Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Showing posts with label value. Show all posts
Showing posts with label value. Show all posts

Monday, October 28, 2024

Appraising Homes with Solar Power Systems Class AjO by Mary Cummins


I just took the Solar PV: Technology and Valuation class offered for free by AjO Classes and sponsored by CA IOUs (California's Electric Investor Owned Utilities). It was very interesting and I learned a lot. They of course explained everything we should know about inspecting and appraising the value of a solar power systems. Then they went into using the three different approaches to value, i.e. sales comparison, cost and income. 

You need a bit of data in order to determine the value. That data isn't always readily available for the comp properties. You can use cost or income approach if there's isn't enough market data in your area. If you give most weight to sales comparison approach, cost and income data are only supportive so ...

In order to calculate the value of a solar power system (not solar thermal for heating water) you need to know if it's owned versus leased, power of the system size in kWh and age. Assume 25 year life. Leased systems add no value. You'll need to collect data such as contract with power size, original price, current price of similar new system and maybe power rates. There are free online calculators available. 

I'm pretty sure the solar people got together to try to help educate the agents and appraisers about the value of solar systems in home values. Most don't mention it or include data or value. This upsets sellers and solar companies. They want people to see the value in the systems. I was always taught to do regression analysis to see if there is a market reaction. Issue again is sufficient data. 

A few takeaways. You need a bit of data to appraise the value of a solar system. You need to know power, age of solar system of comps. As rates continue to rise the value of solar systems will increase. The cost of new solar systems has come down dramatically. If you depreciate an older system, it will probably be higher than buying new. Use the lower of the two values. People buy homes with solar systems for more than just energy cost savings. I highly recommend the class. 

"Appraisers and Realtors will advance their credibility and competency to better serve their clients with solar-powered homes.

Newly constructed homes have been required to have solar as of 2020 and existing home installations remain on an ongoing upward trend.

How much value does solar add?

What is the most essential number we need related to valuation?

While saving money is the primary motive for homeowners to invest in solar, CA building codes and energy policies are key market drivers as goals prioritize decarbonization; all-electric buildings powered by solar.

Attendees will be better equipped to represent solar assets accurately in sales, competently determine value, and be credible guides for buyers and sellers.

Course Highlights

The first question to ask about solar systems

The most important number to obtain related to valuation

How to determine value of solar PV: 3 appraisal approaches

Key points to include in listings and appraisal reports

How utility rates impact purchasing decisions and value

Components of solar systems and what to look for during inspections

Context: CA energy policy

Resilience: Solar plus storage to leverage TOU rates and power through extreme events

Future influencers: Evolving challenges in managing our power grid

Access to free online tools to inform and improve professionalism

Learning Objectives

Answer essential questions regarding the valuation of a solar system

Indentify components of solar systems

Be aware of variations in utility rates and their impact on value

Understand motives and market influencers of homeowner decisions

Determine the value of solar PV systems: 3 appraisal approaches

Accurately represent solar in listings including vital points to inform value

Stakeholder’s shared pool of knowledge to support fair valuations

Target Audience:

Real estate appraisers

Agents

Lenders

Related associates

Learning Level: Intermediate

*Course is designed for those familiar with valuation principles

Continuing Education Credits: 3 hours continuing ed. BREA, DRE, BOE "

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Why Appraisal Values May Vary On The Same Property by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

mary cummins, real estate appraiser, appraiser, appraisal, los angeles, california, value, vary, different, higher, lower, lender, borrower, home, house

Why Do Some Appraisal Values Vary from Others on the Same Property? 

Lenders will order an appraisal so a borrower can get a home loan either for purchase or refinance. Sometimes the borrower doesn't receive the loan they want because of  credit, rates, terms or appraisal value. If they reapply for a loan, the second appraisal value is sometimes different than the first. 

There are many reasons why two appraisals may have different values for the same property. The differences could be due to changes in the market time or the property. In an appreciating market the second appraisal is generally higher because of the passage of time. The second appraisal could also be higher if the home has been improved. It's also possible that more similar homes have sold more recently for a different value than the previous sales used in the previous appraisal. This can be due to the seasonality of the real estate market and other factors. These different values don't automatically mean the first or second appraisal was wrong. Both values could be different and correct. Sometimes of course there are mistakes caused by incompetence. 

1. Home Price Appreciation/Depreciation in the Area

A real estate value is a snapshot in time. Recently we've been in an appreciating market.  Home prices have risen in value sometimes by 15% or more per year. If you appraise a say $100,000 property in January, it's worth $115,000 by the end of the year if appreciation for that area is 15%. The value didn't go up because you removed all photos from your home. It's appreciation. The same can happen with depreciation when values go down.

Some areas are going through the real estate cycle of revitalization which some call "gentrification."  Revitalization happens when people are pushed out of more expensive areas because of affordability into nearby areas which sell for less. This investment in the area and homes causes the area to improve and home prices to rise faster than surrounding areas. Many homes are then fully renovated by the newer owners and sell for much more than unrenovated original older homes. Recently some revitalizing areas have increased in value by 30% per year overall. This could mean an appraisal in December is 30% higher than one in January and both could be accurate market value for that time. 

2. Modifications to the Home

Sometimes after people are denied a loan for whatever reason they will improve the home. If you remodel a kitchen, baths, add air conditioning, a pool, a bedroom or add size to the home, the value after the modifications will be higher. If you gut part of your house to remodel it but don't finish, the value could go down. If you just remove personal photos, you won't change the value.

3. Recent Values of Similar Sold Homes

Sometimes some areas have few recent sales or listings of similar properties. People don't want to sell their home because of their low current mortgage rate like today's market. Sometimes there isn't much interest in an area because there is less demand because of issues which negatively affect the value. That could be a new freeway going right next to homes, loss of a major sports team, loss of major business and related jobs... Sometimes unique properties which are larger than the average home, built on a major road,  have odd improvements ... will take much longer to sell and rarely sell. Sometimes people prefer to wait for the selling season to sell to get higher prices. This means only mandatory sales of average homes take place such as death of owner, foreclosure or owner is desperate for money. These homes tend to be in fairer condition than most homes so they will sell for less. This drags down value.

Appraisers must use homes which sold within about the last three to six months within about a mile distance from the subject property in the same neighborhood. Appraisers are limited by the highest recent unadjusted sale of similar homes in the neighborhood. While appraisers can use older sold comparables and time adjust, some lenders still limit value to most recent closed comp. If the only homes that have sold recently are all major fixers, have fewer bedrooms, are not upgraded, don't have pools, are not right on the lake with a dock like the subject, this could limit the maximum value. The AMC, Lender set these limits. The appraiser must abides by them or the AMC, reviewer will send the appraisal back and demand comment and changes. In these situations lenders and appraisers suggest waiting for a similar higher priced property to close escrow before reappraising.

Quick example. The only homes that sold in the slow season in November, December, January were fixers in fair condition, no upgrades, no views, no pool and near a busy road. They sold for $100,000. The subject is in great condition, with many new upgrades, view of the ocean, pool and on a private cul-de-sac. It's clearly worth more than the recently sold total fixers maybe $150,000. Some lenders may limit the maximum valuation to the maximum sales price of similar sized homes recently sold in the same neighborhood, $100,000. If the borrower waits to refinance until April, May, June, there will probably be similar upgraded homes sold because more homes sell at this time of year. The value could be $150,000 based on sales in the $150,000 range. 

This brings us to the seasonality of real estate sales. Sometimes there are more homes sales during certain times of the year. Spring and early summer have more home sales as people prefer to sell, buy, move after school lets out before summer vacation. Sales volume is also related to weather. There are fewer sales in the winter where it snows or during heavy storms. Seasonality varies by area. This can cause there to be few similar sales during certain months of the year. The slowest months volume wise are November, December and January. The busiest are April, May and June. If you appraise your home for a refinance in November, there will probably be fewer sales to use as comps. It's also possible there are a higher percentage of stress sales during the slower months. Many stress sales are in fairer condition especially foreclosure and estate sales so they may sell for less which can negatively affect value. This article states seasonality can cause a 10% difference in price, value. There is more demand and buyers bidding against each other during the busy season which drives up prices. Some advise buying in the winter and selling in the summer for this reason. Besides seasonal cycles there are other cycles which affect sales volume and price such as economic cycles, interest rates, Covid pandemic, war, politics... This is reflected in the market by sales prices. The appraiser does not consider these things in the final valuation.

For this reason it's generally a good idea to see what similar homes have recently actually sold for in your area before applying for a loan to see if it makes sense. You will get a better rate, terms the lower the loan to value ratio so a borrower wants a higher appraisal value. While we include listed properties in the appraisal, sold properties are what matter. We generally search homes +/-15% difference in size per square foot, similar bed/bath count, similar amenities/upgrades/condition, within a mile distance from subject which sold within last three to six months. We then choose the most similar recent comparables. Lenders generally require three closed sales within three months. Those sales will limit the upper level of value.

4. Incompetence

Appraising homes can be a difficult complex process especially with unique homes in changing areas and markets. Many lenders use robot Automated Valuation Methods (AVMs) for cookie cutter homes. Cookie cutter homes are newer median priced average sized homes in average condition in a homogeneous area. If your home is older, larger than average for area, improved above/below most homes in the area, has a view, issues or is on the edge of two different areas, you will need a full appraisal. 

The appraiser must choose similar comps in the same neighborhood in order to get an accurate value. Sometimes there are no recent similar comps. The appraiser will have to use older similar comps instead of expanding the comp search into a totally different area. Those comps will have to be accurately adjusted for time and other differences. If the appraiser does not select similar comps, the resultant value will be inaccurate. That would be incompetence. Appropriate comp selection is vital.

One example of this is a case in Marin, California. The first appraisal was $989,000 February 2020. The second appraisal was $1,482,500 March 2020. The subject was larger than average for the area built with telephone poles on a very steep lot near reclaimed swamp land. There were few recent local sales because there was little demand in the area. The first appraiser used local sales. The second appraiser widened the search into an area with larger high quality homes that sell for almost twice as much in Mill Valley. 

The homeowners sued the first appraiser for "racial discrimination" just because they didn't like the first appraiser's lower value. The borrower wants a higher value because the higher the value, the better the terms and lower the rate. The first appraiser didn't do anything racist or discriminatory. The first value was similar to the robot values like Corelogic, RedFn... Robots can't be racist or discriminate. The second appraisal was actually the wrong value because they used the wrong comps. Borrowers never sue when the appraisal value is high even when it's wrong. If it's lower than what they'd like, they automatically assume bias or incompetence. Clearly it was the second appraiser who was biased and incompetent. Some appraisers fear complaints and want to please the lender, borrower so they tend to appraise on the higher side. I'd bet most appraisers over appraise than under. There is no motivation for an appraiser to appraise lower than market value. They have nothing to gain and everything to lose.

Here is one example which incorporates some of the factors which may cause two appraisals to be different. 

Appraisal One: Home appraised January 1 in area where it snows. It's in good condition, upgraded with two garages and a view. Home sales volume is low. The only recent sales were fixers with no garages or views selling for $100,000. Appraiser uses some old similar sales and time adjusts. Home appraises for $100,000. Appraiser notes that subject is in better condition with garages and a view. Appraiser explains the current market and lack of similar sales. Many appraisers would state home would appraise for more when/if similar homes close escrow. Appraisers generally state their limitations which can be the highest closed recent sale.

Appraisal Two: Home appraised June 1 when the weather is 75 degrees. Owner has since added a second bathroom. There are now some similar sales in the same condition with the same view. A new sports arena just announced it will break ground bringing a lot of new business and jobs to the area. The area has appreciated by 10% in six months for this reason. The home is now slightly larger and worth more. Similar homes now sell for $150,000. Home appraises for $150,000. The value of second appraisal is 50% higher than first. The first appraiser was not incompetent. Both appraisals were correct at the time they were made. This is why one must carefully read appraisal reports and consider all the factors that affect value.

Different appraisals done at different times can have different values and still be correct. There are many legitimate reasons for appraisals to vary in value by even 30% in a quickly changing market. It's natural for people to be psychologically attached to their home and assume it's the best in the area when that may not be true. Some homeowners receive agent postcards in the mail or see Zillow ads listing the highest sold and listed homes in their area. Agents, Zillow do this to attract sellers with potential high prices so they can get a listing and make money. Some borrowers assume their home which is in inferior condition and location is worth the same amount as those high priced listings when it's not. These false expectations cause people to feel they've been low-balled, cheated or discriminated against when they necessarily haven't. People who have been discriminated against for their entire life are more likely to assume discrimination. It's important to know your home and try to understand local value unbiasedly. It's also important to understand appraisal value when reading an appraisal report of your home.


Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin

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Monday, February 20, 2023

Rebuttal to Marcia Fudge's Misleading 2022 CNN Interview by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

Marica Fudge, HUD, Laura Coates, CNN, interview,Mary Cummins real estate appraiser, bias, discrimination, racism,white, black, Latino, home value, 


Marcia Fudge of the Housing and Urban Development Department (HUD) was on CNN August 22, 2022 with Laura Coates discussing alleged appraisal bias. "Housing and Urban Development Sec. Marcia Fudge says her department is examining the process in which home appraisers collect data, which she says is systemically biased against people of color." "HUD Secretary On Battle Against Racism In Real Estate."

Here is a link to the show:   https://www.cnn.com/videos/business/2022/08/22/hud-sec-fudge-racism-in-home-appraisal-process-coates-intv-ctn-vpx.cnn

Here is a link to the transcript: https://transcripts.cnn.com/show/se/date/2022-08-22/segment/01

Marcia Fudge continues to promote the false narrative of the alleged "racist appraiser" "devaluing black owned homes." Marcia Fudge has the facts and independent research yet actively intentionally promotes the false narrative to promote her own agenda. Fudge's agenda is to get media attention for herself and more money for her department. Fudge and politicians have created this problem so they can state they alone can fix it. In fact based on what Fudge said in the interview the problem has already been fixed just by doing the same thing they've done for years.

The real issue is the income gap. White owned homes are valued more than black, Latino owned homes because of the income gap. Whites make more money than blacks, Latinos. The more money you make, the more money you have. The more money you have, the more expensive home you can buy and own. The more expensive home you have, the more generational wealth is created.  If you want to fix the home value gap, fix the income gap. Fudge won't admit to that because then the problem is not in the jurisdiction of her department HUD and she won't get more money.

Below are some very misleading quotes by Marcia Fudge.

"Because what we know is that it used to be that these things happen only in redlined
communities. But now it is pervasive, it is happening everywhere. And we determined that part of the problem was how appraisers are trained, who was in the appraisal industry, and how they are governed. And so, what we did, in March, was to present a report that showed how deeply, this whole bias situation, is across this country. It is systemic, and it is intentional to some degree."

Marcia Fudge doesn't understand redlining. Here's an article I wrote about it. Those risk maps were made by her own government agency HUD FHA and no longer exist. Government made risk maps were a way to determine loan risk. They included many factors. We still use all of these factors except we don't use race or country of origin. If you took race and country of origin out of the old maps, they were 100% as effective in determining risk. Obviously race and nation of origin have nothing to do with loan risk. Correlation is not causation. Not all maps even included those factors. 

"That's part of the problem, Laura, it's the data. So, they collect data, and the data is not what it should be. They then use the data, in a way that it should not be used. And so, they come up with these biased appraisals. But as well, when you look at an industry, that is more than 95 percent White, you find that people of color, are treated differently, because there is an inherent bias with a lot of them. And because they collect the data, the data is not good data."

Appraisers don't collect data. The data is home sale prices. It's just data. HUD collects this data. Zillow has and uses the same data. MLS, Title collect data. Appraisers use the public data according to the law and well established, accepted economic theory. HUD is one of the government agencies which told appraisers what data to use and how to use it. Appraisers are doing what HUD told us to do.

95% of all appraisers aren't white. I've gone over the misleading statistics in previous articles. Almost the same amount of appraisers are white as real estate agents. If most agents are white, does that mean they are also all racists? Most people in the US are white. Does that mean every white person is racist? Of course not. 

"If those homes are appraised the way that they should be Laura, then we look at being able to pass down, significantly, more resources, and more wealth, to generations that follow." "And if we are
constantly being discriminated against - and that is really what this is. We can call it bias, if you want. But it is systemic racism, and it is built within most federal agencies, and those agencies that we oversee." 

This is the result of the income gap and not appraisers. Here is AEI's response to the PAVE Task Force. Fudge knows this. She has the facts, data and research. If she truly believes this, she should be fired because she's incompetent. Fudge is just lying to the public. 

"So, we're tackling it. We are now advising first-time homebuyers, on their rights, if they get low appraisals. We are doing it to people, who sell properties. We are going to train all of the appraisers through fair housing and lending laws. We're going to make sure that the data is collected properly. And we're going to make sure that the right people have the data."

Fudge's solution is to do what we've already been doing for years. Fudge created a "horrible" problem then instantly fixed it by doing nothing. All these things have already been done years before she was the head of HUD. This proves she knows the problem doesn't really exist. She hasn't made any real changes and now it's "fixed."

Marcia Fudge stated that her own home is worth less than white owned homes down the street because she is black. This is of course false. I did a valuation of her much older home on a busy highway. It's worth less than the homes up the street because they are new luxury homes off of the highway. If Fudge doesn't understand this, she doesn't understand the basics of home appraisal and should resign as head of HUD. She states this falsehood for effect every time she speaks. 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 40 years of experience.


Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary, Cummins, #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit real estate, appraiser, appraisal, instructor, teacher, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Pasadena, Brentwood, Bel Air, California, licensed, permitted, certified, single family, condo, condominium, pud, hud, fannie mae, freddie mac, fha, uspap, certified, residential, certified resident, apartment building, multi-family, commercial, industrial, expert witness, civil, criminal, orea, dre, brea insurance, bonded, experienced, bilingual, spanish, english, form, 1004, 2055, 1073, land, raw, acreage, vacant, insurance, cost, income approach, market analysis, comparative, theory, appraisal theory, cost approach, sales, matched pairs, plot, plat, map, diagram, photo, photographs, photography, rear, front, street, subject, comparable, sold, listed, active, pending, expired, cancelled, listing, mls, multiple listing service, claw, themls, historical appraisal, facebook, linkedin DISCLAIMER: https://mary--cummins.blogspot.com/p/disclaimer-privacy-policy-for-blogs-by.html

Wednesday, January 25, 2023

Appraisal Subcommittee Hearing on Appraisal Bias January 24, 2023, notes by Mary Cummins

Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation
Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation

https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/events/appraisal-subcommittee-hearing-on-appraisal-bias/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QW8ADw9vOSc

Appraisal Subcommittee Hearing Meeting about Appraisal Bias in Residential Real Estate Market ASC notes, comments by Mary Cummins. Part of the meeting was on C-SPAN 2.

Time: 2:10:35

“Streamed live on Jan 24, 2023. Join the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council’s Appraisal Subcommittee (ASC) for a hearing about appraisal bias. Invited witnesses representing key stakeholder groups will share their views with the ASC during the hearing.”

Official information and files.

The Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council’s Appraisal Subcommittee (ASC) held a hearing about appraisal bias.

"This first-ever ASC hearing was led by Deputy Director Martinez and ASC Executive Director Jim Park. HUD Secretary Marcia L. Fudge, CFPB Director Rohit Chopra, and FHFA Director Sandra Thompson also participated in the hearing. Panel witnesses included:

Dr. Junia Howell, Visiting Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of Illinois Chicago; Witness Testimony. It'd be better to read her testimony because she was extremely nervous, waving her arms around wildly, misspeaking and acting agitated. Most upsetting and more importantly she stated some totally false and ignorant things. She said the sales comparison approach was developed in the 1930s by whites in the US government to intentionally value white owned property higher than POC owned property. She doesn't even realize that most living in areas which were, are primarily POC especially back then were, are renters and not owners. There are also poor white areas in the US. How does she explain that? The sales comparison approach to value is the main method used to value all assets all over the world since the beginning of time. She said the government should basically give more money to her to do more deeply flawed "research." It appears that all speakers had to swear to the host of the meeting that they will only agree with the government's incorrect and preconceived ideas on the issue of the alleged "appraisal" and wealth gap. She's so ignorant she doesn't realize it's caused by the income gap and not appraisals. Lots of independent research out there to prove this. People buy homes they can afford. People who make less money but less expensive homes.

https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_appraisal-hearing_junia-howell-testimony_2023-01-24.pdf

Paul Austin and Tenisha Tate-Austin, homeowners from Marin, California; Witness Testimony 

https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_appraisal-hearing_paul-austin-and-tenisha-tate-austin-testimony_2023-01-24.pdf

Michael Fratantoni, Senior Vice President of Research and Technology and Chief Economist, the Mortgage Bankers Association; Witness Testimony 

https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_appraisal-hearing_michael-fratantoni-testimony_2023-01-24_Tw7XwtE.pdf

Craig Steinley, President, the Appraisal Institute; Witness Testimony 

https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_appraisal-hearing_craig-steinley-testimony_2023-01-24.pdf

More information about the Appraisal Subcommittee can be found here" 

MEETING START

Time: 6:29 Introduction by Zixta Martinez Chair of Board of ASC and CFPB. Jim Park will talk about ASC. We’ll hear from a panel of witnesses, a home owner, lender, appraiser and academic. She introduced Marcia Fudge head of HUD.

Time: 9:28 Honorable Marcia L Fudge of HUD and PAVE. I'm only going almost word for word what Fudge said because it's so important. Fudge makes her own personal bias very clear in what she said and the falsehoods she stated.

Fudge said “good morning” and got a mild response. She basically responded she didn’t like the mild response and again said “GOOD MORNING!” and everyone then responded with “GOOD MORNING!” It set the tone.

Since day one the Biden Harris administration has worked to root out bias in the appraisal system. The work is critical to advance racial equity. It’s important to me as secretary of HUD and as a black woman. I know first hand what it’s like to be told that your home is worth less than the house down the street because of the color of your skin. It’s heartbreaking to hear the stories of black and brown families who feel forced to remove family mementos and photos in hopes of receiving a fair and accurate valuation. I do not intend to do that!

Fair Housing Act of 1968 was to end housing segregation. Owning a home should provide a path to the American dream. Instead this country does not see us as equitable. June 1, 2021 100 years after Tulsa Race massacre Biden and Harris established PAVE task force a first of its kind initiative to root out racial discrimination in the home buying process so families of all backgrounds and neighborhoods can have a better chance at building generational wealth. Less than a year after PAVE was established we delivered an action plan which constitutes set of reforms to advance racial equity in the home appraisal process. We want to cultivate a well trained and diverse work force, to make sure technology doesn’t perpetuate bias. HUD made $28M available to fund testing, education, and outreach to communities on appraisal bias. Next week we will start a three part webinar on training for appraisers and housing professionals on how to identify bias and protect homes. We, (pointing to herself), know how to identify it as we see it every day. We are giving an avenue for FHA loan seekers, if they believe their appraisal was skewed by racial bias. You can make comments on our drafting table platform. Please, make comments. 

I’m going to say things not in my script because I live this every day. I live in a black community by choice, BY CHOICE! I want kids in my neighborhood to get same schools as properties next to me. You do that by property tax even though I think it’s unconstitutional, that we fund schools by property tax. I want same police, fire protection but you can’t do it if my house is valued at $50,000 less than the house next to me. Two doors from me there is a neighborhood that is all white. My house is bigger, my lot is bigger, my house is nicer (laughter). That (other) house is valued more than mine. This is not the America that we should be living in, in the year 2023. It is a travesty, outrageous and we must change it. I’m hopeful the ASC will do what is right for the American people.15:44.

Mary Cummins comments. Homes are not valued differently because of the color of the skin of the owner, borrower or occupants. It's a mathematical formula based on most recent similar sales in the same neighborhood. Appraisers don't know the color of skin of homeowners, borrowers, tenants, buyers, sellers. We don't see the borrower, buyer and definitely don't know who owns properties in the area we use as comparable sales. We don't look at census tracts. We don't know race or color. It's possible all the owners of the homes we used as comp sales for a property owned by a black person were white. That would mean Fudge's false narrative holds no water. 

Fudge states she wants home values and their property taxes to increase. Many poor people would be forced to sell their property and move if property taxes were increased to the level of newer more luxury expensive neighboring properties.They wouldn't even be able to sell their property for the higher non market value. That would be beyond unfair and cruel.

All real estate agents tell all home owners of every color to remove personal articles such as photos, collectibles and other items from their home.It shows the home bigger and better. Buyers don't want to see any homeowner in the home. They want to envision themselves in a blank slate of a home. It's not about race.

HUDs PAVE report was late. It was due in six months. Fudge acts like she finished it early in less than a year. Nope. Late. 

Appraisal appeal, reconsideration of values have ALWAYS been available to borrowers forever. They can appeal based on any reason. They have done this. This is not about bias. Research by AEI based on government loan documents proved there is no effect of race on home value. They used the government's own data to show this. AEI presented this to the government in the meeting about the PAVE task force. 

AVMs Automatic Valuation Methods do not consider race or color of homeowner or borrower. It's a math formula, technology computed by robots. No human is involved. The math formula is not based on race or color. It's based on location, size, age. It does not know condition, view, upgrades, amenities, true size, additions, lot type, location in neighborhood... AVMs value homes in poor condition higher than market. It values upgraded homes with views lower than market. AVMs aren't accurate. They are BIASED against everyone.

Fudge brought up her home value previously. She said her home is worth less BECAUSE SHE IS BLACK. I included it in a past article with address and attributes. I included a valuation of her home and of the NEW, LUXURY homes up, across the street from her. It's a private development of new luxury homes tucked away off the main street. I have no idea if the homeowners are all white. I doubt Fudge does either. Has she visited all of them personally? They're new so they're not in the census report. There is a reason why those homes are worth more. They're new, luxury, in a new development, with a clubhouse, off the main street... Not all homes of the same size in the same county are worth the same. An old run down home in South LA is worth less than a new one of the same size in Beverly Hills. If Fudge doesn't know this, she must resign because she's unqualified. I know she knows this and is just lying for effect. She's a politician working for politicians selling lies for votes, money and promotions.

The real reason why homes owned by whites are worth more than homes owned by black, brown people is the income gap. People who make more money have more money, more generational wealth and can buy and own more expensive homes. THIS IS THE REAL ISSUE! The government needs to fix the income gap then the wealth gap would solve itself. Men also make more than women. Blaming appraisers will never fix the real issue. The government can't fix the problem (if there even is one) until they admit the real cause of the problem. The first step Scientific Method to solving problems is to determine the actual problem.They clearly don't want to fix the real problem. That means the government doesn't really care about POC or the poor. They need to stop pretending like they do care when they clearly don't. You can yell at appraisers all the live long day and that won't solve the problem. 

I'll post notes from rest of the meeting letter. I will also be sending in a comment. I see some of the speakers are the Austins from California. I have covered their case since the beginning. In their linked statement they said they wanted the appraiser to use comps from the "white area" instead of their immediate neighborhood which they said is a "black area." Who are the racists here? 

There were five witnesses who basically read word for word their submitted statements linked above except AI Craig Steinley. He omitted a large portion of his written statement. I think he omitted it because he didn't want questions and to get under five minutes. While other speakers said we need to get rid of the "racist" government mandated sales comparison approach AI's statement said they are adamantly opposed to that. Their statement says the approach is based on valid and accurate economic principles which it is. That is how all assets in the world have been valued forever because it is based on supply and demand between buyer and seller. I'll do a short summary in a few minutes anyway. 

After that ASC members were allowed to ask ten minutes worth of questions each.

Email after the meeting

“Yesterday the Appraisal Subcommittee held its first ever Hearing on Appraisal Bias, hosted at Consumer Financial Protection Bureau headquarters in Washington D.C. 

The event opened with remarks by U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Marcia L. Fudge. ASC’s Executive Director James Park spoke on the agency’s role in the appraisal regulatory landscape. 

Attendees, both in person and on the livestream, heard testimony from Dr. Junia Howell, University of Illinois-Chicago, homeowners Paul Austin and Tenisha-Tate Austin, Michael Fratantoni, Chief Economist, Senior Vice President, Research and Industry Technology, Mortgage Bankers Association, and Craig Steinley, President of the Appraisal Institute.

Now ASC wants to hear from you! You are encouraged to provide a comment on your perspective on or experience with appraisal bias; comments can be submitted to AppraisalBiasHearing@asc.gov until February 8, 2023.”

Four of the five witness speakers, Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation

Witness Dr Junia Howell, Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation

Tenisha Tate Austin, Paul Austin, Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation

ASC members, Appraisal Subcommittee Public Hearing on Appraisal Bias, January 24, 2023, marcia fudge, mary cummins, asc, hud, real estate appraiser, pave taskforce, cfwb, jim park, race, racial bias, discrimination, black, brown, white, value, neighborhood, appraisal, valuation



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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Monday, July 11, 2022

Diminution of Value in Real Estate Appraisal and Valuation by Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraier Expert Witness

diminution of value, diminution in value, value, real estate appraisal, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, valuation, calculation, los angeles, california, expert witness, black's law library, property value, expert witness, litigation

Diminution of value in real estate appraisal refers to the reduction in the market worth or perceived value of a property due to various factors. Black's Law Dictionary definition: Rule of damages which provides the difference between “before” and “after” values of property, which has been damaged or taken. These factors can be external (outside the property) or internal (related directly to the property itself). Here are some common examples:

External Factors:

Neighborhood Decline: If the neighborhood experiences an increase in crime rates, deterioration of infrastructure, or a decline in nearby amenities like schools or parks, the property's value may decrease.

Environmental Changes: Events such as the construction of a landfill nearby, contamination of groundwater, or the installation of high-voltage power lines can negatively impact property values.

Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can affect property values, leading to diminished demand or lower prices in the area.

Changes in Zoning: If zoning regulations change, affecting how nearby properties can be used (e.g., from residential to commercial), it can impact the value of neighboring properties.

Local development: A new large scale development may be built affecting traffic and access. A new freeway may be contemplated affection pollution, noise, traffic...

Internal Factors:

Structural Issues: Problems such as foundation cracks, roof leaks, or termite damage can decrease a property's value unless repaired.

Outdated Features: Homes with outdated kitchens, bathrooms, or obsolete heating systems may be less attractive to buyers, reducing their market value.

Poor Maintenance: Lack of upkeep, such as overgrown landscaping, peeling paint, or broken fixtures, can make a property less appealing and lower its value.

Loss of portion of property or loss of use of portion of property: A neighbor's wall or building could be trespassing upon the subject property limiting access, use and enjoyment of the subject property.

Legal and Market Factors:

Legal Encumbrances: Easements, restrictions, or pending legal issues (like ongoing litigation involving the property) can decrease its value.

Market Perception: Negative perceptions about a property (e.g., a notorious event occurring there) can reduce its value beyond physical characteristics alone.

Example Scenario:

Consider a house located near a new freeway under construction. The noise, increased traffic, and potential pollution from the freeway may decrease the property's desirability and, consequently, its market value. This is an example of external diminution of value.

Alternatively, a property with an outdated kitchen and bathroom, which hasn't been renovated in decades, may not attract as many buyers as similar homes in the neighborhood with modern amenities. This represents an internal diminution of value.

In real estate appraisal, identifying and quantifying diminution of value involves evaluating these and other factors to determine the fair market value of the property under current conditions.

The DIV can sometimes be calculated by valuing the property as if whole then valuing the property as affected by the condition then calculating the difference or loss in value. 



Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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Friday, November 12, 2021

Home Staging is to Increase Sales Price. It's Not About Racism. Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser

Recently there have been a few media articles about black people who allegedly white washed their home i.e. removed all traces of blackness and received a higher appraisal value. These misleading articles have spread a false narrative about real estate agents, appraisers, sellers, buyers and the legitimate process of "home staging."

When someone lists their home with a real estate agent for sale the agent will tell them they must prepare and stage their home. Below is a brief summary of how a seller should stage their home in order to get the best price in the least amount of time from Smart Box Moving and Storage. As a real estate broker and appraiser for over 38 years I agree with this list.

"When you are preparing your home to put it on the market, experts suggest that a key part of home staging is removing personal items from the house. A strategically staged home typically sells faster and for more money so it’s important to take the necessary steps to properly stage your home. Removing certain items from the home will make your home feel larger, more organized, and will also help prospective buyers visualize themselves living in the home. Prospective buyers will take notice of every detail in your home so don’t turn them away by having the wrong items in your house. Consider removing the following items to ensure your home appeals to all buyers. 

Family Photos

While you may adore those large portraits of each of your kids, it’s best not to showcase those when you are staging your home. Buyers might be distracted by all of your family photos and it could make it harder for them to envision themselves living in your home. The idea is to help buyers visualize themselves in your home and this can be difficult with a display of family photos. 

Taste Specific Artwork and Accessories

Typically, when you decorate your home, you do so according to your own taste and personality. However, when staging a home, you don’t want your personality to stand out. For instance, you might be an avid hunter but not everyone will appreciate animal heads hanging on the wall. People might also be offended by certain artwork such as nudes, religious art, or political posters. It’s best to remove any taste specific decor and place a few neutral pieces around the home instead. 

Collections

Collections have a tendency to take over a space and make it appear cluttered. Buyers might miss the detailed crown molding if they are distracted by an overwhelming collection. A portable storage container is a great solution for storing your valuables and collections while you are selling your home. 

Awards and Certificates

While you might be proud of those diplomas, sports trophies, and school certificates, now is not the time to display them. Much like the family photos, it can be difficult for buyers to envision themselves in your home when they see so many of your personal items. Depersonalizing space is important because it will help buyers psychologically move in. 

Firearms

If you keep guns in your home, it might be a good idea to place them in storage while selling your home. Not all buyers will be comfortable with the idea of having firearms in the home and this can be a deterrent. 

Personal Items

As tiresome as this might seem, it’s important to erase the evidence that you actually live in your home any time you are showing it to a potential buyer. Remove personal items such as toothbrushes, medications, shampoo, glasses, dirty laundry baskets, dirty dishes and so on. You can hide many of these items in pretty baskets or boxes with lids. You can even hide things in plastic bins that will easily slide under the bed. 

Pets

They may be your best buddies but your furry friends don’t appeal to everyone. Pets are messy, dirty and stinky and not all buyers love them. Some people might be turned off by the fact that there are pets in the home so it’s important to find a place for them to go when you are showing your home. You should also remove any evidence of pets living in your home such as food bowls, cages, and toys.

Excess Furniture

Having too much furniture crammed into a room can make the space look smaller and this is definitely something you want to avoid when selling a home. Your goal should be to arrange furniture in a way that compliments the architectural features of the room while giving the illusion of spaciousness. You also want furniture that serves a purpose and showcases how the room could be used. For example, a desk and chair would show that the room could be used as an office while a bed and dresser would show that the room would make a nice bedroom. Avoid excess furniture or furniture that doesn’t belong. For example, you wouldn’t want a treadmill sitting in your bedroom. A portable storage unit is an ideal solution for storing your excess furniture while your home is on the market. "

The most important item to remove is personal items and photos. From blog article "Why You Should Remove Personal Items in Home Staging," "Removing personal items is perhaps the most important thing when it comes to home staging. Potential buyers don’t want to know about the family that lived on the property before. You risk distracting or alienating potential home buyers by leaving personal items on display (family photos, religious texts, favorite movies, even sports memorabilia). Imagine walking into someone else’s home for the first time. You’re likely on your best behavior and very hesitant about breaking something or going into a room you’re not supposed to be in. It’s not as comfortable as your own home because the space simply is not your home. That’s the opposite of what you want your buyers to feel. Ideally, when someone walks into a staged property, they can easily visualize the space as their home. Lining the walls with personal artifacts ruins that illusion. Nobody wants to feel like they’re intruding."

There are a few people with their own agenda who are promoting the false narrative that black people must white wash their home when it's being appraised because real estate appraisers are racists who appraise black people's home lower than market value. That is absolutely false. Real estate appraisal is based on the home characteristics and recent sales only. Appraisers don't care about the race of the owner, tenant or buyer. We generally never even meet them or know what color they are. We only care about the structure and what other similar homes have sold for. We use the same methodology as Automated Valuation Methods which are robots who don't see any people or the home.

Sometimes a homeowner will tell me "I'm sorry my home is messy today." I generally jokingly tell them, "it's fine. The bank wouldn't care if you had dead bodies hanging in here. They only care about the structure and the value." That is the absolute truth. The bank just wants to make money on the loan. They want a full market value appraisal so they can make money. The appraiser wants the same. If we were to come in below market value, we'd never be hired again and lose money. There is absolutely no incentive for an appraiser to come in low.  

A few media articles stated that a black family had their home appraised. The value was lower than they liked. They decided to white wash, stage their home and request a new appraisal. The second later appraisal came in higher. In this quickly appreciating market of course a later appraisal would be higher yet they attributed the rise in appraisal value to their white washing. They could have just changed the door mat and the same thing would have happened. With certain areas appreciating 30% in a year that turns out to 2.5% per month. With a $500,000 home the appreciation could be $25,000 in two months. The appreciation could be even higher if they first had it appraised it during a slower sales time of year then later reappraised during the peak sales times when there were more buyers, sales and higher sale prices. It would be even higher if it's an area that's being revitalized or as some say "gentrified." I've seen increases of 40-50% in a year in some of these gentrifying areas recently.

Racism is a huge problem in the US which we must try to eradicate. Racist things happen to people of color all the time. Since the murder of black George Floyd racism against black people has been a huge issue. That said not everything is due to racism. Many people's appraisals are coming in lower than expected because of the fast appreciation rate in the market. Closed and recorded sales lag 45-60 days behind contracts for sale. During that time home values appreciate. This is not the fault of the appraiser but the nature of the mandatory historical approach to home value. 

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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Tuesday, September 7, 2021

Gentrification and Urban Renewal, the issues and solutions for an improved community. Mary Cummins


The article linked below is an interesting read about "gentrification." The article states people should be more upset about the areas not being revitalized but they're not.

"What we talk about when we talk about gentrification. The worst problems are in the neighborhoods that aren’t gentrifying." By Jerusalem Demsas@JerusalemDemsas  Sep 5, 2021.

https://www.vox.com/22629826/gentrification-definition-housing-racism-segregation-cities

The term is not even American. It was coined in 1964 by a British sociologist to describe the British "gentry" moving into working class areas. It has to do with affordability. It's not the racial issue that it's become here in the US starting in the 1990's. "Gentrification" is not a dirty word as stated by today's US media and some local community groups. 

The article states "But the core rot in American cities is not the gentrifying neighborhoods: It is exclusion, segregation, and concentrated poverty." I agree with this. The article goes on to state the exclusion, segregation and concentrated poverty is caused by unequal income. Poor people live in less expensive areas they can afford. It would make more sense to help them make more money so they can afford an apartment, living expenses, education ... This concept goes hand in hand with the recent false articles about appraisers appraising homes owned by black people for less than homes owned by white people. POC are more likely to have less money and buy less expensive homes in less expensive areas. The homes used in the data weren't even appraised by appraisers but by robots. 

The article stated "Gentrification as the juxtaposition of the haves and have-nots." I see this every day. Someone with less money moves into an area with less expensive rent. Over time the city, businesses, neighborhood groups improve the blighted area as part of urban renewal and revitalization. New parks, streets, stores open as the area is cleaned up and improved. Sometimes the people demanding that the city improve the area are the ones who end up complaining about the improvement which increases property values and corresponding rent. Long time resident property owners are happy but not the tenants. Those tenants originally drawn to the blighted area for cheap rent now may have to pay a higher rent or move. This upsets them and causes them to protest, attack new businesses and new neighbors falsely claiming the new people are intentionally destroying their culture, history and language. The renters actually just want the money, homes and stores the new people have. 

From the article, "It’s no wonder that people who have faced centuries of disinvestment grow angry as public and private money flows into their neighborhoods only after high-income, college-educated people choose to move there. Even if those people are not wholly responsible for the inequality, the blatant injustice is hard to ignore." 

This is why some Latinos in Silver Lake attacked new white owned businesses and residents. What's ironic is in that area Latinos replaced Jewish people who replaced Asians who replaced Mexicans who replaced Spaniards who replaced Native Americans after stealing their land. Which one is the bad gentrifier? At least the people who came after the Mexicans bought the land and didn't steal it. 

I'm positive that if you offered the current lower income tenants to either stop the revitalization and let the area become a more blighted but affordable slum or increase their income so they can afford a nice apartment in an improved area they would prefer to increase their income. This is the no brainer solution to the conflict. Help lower income people increase their income. The solution is not to stop urban renewal and revitalization. That would mean encouraging blight, crime and loss of housing units. From the article, "As George Washington University professor Suleiman Osman wrote in his 2011 book The Invention of Brownstone Brooklyn: “Stories abounded of renters [in Brooklyn] being pressured by landlords to leave revitalizing areas. But non-revitalizing blocks with high rates of abandonment and demolition saw rates of displacement that were just as high.”

The people moving into these less expensive areas don't just have more money. They are also more educated and different in other ways. This can cause friction with some people similar to what's happening in Texas with the California tech industry relocation. In Texas things are even worse because property tax goes up based on current market value. This means an elderly person who has lived in a house a long time now has to pay very high property taxes. They generally are forced to sell and move. At least in Los Angeles we don't have the same property tax issues. 

Gentrification isn't always about people of color being displaced by white people. Again, Austin, Texas is one example, another is England. The tech industry is more diverse. People of color and wealthier more educated white people are displacing less educated, less wealthy white people in Texas. It's not a race issue but a wealth issue. Obviously the more wealth a family has the better education the children can receive. 

A main issue of people who cry “fire, fire, gentrifier” is increased rent. That's not always the case. In Los Angeles, California we have rent control which prevents most of this. I've seen people who have stayed in their same cheap apartment since the '70's for this reason. During that time they've even bought homes which they rent to other people which doesn't really support the purpose of rent control.

"Overall, the research literature leans toward the view that gentrifying neighborhoods can lead to displacement, but they don’t have to. Gentrification can bring with it the promise of integration and sorely needed investment that can increase residents’ quality of life — but only if disadvantaged residents are set up to take part in the benefits of increased investment."

The article goes on to summarize the situation as "City by city, the message is clear: Segregation and concentrated poverty are the true blights of urban life, despite our fascination with gentrification." They're talking about segregating people with less money and not race. Here in Los Angeles and most of the US there is a correlation between people of color, immigrants and having less money. That's not the case in Texas, England ...

The article offers a solution to the real problem, "How to ethically create integrated neighborhoods. First, the economic literature is clear that increased housing production reduces rents. Second, tenant protection policies could help forestall some evictions. Third, rezoning of wealthy white segregated neighborhoods could slow the speed at which gentrifying neighborhoods change, and help tackle segregation. These types of interventions can provide a roadmap for how to ethically integrate urban neighborhoods."

By rezoning they mean allowing 2-4 units in some residential single family zones near public transportation. They're not talking about turning Beverly Hills estate neighborhoods into huge apartment buildings with only cheap studio units. Limiting homes to single family only zones is a more recent development in cities. Years ago in Los Angeles you could almost build whatever you wanted anywhere. By the 1900's the first developers and then cities limited zones to single family, 2-4 units, apartment buildings, commercial, industrial.... because that is what home buyers wanted. Some early examples are housing developments which had deed restrictions starting in 1903. The deed restrictions didn't have to do with race, color or nationalities but with the type of properties that could be built in the development. Some restrictions included quality, styles of homes, set backs, height, size... Only homes could be built in those residential developments. 

The article ends with this, “Gentrification is a cultural sphere to work out feelings of resentment around inequality. ... Those feelings aren’t to be discounted,” Gottlieb argues. “This is a manifestation of a long-running sense of ‘I am not welcomed in the city, I don’t have a right to the city.’ Sometimes those feelings can be worked out in the cultural terrain of gentrification, even indeed if the people moving in aren’t the proximate cause for them leaving.”

We need to deal with the issue of "gentrification" for what it actually is which is revitalization. People pushed out of more expensive areas move into less expensive areas. The city, businesses and community improve and revitalize those areas. The revitalization must just be done ethically while still attracting new business investment to the area. Most importantly we must help people with less money improve their financial situation. This would help all of us and our community by solving the disparity of income, home ownership rates and home values among wealthy and less wealthy people. It's not a race but a financial issue. Fighting, NIMBYism and trying to stop all development is not the answer. That would just make the situation even worse for everyone.

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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Thursday, August 19, 2021

Alleged discrimination in real estate appraisal 10222 Elmfield, Loveland, Ohio, Aaron and Erica Parker, by Mary Cummins

erica parker, 10222 elmfield, loveland, ohio, aaron parker, mary cummins, discrimination, racism, black, white, real estate appraisal, real estate appraiser, real estate, contract price, false, misleading, amy goodman
erica parker, 10222 elmfield, loveland, ohio, aaron parker, mary cummins, discrimination, racism, black, white, real estate appraisal, real estate appraiser, real estate, contract price, false, misleading, amy goodman, 



Here is another case of alleged discrimination in a real estate appraisal. The owners posted their full names, home location, appraisal values, list and sale prices so I will also share it. 

Aaron and Erica Parker owned a home located at 10222 Elmfield Dr, Loveland, Ohio 45140. They purchased it April 9, 2014 for $371,978. Per the MLS it was listed for sale April 13, 2021 for $525,000 by Amy Goodman of the Sibcy Cline real estate office MLS #1696320. Amy Goodman claims she is the "Fair Housing Officer" for Sibcy Cline real estate. She is not an Officer and not a Fair Housing Officer for the FHA or HUD but merely using that title most likely to promote her business. 

Allegedly Aaron and Erica Parker listed the home for $525,000 then instantly agreed to accept about $504,000 for the property. I assume they still paid the commission to Amy Goodman even though she didn't market or show the property. Erica stated after they got the instant offer she was "ecstatic" and “We were high-fiving each other,” “We were texting our Realtor, like, ‘Can you believe it?’”

Allegedly the first appraisal on May 5, 2021 came in at $465,000 which they said was $42,500 below the contract price. We can do math so contract was $507,500. At first their agent asked them if they would reduce the price. Parkers said no. Is this agent working for the Parkers or is she friends with the buyers giving them this pocket listing without any other bidders?

Per the article. "Goodman and the Parkers asked the appraiser and the buyers’ lender to correct the errors in the report. The appraiser refused, they said, saying he stood by his analysis. The lender had a staff member review the appraiser’s work and stood by the total, too." 

Based on my experience if someone submits a reconsideration of value i.e., an appraisal appeal, with similar higher priced comps and it has merit, the appraiser, AMC, lender will adjust the value. That didn't happen. I'm assuming there was no merit.

For no reason the sellers automatically assumed it was racism per the article. They decided to remove all traces of their skin color from the home and request another appraisal. The article states they "erased blackness from their home." Erica called it "white washing." May 20, 2021 the second appraisal came in at $557,000. They were happy. They assumed the higher appraisal was caused by their skin color washing. Then they sold their house June 11, 2021 for $507,500. 

First, some questions. If they thought it was worth $557,000, why the hell did they sell it for $507,500? That means they agreed to sell it for $50,000 less than it was allegedly worth. Was their real estate agent scamming them by listing it low and selling it as a pocket listing? They allowed a few people and two appraisers to view their home. Why not put it on the market and just not do open houses? No one is doing open houses today anyway. They could have sold it within a week in this market with a few private showings all in one day while they're out. There were photos from the last 2014 sale still online. 

As usual there is more to this story than the poorly researched and misleading media article trying to stoke the flames of racism. While I don't usually support robot appraisals I'm going to post some robot appraisal values for this home. This way no one can claim racism as the values are not from live people. They don't see the home, homeowners or anything because they're just a math formula. I am not appraising this property. Robots provided this value estimate. Below are the robot appraisal values for this home as of today, August 19, 2021. The home was appraised in May and sold in June over two months ago in a quickly appreciating market. Values range from $461,000 to $523,000, $497,000 mean/average, $502,000 median. 

Zillow $523,000
Realtor $504,000
Redfn $501,002
Trulia $507,500 
Remax $487,800
USDA Properties $502,800
Spokeo $461,000

Below is a chart from Redfn which tracks their estimates in the past for this home. Based on statistics average home in Ohio appreciated over 11% last year. That's about 1% a month. That means the original appraisal was in line with market value at the time. The second appraisal is clearly too high. At least Aaron and Erica Parker don't have to worry that they sold their home for less than it's real market value. 

erica parker, 10222 elmfield, loveland, ohio, aaron parker, mary cummins, discrimination, racism, black, white, real estate appraisal, real estate appraiser, real estate, contract price, false, misleading, amy goodman
erica parker, 10222 elmfield, loveland, ohio, aaron parker, mary cummins, discrimination, racism, black, white, real estate appraisal, real estate appraiser, real estate, contract price, false, misleading, amy goodman

Below is the listing history for the property. Aaron and Erica Parker had been trying to sell their home for a long time with no takers. They clearly listed it too high for the market each time. They even reduced the price twice. 

04/13/2021 $525,000 Pending Cincy MLS #1696320

04/13/2021 $525,000 Listed For Sale Cincy MLS #1696320

03/04/2020 $465,000 ListingRemoved Agent Provided

01/02/2020 $465,000 PriceChange Agent Provided

11/13/2019 $468,500 PriceChange Agent Provided

11/08/2019 $470,000 PriceChange Agent Provided

11/05/2019 $475,000 Listed For Sale Agent Provided

04/09/2014 $371,978 Sold

Here is my take on the situation. Real estate appraisers are limited by the highest recent similar sold home price. Perhaps a nearby similar home sold around $465,000 before May 5, 2021. While the home is on a cul-de-sac it backs up to a major road with a double line. Not good for families with children besides being a nuisance. 

It's possible that another similar home sold after May 5 but before May 27, 2021 for $557,000. Based on the sales I'm seeing that doesn't seem possible. I will bet that a home which was not similar sold for $557,000. The appraiser used a comp outside of the immediate area or it was larger, had more bedrooms, more full baths, more garages, more land and was fully upgraded. Erica Parker claims her home was upgraded. We don't know but the appraisal allegedly said it was not. Maintenance items such as new paint, new same style roof, replacement AC...are not upgrades. Upgrades would be adding a pool, an addition to the home... 

It's possible Erica was talking about "updates." That only has to do with the kitchen and bathrooms. They bought the home new in 2014. It shouldn't really need any updates in just seven years unless it was a poorly made cheap development. In the appraisal it's page one, "Improvement" section near the bottom. These forms are made for appraisers, lenders, underwriters and not lay people to read or understand. What the layperson does not see is the drop down menu which clearly shows it's only about kitchen, bathrooms updates. An "update" would be new or remodeled kitchen or baths. Below is an image which shows the form with the drop down menu exposed. All the viewer sees is the resultant text in the yellow highlighted box which generally says "no updates within the prior 15 years" or maybe "updated" "remodeled" "within 'x' to 'x' years." Complain to the government who made these forms. Click to see larger. 

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real estate appraisal, how to read, updates, condition of improvements, upgrades, updated, remodeled, form, no updates, condition, property, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, complaint, 


In another case a  black woman asked for a second appraisal when she didn't like the first one. She didn't remove any evidence of her skin color. The second appraisal still came in higher for other reasons namely the passage of time in a quickly appreciating market. Removing evidence of skin color is not what caused the increase in appraisal value here. I will bet the second appraiser used comps that were not similar but superior to the subject property. 

Another thing to note is that Erica Parker has a history of calling out people and businesses online. She complains on Twitter about businesses. Then she posts the freebies she gets from those businesses in response to her complaints on her Twitter account. The real estate agent Amy Goodman falsely claims she's a "Fair Housing Officer" because she attended a luncheon where someone spoke about housing discrimination. It appears Amy Goodman is promoting this story in order to drum up real estate business acting like she helped her black client deal with discrimination. She clearly didn't because she sold the home for $507,500 when it was "allegedly" worth $557,000. 

My biggest issue with this misleading article is the fake research they cite. Andre Perry, Michael Neal's research does not show that real estate appraisers appraise the homes of black people for less than the homes of white people regardless of all other factors. Andre Perry used Zillow estimates which were made by robots and homeowners guesstimates of value of their own homes. Michael Neal used the same. Neal stated that the robot appraisal values had the same amount of error variance for both white and black areas. No live person or real estate appraiser appraised any of the properties in the research. The only thing the data showed was that people of color generally make and have less money than white people. This is a fact based on real research. For this reason in general they buy and own homes in less expensive areas which they can afford. 

It's extremely reckless for the media to promote these false and misleading narratives and articles. The definition of racism is "prejudice, discrimination, or antagonism directed against a person or people on the basis of their membership in a particular racial or ethnic group." Assuming all white real estate appraisers are racist is actually racism. We use the same math formula to appraise homes as the robot appraisers which are clearly not racist because they aren't even people. 

In this quickly appreciating market some appraisals fall below contract price. Agents know this so they have added appraisal clauses. Here is an article about the current change in political climate which is causing people to call real estate appraisers "racist" when their appraisal doesn't match the contract price. It's not about racism but data and numbers. Actual racism is a horrible evil which should be banished from our communities. Making up false claims of racism when there is real racism out there to fight just divides and harms the community. 

Original article.

https://www.wcpo.com/news/our-community/this-black-familys-home-appraisal-grew-by-92-000-after-they-removed-all-signs-of-their-race

*I am not and did not appraise this property. I contacted the original author of the article and she never replied.

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate is a certified residential licensed appraiser in Los Angeles, California. Mary Cummins is licensed by the California Bureau of Real Estate appraisers and has over 35 years of experience.


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