in the future.  


How the Voluntary Property Buyout Program Works

This property acquisition program is just one of many programs being offered through FEMA’s HMGP.  In a Buyout Program, also known as an “acquisition” program, the city will work with residents, who are participating voluntarily and own an improved property with permitted residential structure(s) that has been damaged or is at imminent risk to be damaged by a natural hazard event. Through the Program, the City is able to buy property from affected individuals based on an appraisal of the fair market value at a predetermined date, acquire title, demolish the structure(s), and revert it to open space.  By law, upon closing, the property would be owned by the City and must forever remain open space land. At closing, the property will be deed restricted as open space in perpetuity and cannot be redeveloped, except for limited allowable conservation/open space uses that are approved by FEMA Region 9.  The City cannot sell it to private individuals or develop it in perpetuity.


FEMA does not buy houses directly from the property owners. This Program is a typical real estate transaction between a seller and buyer, with the City being the buyer. The Program is funded by FEMA who will pay 75% of all eligible expenses. For this Program, the remaining cost share of 25% must be borne by the seller (property owner) except for certain in-kind costs borne by the City. 


The Program is administered by Cal OES and directly overseen by the City. Homeowners do not apply directly to FEMA or Cal OES for a buyout, as they are not considered disaster assistance, but rather a grant under the HMGP. Mitigation grants are complementary programs to the disaster assistance programs and have their own rules and regulations.


Based on applications received from each interested property owner, the City will identify properties where buyouts make the most sense based on, but not limited to, the scope of existing structural damage as determined by the City’s Building Official through a property inspection, open space value, community needs, and FEMA program requirements. 


Program Steps 

Application Process

Property owners of interest with structures that are destroyed, damaged, or imminently at-risk must voluntarily fill out an application (attached) and submit it to the City no later than close of business (4:30 PM Pacific Time) November 8, 2024 to be considered eligible within this first round of the Program offering. 


Application Screening

The City and Cal OES will review all property applications received by the November 8, 2024 deadline to ensure that each property meets FEMA’s eligibility requirements and will pass cost-effectiveness, environmental and historic preservation reviews, as summarized below: 


Cost Effectiveness - Cost-effectiveness is determined by FEMA’s Benefit Cost Analysis (BCA) methodology and determined via FEMA’s software toolkit. This is the hardest hurdle for most program applications to clear. Many sound proposals across the state do not meet this component and will then be removed from initial consideration.

Environmental and Historic Preservation - The environmental and historic preservation (EHP) review process is intended to ensure all program applications align with and meet all the provisions of the National Environmental Preservation Act (NEPA), California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), and program-specific reviews. This compliance assessment process can take several months to complete and the city to receive FEMA approval.

Both of the BCA and EHP review processes may take many applications out of initial consideration. These strict reviews limit the properties that can be considered in the Program. 


Prioritization Criteria for Selecting Properties

The City along with Cal OES and FEMA must ensure that each application follows program rules/regulations and comply with BCA and EHP laws and guidance. Properties deemed eligible by FEMA for the Program will then proceed to the selection process. 


Minimum eligibility includes:


The property is not bank owned (mortgages do not constitute bank ownership for purposes of this Program). This Program does not apply to properties currently owned in title by a bank or other institutional financial institution through a foreclosure or other similar means;

The property has not sold since December 1, 2022 (based upon Los Angeles County Tax and/or parcel records; 

The property must be improved with a legally permitted structure(s) based on records on file with the City’s Building and Safety Division; and,

Applicants must be the legal owners of the improved structures according to the Assessor’s records and building permit records on file at the City’s Building and Safety Division.

A property will be selected by the City to proceed with escrow based on the following prioritization order:  


Properties with a structure that has been red-tagged by the City’s Building Official; 

Properties with a structure that has been yellow-tagged by the City’s Building Official; 

Properties with structures that are in imminent jeopardy of becoming red- or yellow-tagged due to their close proximity to land movement elements (i.e. fissures, grabens, sinkholes, etc.);

Properties that have been de-energized indefinitely; 

Properties that may benefit the City’s Landslide stabilization and winterization efforts as determined by the City’s Public Works Director; and,

Properties that contribute to the overall value of the adjacent Palos Verdes Nature Preserve as determined by the City’s Recreation and Parks Director.

Property owners that are interested in the provisions of this program are encouraged to request a voluntary inspection by the City’s Building Official no later than 5:30 p.m. on Monday, November 4, 2024.


Property Owner Notification

The City will notify, in writing, property owners that they have been selecting to proceed with escrow.


5.   Property Appraisals


The sale price offered to a resident is determined by an appraisal conducted by a licensed property appraiser. For most residents, you will be offered pre-incident fair market value based on December 1, 2022, before land movement accelerated due to the heavy precipitation associated with the atmospheric river storms. 


A licensed appraiser hired by the City conducts these appraisals. Cal OES will hire a certified appraiser to review the methodologies used to calculate the value and prepare the appraisal report. If a resident would like to appeal this offer, they may hire their own licensed appraiser, out of pocket, to conduct an independent appraisal. This second appraisal will also be reviewed by the Cal OES review appraiser. 


If there are mortgages or liens held against the property, the fair market value paid to the property owner will be decreased by this amount. In other words, all mortgage obligations or property liens will be retired first. 


FEMA Project Approval


 FEMA will notify Cal OES once all the submitted properties are deemed fully eligible and receive official approval. Once FEMA awards the grant funds for the buyout, Cal OES will work with the City on next steps. No construction or demolition activities may take place before FEMA approves the grant (excluding the City’s Landslide stabilization and winterization activities).


 


Release of Liability and Indemnification Agreement

Any property owner who accepts a buyout offer shall be required to sign a liability release and hold harmless/indemnification agreement. As a condition of acceptance, property owners must withdraw any claims for personal injury or property damage against the City in connection with the Landslide and in connection with all of the City’s activities and efforts related to the Landslide, and dismiss any lawsuit against the City on the basis of same. A property owner must also release the City from liability from any and all past or future claims or other actions in law or equity for any personal injury or property damage based on any of the City’s actions in connection with the Landslide, in perpetuity.


8.   Closing


Once a homeowner accepts a buyout offer, the average closing takes about 45 days. The City will conduct the purchase and title transfer.


Property Transition

Upon closing escrow, all property structures and improvements will be required to be demolished and the lot cleared for open space. Each parcel may be required to be regraded and restored so that it does not create a safety issue to the public.


Eligible Costs

If a property owner voluntary chooses to participate in this Program, FEMA’s grant funding will pay 75% of the total fair market value as established on December 1, 2022, the total fair market value will include the following:


Property value as established by licensed real-estate appraiser

Appraisals costs

Title search costs

Lot survey costs, if necessary

Real estate transaction fees

Closing costs

Demolition costs

Environmental/hazardous waste remediation (lead-based paint, asbestos, etc.) costs

Site restoration (grading, seeding) costs

Like any other real estate sale, property owners will be responsible for the moving costs and other costs associated with renting or buying new property. Since property acquisition relies on voluntary participation, the government does not pay any relocation costs. However, there are exceptions for any tenant who is displaced by an owner's decision to sell.


Voluntary Participation

This Program is strictly voluntary. Homeowners are not being forced to relinquish their property and the City will not use eminent domain to acquire a property. 


Voluntary Withdrawal

Property owners who have been selected to proceed with the purchase of their property may withdrawal at any time prior to closing. Once closing occurs, the real estate transaction is complete and final.


Landslide Stabilization and Winterization 

This Program is not intended to replace or suspend City efforts to stabilize the Landslide and implement winterization measures and activities. With or without participation in this Program, the City is committed to continuing with its stabilization and winterization activities and efforts.  


Timeline and Expectations

Despite efforts to compensate you fairly, property acquisition may not make you "whole" again, but it is often the best option for people who do not want to accept a certain level of risk in their day-to-day life and are at imminent risk of losing their home. 


Moreover, the process can be lengthy. Applying for funds, waiting for FEMA approval, transferring funds, conducting appraisals and closings, etc., take time. Even the easiest real estate transactions take months to complete under ideal circumstances. Adding Federal and State government processes may slow down the transaction; however, the amount of funding offered through this option is typically the highest property values available for residents living in hazard prone areas.


Duplication of Benefits

Because federal funds are used to acquire property, FEMA cannot duplicate the benefits paid by one program with benefits from another source. This means that FEMA will require the City to subtract from the purchase price the amount of other assistance the individual property owner might receive for the same purpose. This assistance includes grants that are available to individuals or insurance payouts. The $10,000 assistance payment through the Social Program provided by Supervisor Hahn to eligible residents in the area does NOT count as a federal duplication of benefit.


If the property owner received any insurance payouts to repair their home, they must show they used that funding to make the repairs before the closing, or else the fair market value will be lowered by this amount. In other words, if your structure was damaged, you cannot receive an insurance payout to repair the structure and a full pre-event fair market value at closing.


Non-Federal Cost Share (aka the “Match Contribution)

FEMA only provides 75% of the funding in the HMGP. To meet cost-sharing requirements for this FEMA grant program, property owners will contribute approximately the remaining 25% contribution for their property through an additional reduction of their fair market value payment. An amount will be reduced from the payment at closing and held in escrow to cover the balance of the remaining activities (e.g. demolition and site restoration). The property owner will receive any additional balance upon completion of site restoration during closeout.


Who to Contact with Questions

Inquiries on the Program should be emailed to landmovement@rpvca.gov.


Conclusion

This page is intended to ensure affected property owners get all the information they need about the Buyout Program so they can make an informed decision.

https://www.rpvca.gov/1782/Voluntary-Property-Buyout-Program


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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