Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California

Mary Cummins, Real Estate Appraiser, Animal Advocates, Los Angeles, California
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Thursday, July 15, 2021

Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership - notes by Mary Cummins, real estate appraiser

Mary Cummins, Andre Perry, Pam Perry, Christy Bunce, Jefferson Sherman, Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership, Appraisal Institute, real estate appraiser, appraisal, real estate
Mary Cummins, Andre Perry, Pam Perry, Christy Bunce, Jefferson Sherman, Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership, Appraisal Institute, real estate appraiser, appraisal, real estate


July 15, 2021 11:00 a.m. PST Over 500 people attended. 

Topic: Property Valuation, Appraisal Bias, & Black Homeownership - Zoom meeting.

Description: The New American Dream & Freddie Mac webinar series continues to discuss the challenges to increase Black Homeownership and potential solutions.

What will you get out of this by attending? We will look at appraisals and property valuation and how to overcome potential bias in this arena. We have a powerful group of expert panelists to share insights and their organizations efforts to bridge the gap in Black Homeownership.

Moderator: Christy Bunce, Chief Operating Officer of New American Dream Funding (Bunce)

Panelist: Dr. Andre Perry, Brookings Institution (A Perry)

Panelist: Jefferson Sherman, MAI, AI-GRS Appraisal Institute (Sherman)

Panelist: Pamela Perry, Vice President, Single Family Equitable Housing, Freddie Mac (P Perry)

My comments in ( ). Here is the video. 

-------------------

Zoom meeting notes by Mary Cummins, Los Angeles, California real estate appraiser.

Bunce:  Our company supports lending for minorities and black people.

Sherman: Bias is human. No profession is immune.

A Perry: My research used the Zillow list price of homes and census data. I controlled for crime, education, walkability and there was still a difference in value (between primarily black verses white neighborhoods). The black owned homes were under priced by 23%. This loss of value is not about only appraisers but also lenders and agents. Appraisers have something to do with the loss of 23% (of value of black owned homes). There are biased appraisers media articles show. Structural bias is in the system even though most say there is no racism in appraising. (This article shows that Andre Perry's research is fatally statistically flawed as he committed every grave statistical error.

P Perry: There are 3.4 million black Americans that qualify for a mortgage but have no mortgage. We must eradicate barriers to tens of millions of black people. We have a housing shortage. Black people live on land in areas which will be uninhabitable due to climate change. Fannie Mac recognizes there is an issue based on data from our appraisals. 

Bunce: What research is Freddie Mac doing on valuation? 

P Perry: A lot. There are appraisal gaps. We have a treasure trove of data on appraisal gaps. We did research sales price verses valuation. 2015 to 2020 data showed appraised value lower than contract price for minorities. (2015 to 2020 prices increased. Makes sense past sales would be lower than current contract prices) The appraisers opinion of value more likely to fall below contract price in black and hispanic areas. ("Hispanic" is a racist term. Most prefer Latino including myself) Black and hispanics receive lower values than whites regardless of where home is located. The findings are troubling. The gap is large but we are uncertain of the root cause. The average distance of the comp from the subject is shorter in hispanic, black areas than white areas. (Because less expensive homes are generally in more dense areas. The homes are generally smaller on smaller lots. I see this appraising homes in these areas. I don't have to search as wide to find enough comps)

A Perry: Value verses price. Value is socially constructed, a social construct. Humans determine value. Price is the contract price, what it sold for, a fact.

P Perry: "A few white folk move in (to a black area) and suddenly value spikes." (People are being priced out of more expensive areas and going to less expensive areas which tend to have more people of color. It's the revitalization stage of the real estate cycle which some call "gentrification." It's just affordability economics. This causes prices to increase in less expensive areas.)

Bunce: We as lenders see many appraisals and need to understand this. 

Sherman: Value and price are different. Value is an economic concept, an opinion, subjective, not a science, not a fact. Price is fact, list price, contract price. There will be a difference in opinion of value among appraisers. Competent appraisers should reach about same conclusions.

A Perry: There is an intrinsic value of whiteness which we see when a white person stands in for black owner (in the appraisal inspection). This shows that appraiser sees higher home value if the home has a white owner. HUD, government should do tests for this effect.

Sherman: Let me explain the appraisal process and appraisers. Appraisers are asked to appraise for market value based on specific requirements. How do we improve black areas. Maybe there are other types of values that should be measured. A value that excludes the location could be applied to certain lending situations for disadvantaged neighborhoods. We (appraisers) do use value, investment value, terms you, Andre Perry, are not familiar with. If the government, legislation determines there are different types of value to measure, we'll do it. We are flexible. We appraisers are willing to participate in other value methods.

Bunce: Appraisals, appraising is not a science. If it were more science and less opinion, we can use data and science to remove bias.

A Perry: I met Sherman talking about AVMs on Capitol Hill. Software developers may also have bias besides lenders, appraisers. Credit score, education, crime matter but there is additional penalties to black areas. Black people have lower credit scores because they have less access to wealth. We were denied access to wealth. We have no (savings) so must take on debt. This leads to a lower credit score. (Credit scores are based on math. The lower the score, the less likely someone is able to pay back a loan. The less savings you have, the more likely you are to default on a loan. The credit score is to help the lender determine risk. Defaulting on a loan hurts the lender and the homeowner) My aim is to improve the community, not blame this or that group. (He has specifically blamed appraisers)

Bunce: There is no blame. We just must make all aware of the issues. Does the sales comparison approach carry forward past effects of historical redlining?

Sherman: The sales comparison approach is the most applicable to value. Buyers have choices. They compare one property to another to choose what to buy. Appraisers do the same. Recent sales transactions represent the best way to appraise property. Banning it would have negative dramatic effect on home values. It would fuel an asset bubble. Maybe one can add a value besides appraisal value for future value in revitalizing areas.

Other approaches of value. The cost approach. I'm an instructor. The cost to build a new house minus depreciation plus the value of land is the cost market value. We consider three types of depreciation, (1) physical. (2) Functional depreciation. An old style floor plan with one bedroom through another doesn't work today. (3) External depreciation, influences. Is the subject near a noxious use industrial area? The cost approach isn't the answer to your question. (Besides the fact that land value is based on location and sales market approach. It's generally determined by extraction method). The answer is markets have to change. How can we change the nature of neighborhoods. We need public and private partnerships and legislation.  If we (as real estate appraisers) don't do our jobs correctly, people will get hurt. (Lenders and homeowners could lose money in foreclosures causing negative ripple effect on overall market, real estate market of the neighborhood and negative financial effect on minority families. 2008 bubble anyone?). Over all (improper home values) put family wealth at risk. There will be more foreclosures. The appraisal must be accurate for all to prosper. (The appraisal protects the lender and homeowner from loss)

Bunce: Freddie Mac has millions of appraisals. Freddie can investigate the appraisal gaps. What are you doing? (to P Perry)

P Perry: I agree. The appraised value is an opinion. The appraiser has discretion. How does this impact minority communities? We want more consistent valuations. Maybe we'll use some AVMs. We won't just tech our way out of it. Intrinsic racism is causing valuation issues. 

Bunce: AVMs, automated valuation models. Hybrids can eliminate bias and discrimination? Thoughts?

Sherman: I echo Dr Perry. AVM is multiple regression model, algorithm analysis of sales. The software writer can be biased. We don't eliminate bias that way. Our appraiser members (of the Appraisal Institute) are the gold standard in the industry. Our members may use AVM as an additional tool. The real gold standard is a live appraiser who physically examines the property and subject market.

A Perry: We will call for the hybrid approach. If a property falls below market rate (contract price?) it should trigger another appraisal, an AVM. We must hold appraisers accountable. Appraisers must explain the lower rate. Appeals are hard to come by. 90% of appeals are denied. We need a backup when something goes wrong. If someone feels low-balled, get a white person to stand in for them. Is it individual bias or just a bad appraiser. Is it individual bias or a structural problem. It's a structural problem if you use the price comparison approach. It can be mitigated by using data. 

Bunce: This is what New American Dream funding does (company plug). Other lenders should do the same. When we have appraisals that don't look right, the value is not coming in, it's way lower than sales price, we run an AVM to have that data to compare. That helps us talk to the appraiser. That is the fair and right thing to do. (It's also could be perceived as undo influence on an appraiser which could cause the lender to lose their license. The Dodd Frank Act was to help prevent undo influence over appraisers and the value)

P Perry: We test if hybrids offer more subjective value. AVMs are part of the solution to eliminate bias in appraisals. Appraisals should be more uniform. There should also be standardize testing of AVMs. (AVMs vary widely. Even the range price of each AVM value varies widely by over 25%. AVMs include MLS GLA which is generally larger than actual GLA)

Sherman: Diversity in appraisers and appraisals. We are supporting various minority programs to increase minorities in appraisers such as the minority in women scholarships program. We are trying to improve our diversity and understanding of the community. (Whites make up 85.4% of Appraisal Institute members. Males make up 75% of members even though the US is 50% males).

A Perry: We are doing an ashoka partnership. It's a housing development challenge with $1M prize for a valuable solution.

Bunce: There is no time for an extensive Q & A. New American Dream lending has recorded the meeting which will be available to view later.  Over 500 people attended. This is an important issue we are focused on. 

Bunce's screen then flashes to a photo of the black Florida couple, woman who stated they were racially discriminated against in a media article. After that a promotional video for the company played with only black people. It appears the company may be using this issue to sell mortgages. Many have been doing the same. 

Mary Cummins: I wrote these notes to the best of my ability. I'll post the link to the one hour video Zoom meeting when it's available. 

Below is a copy of the chat.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:03 AM

Hello Everyone!  We are excited to have your attention regarding these hot topics. My name is Tiarra Hill a native North Carolinian, mother of twin teenage boys, a Sr. Loan Consultant and a member of the New American Dream Initiative.  I have been in banking and finance for almost 20 years and my passion is helping clients with their goal of homeownership.  


Today our panel will discuss Black Homeownership and how it is impacted by Property Valuation and Appraisal Bias.  We are taking questions during the last 10 minutes of the program, but feel free to interact in the chat with myself, Elexia Bostic or LaMonica McDuffie, Loan Originators at New American.

From Pastor Letty Butler to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Hello Everyone!

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Andre M. Perry is a Senior Fellow with the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program, a scholar-in-residence at American University, and a columnist for the Hechinger Report. Perry is the author of the new book “Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities,” which is currently available wherever books are sold. A nationally known and respected commentator on race, structural inequality, and education, Perry is a regular contributor to MSNBC and has been published by The New York Times, The Nation, The Washington Post, TheRoot.com and CNN.com. Perry has also made appearances on CNN, PBS, National Public Radio, NBC, and ABC. Perry’s research focuses on race and structural inequality, education, and economic inclusion. Perry’s recent scholarship at Brookings has analyzed Black-majority cities and institutions in America, focusing on valuable assets worthy of increased investment.

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:04 AM

Greetings!  My name is LaMonica McDuffie.  I am a Loan Consultant, a member of the New American Dream Initiative and I consistently provide a 5-star experience for all of my homebuyers.  Over the last year I helped 72 families achieve their dream of homeownership. 


Our discussion today will cover Property Valuation and Appraisal Bias as it pertains to Black Homeownership.  We are taking questions during the last 10 minutes of the program, but feel free to interact in the chat with myself, Tiarra Hill, or Elexia Bostic.

From Me to All Panelists:  11:05 AM

Hello from Mary Cummins real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:06 AM

Jefferson L. Sherman, MAI, AI-GRS, of Highland Heights, Ohio, is the 2021 immediate past president of the Appraisal Institute. He also will continue to serve in 2021 on the Appraisal Institute’s Executive Committee and on its policy-setting Board of Directors, in addition to serving as National Nominating Committee chair. He served as the organization’s vice president in 2018 and as president-elect in 2019.

Sherman has served nationally on the Board of Directors, Finance Committee, Nominating Committee, Education Committee, International Relations Committee and Strategic Planning Committee (2017). He has served nearly continuously on the Region V committee since 1993, including many years as its parliamentarian. He also has served in chapter roles, including twice as an Appraisal Institute chapter president in Ohio, and has worked on two successful chapter merger teams. Sherman is principal of Sherman Valuation & Review, LLC, in Willoughby Hills, Ohio. He has taught courses for the Appraisal Institute since 1992 in 10 states and in Saudi Arabia. He also has served on two course development teams and was chief reviewer for the apartment appraisal course.

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:06 AM

Sherman has been a real estate professional for 45 years, including as a broker in Colorado and then in Michigan. His practice concentrates on the eminent domain field with emphasis on litigation review. He opened his original appraisal business, Johnson and Sherman, Inc., in Willoughby, Ohio, in 1990. The firm changed to Sherman-Andrzejczyk Group, Inc. in 2000 transitioning to Sherman Valuation & Review in 2019. During his years as a Realtor, he twice served as president of the Battle Creek (Michigan) Board of Realtors and was named Realtor of the Year in 1982.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:09 AM

Andre M. Perry is a Senior Fellow with the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program, a scholar-in-residence at American University, and a columnist for the Hechinger Report. Perry is the author of the new book “Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities,” which is currently available wherever books are sold. A nationally known and respected commentator on race, structural inequality, and education, Perry is a regular contributor to MSNBC and has been published by The New York Times, The Nation, The Washington Post, TheRoot.com and CNN.com. Perry has also made appearances on CNN, PBS, National Public Radio, NBC, and ABC. Perry’s research focuses on race and structural inequality, education, and economic inclusion. Perry’s recent scholarship at Brookings has analyzed Black-majority cities and institutions in America, focusing on valuable assets worthy of increased investment.

Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, Perry has documented the underlying causes for the outsized number of coronavirus-related deaths in Black communities. Perry’s Brookings research has illuminated how certain forms of social distancing historically accelerated economic and social disparities between Black people and the rest of the country. Perry also mapped racial inequities in housing, income, and health to underscore how policy discrimination makes Black Americans more vulnerable to COVID-19.

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:09 AM

A native of Pittsburgh, Pa., Perry earned his Ph.D. in education policy and leadership from the University of Maryland College Park.

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:12 AM

Hello Sonia! Great question we will get an answer for you!

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:18 AM

Pamela Perry is vice president of equitable housing in the Single-Family Client and Community Engagement division. She focuses on increasing Freddie Mac’s thought leadership and impact to eradicate disparities in homeownership and expand wealth for Black American families, while creating solutions for communities of color more broadly. She also oversees Single-Family’s strategic innovation to support the organization’s mission to break through historical barriers to realizing a more equitable housing system for Black Americans.


Prior to this role, Ms. Perry was a senior associate general counsel in Freddie Mac’s Legal division. For nine years, she partnered with colleagues across Freddie Mac, regulators and housing advocates in promoting fair lending and access to credit for minority borrowers. 


Before Freddie Mac, she advised on solutions for complex transactions with firms such as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and the government of District of Columbia, where she served as deputy attorney general overseeing cou

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:20 AM

Dr. Andre Perry's work is published in his book: Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America's Black Cities. 

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:21 AM

The devaluation of assets in Black neighborhoods

The case of residential property https://www.brookings.edu/research/devaluation-of-assets-in-black-neighborhoods/

From Tony Panciera to Everyone:  11:22 AM

^Also, strong recommendation of Dr. Perry's Book: Know Your Price https://www.brookings.edu/book/know-your-price/

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:23 AM

Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black Cities https://www.brookings.edu/book/know-your-price/

From Caitlin Green to Everyone:  11:24 AM

^I second or third that. A 2021 favorite read of mine.

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:24 AM

For Dr. Perry: 1. What is the difference between Value and Price?; 2.  Why don't buyers pay more in minority neighborhoods if 23% under priced? 3. Can appraisers require buyers to pay higher prices in minority neighborhoods? 4. What are your thoughts on Gentrification, where minorities complain that outsiders are running up prices in their neighborhoods and they can no longer afford to buy? 5. If appraisers over-value properties, and borrowers receive loans that exceed values, thereby reducing equity, is this a good thing for creating wealth?

From Susan Allen to Everyone:  11:30 AM

Can you please post or distribute a link to the Freddie research study Pam referenced? Thank you!

From roderick smith to Everyone:  11:31 AM

Will a copy of this recording be emailed out to attendees?

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:33 AM

The Freddie Mac study that Pam just referenced is not yet published since we are finalizing our research. Once it is published it will be available on our website at Freddiemac.com 

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:35 AM

1. How did you hear about this event?

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:36 AM

What other topics would you like to discuss pertaining to increasing Black Homeownership?

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:37 AM

Did you think the information shared today was useful?

From Astrid Taylor to Everyone:  11:39 AM

I would like to see how the credit scoring models may be biased and how mortgage lending can use alternative credit for qualification instead of relying solely on credit scores from the 3 credit bureaus.

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:40 AM

As a new  Trainee,  I am interested in concepts or traits  that  can increase the trust or relationship of homeowners, in particular,  black homeowners and appraisers.   In other words, where can a Trainee begin? 

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:41 AM

Can the inclusion of Census Tract Numbers in appraisal reports work against borrowers in minority neighborhoods?

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:41 AM

Have you had an adverse experience with an appraisal?  If so, please tell us about it.

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:42 AM

I work for Councilwoman Cherelle Parker in Philadelphia. In April, she held a hearing to examine the race gap in home appraisals and its impact on homeownership and wealth accumulation in Philadelphia. After the hearing, she has now created a local Task Force to further look at this issue. The Task Force will 1) gather data at the local level, and 2) make recommendations for the local, state, and federal levels. Are any of the panelists aware of other cities that are also looking at this issue? It would be great to connect with another city/other cities to share information/best practices.

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:48 AM

@Rachel Mead- would you be able to post  a link to read more about Councilwoman Cherelle Parker's

 initiative?

From angela holman to Everyone:  11:48 AM

Homes are currently overpriced despite the CMA's supporting these overpriced homes.  We have a bubble.  

From Craig Gilbert to Everyone:  11:48 AM

Please ask Dr. Perry to answer the questions posed to him

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:49 AM

@LaMonica - Re. this question: What other topics would you like to discuss pertaining to increasing Black Homeownership? Here are some answers: Addressing aging housing stock or housing stock that needs modernization (aka housing preservation), access to loans via private banks (Philly had to create a government program to address this issue), ensuring that heirs view the home as an asset and not a liability, tangled titles (aka estate planning), predatory lending, reverse mortgages, foreclosures, ensuring a healthy balance in neighborhoods between homeowners and renters, staving off an influx of investor-owned rental properties, assisting new homeowners with purchasing homes, and for some neighborhoods, the need for neighborhood-wide succession planning (some neighborhoods in Philly consist of primarily older homeowners who won’t be around in 10-15 years)

From Dean Zantow to Everyone:  11:49 AM

The appraisal body of knowledge addresses the social construct, as Jeff said, through the concept of Public Interest Value. Generally, the analysis of public interest value tends to be driven by social,  political, and public policy goals rather than economic principles. From the 15th Edition of the Appraisal of Real Estate. 

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:52 AM

@Charles Lowery - my email address is rachel.meadows@phila.gov

@Patricia Benavides - Here are some article’s re. Councilwoman Parker’s work:

https://whyy.org/articles/home-appraisals-drive-americas-racial-wealth-gap-95-of-phillys-appraisers-are-white/

From Tiarra Hill to Everyone:  11:52 AM

Did you think the information shared today was useful?

From Rachel Meadows to Everyone:  11:53 AM

https://whyy.org/articles/philly-council-moves-to-hold-hearings-on-race-gap-in-philadelphia-appraisals/

https://philly.metro.us/council-considers-racial-bias-in-home-appraisals/

From Me (Mary Cummins) to All Panelists:  11:56 AM (I also sent in the question ahead of time)

Question to Andre Perry: The data in your "Devaluation of Assets in Black Neighborhoods" report was derived from the median Zillow listing price per square foot and the American Community Survey ACS data. Both of those values come from the owner, seller of the property and not real estate appraisers. They're also not the sales price or "valuation" of the property.


At the June 20, 2019 House Finance Committee a Committee member asked the panel of  real estate appraisal experts and also you if they thought real estate appraisers whom you state are mainly white discriminate against black homeowners when appraising their homes. You were the only person who raised your hand stating that appraisers discriminate against black homeowners.


What evidence do you have which supports your claim that white real estate appraisers discriminated against black homeowners and devalued their homes in your report?

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:56 AM

@ Rachel Meadows-  THANK YOU  for the articles!!

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:57 AM

We have 75 questions posed to you all from attendees and we are trying to answer the trends but will get responses to everyone.

From Andre Perry  to Everyone:  11:57 AM

LaMonica McDuffie to Panelists and Attendees (2:57 PM)

We have 75 questions posed to you

From LaMonica McDuffie to Everyone:  11:57 AM

So if you don't see your answer immediately don't be alarmed!

From Nora Guerra to Everyone:  11:57 AM

Brookings-Ashoka Challenge: https://challenge.economicarchitectureproject.org

From Kermiath McClendon to Everyone:  11:58 AM

^DOPE!

From Archie Emerson to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Great Job Everyone

From Elexia Bostic to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you all for attending.  You can watch the replay on FB at https://www.facebook.com/newamericandreamteam

From Patricia Benavides to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you for the conference- very informative!

From Andre Perry  to Everyone:  11:59 AM

Thank you everyone: Stay in touch @andreperryedu

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Sunday, July 4, 2021

Main reasons home loans, mortgages are denied. It's not the appraiser. - by Mary Cummins

main reasons mortgage home loans denied, mary cummins, los angeles, california, real estate, home loan, 

Here are the main reasons mortgage loans are denied. It's not the appraiser or appraisal. 

1. Debt to income ratio (37.2% denial rate).

Your debt to income ratio (DTI ratio) should be no great than 43%. You can improve this by paying off debt, reducing interest rate on debt or renegotiating debt to lower the monthly debt payments. Your net assets (total assets minus liabilities) still factor into the loan so make sure the debt balance doesn't increase too much when you lower the rate or payment. 

Another thing they consider is your monthly housing cost ratio which is (monthly housing costs / monthly income). "The top ratio is calculated by dividing your new monthly mortgage payment by your monthly gross income. Typically, this ratio should not exceed 28%. The bottom ratio is equal to your new monthly mortgage payment plus your monthly debt divided by your gross income per month. Typically, this ratio should not exceed 36%." 

As a rule of thumb your monthly rent, utilities or mortgage, taxes, insurance, home maintenance, utilities should not exceed 30% of your gross monthly income. If your housing cost is over 30%, you are considered cost burdened and have a high risk of not being able to pay your rent or mortgage. All poor people, people making minimum wage, moderate earners are cost burdened paying over 50-70% of housing costs if they live in Los Angeles or similar areas. Median rent for an average one bedroom is $2,100/month here. Two minimum wage earners working full time can barely afford that if they don't eat much. You should not be buying a home at the moment. Work on increasing your income. I know it's a "let them eat cake" thing to say and I agree. It's not easy for most people.

2. Credit history 34.8%. 

You need a FICO score of 580 to 620 absolute minimum to get a home loan. You can improve this by always paying your bills on time. Make sure you have some little loans like a small balance on a credit card, gas card, department store card...to build credit. Start that at least two years before you try to buy a home. Start with one card only and make payments. After a year add another. Don't apply for a lot all at once. You'll be denied and end up with many inquiries on your credit report which is a big red flag for denial. And remember, the lower your FICO score, the higher the risk to the lender and the higher borrowing rate for you. Get your score as high as possible so you can save money. It's doesn't make sense that poor people pay higher interest rates but it's related to the higher risk for the lender. 

3. Collateral 19.7%. 

Generally the home is the collateral for the loan. You can also use other real estate or assets such as bonds, life insurance or investments. Your parents could cross collateralize their home for your home loan if they love you more than life itself. The total loan to value ratio should be about 80%. This would be about a 20% down payment. If you want to only put down 5%, the risk and cost goes up and you're much more likely to be denied. 

It's possible that the issue was not the appraised value but the fact it needs repairs, has broken windows, is in a flood, wildfire, landslide, hurricane, tsunami ... zone, has unpermitted additions, is over 150 years old, is next door to an oil refinery... If you are doing a low down payment loan, don't buy a fixer. You're more likely to be rejected because you'll need down payment money and the money to fix it. 

4. Other 12.9%

Everything other than what is listed here. The lender just can't discriminate against you based on race, religion, gender... The lender can deny you the loan based on credit, income, assets, liabilities and everything else in this article. That is legal. 

5. Credit application incomplete 8.9%

You'd think this would be a no brainer but it's not. People either don't want to complete the application or just don't. This is only for loan applications which were submitted and not for loan applications which were started but never submitted.

6. Unverifiable information 6.7%

Unverifiable information arises from inaccuracies in an applicant’s employment history or tax records or discrepancies between the application and credit report. This could be from unreported income that doesn't show up on taxes, tax returns which show no real income for years, bank statements which don't match stated income, a loan you paid off which isn't on your credit report, bills you paid which weren't reported or the person is just plain lying on the application or their taxes or both. 

7. Insufficient cash 4.0%

You must have sufficient funds to cover the down payment and closing costs and fees or lenders may deny their application. You generally can't borrow the down payment or fees. Research has shown if someone can't even save for a down payment, they are not credit worthy and there's a higher chance of the loan going under. If you haven't saved enough for a down payment, you're not ready to buy a home. Work on your debts, budget, income and save some money. You should have a 20% down payment and six months worth of monthly expenses saved before you buy a home. You should also meet all the other requirements I've listed here.

8. Employment history 1.8%

Lenders want to see that applicants have worked in the same job for at least two years. They want a stable, steady earner. This also means you can't just get your Uncle Benny to lie and state you worked for him for two years. They need an independent way to verify it usually with W2s, 1099's, bank statements, cashed checks, verifiable tax returns... In the 1980's to 2009 mortgage brokers actually forged tax returns, W2s, 1099's and bank statements or they did no document loans which didn't require them. Those are a few reasons we had three real estate busts during that time. Thanks to Obama and Dodd Frank we are less likely to have another bust because the borrowers are more creditworthy today due to independent verification. 

9. Mortgage insurance denied .1%

"Mortgage insurance protects the lender and allows borrowers making a down payment of less than 20% to still qualify for a home loan. Applicants who are denied mortgage insurance that need it are also likely to be declined for their loan." Mortgage insurance is insurance to pay the monthly Principle Interest Taxes Insurance (PITI) payment if the borrower can't make the payment. It's added to the monthly mortgage payment. As it is mortgage insurance is for high risk borrowers. To be denied that means you are a super crazy high risk borrower. If you're denied mortgage insurance, you are not credit worthy or ready to buy a home. Go work on yourself. Work to increase your income, reduce your budget and expenses, increase your savings and try again much later. 

https://constructioncoverage.com/research/top-reasons-mortgage-loans-are-denied-2021

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


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Saturday, July 3, 2021

How Home Owners Associations, HOAs, condominium buildings function, order and pay for repairs - by Mary Cummins

Home Owners Association, HOA, condominium, mary cummins, los angeles, california, real estate appraiser, funds, repairs, regulations, laws, legislation, cooperative, board of directors, corporation
Home Owners Association, HOA, condominium, mary cummins, los angeles, california, real estate appraiser, funds, repairs, regulations, laws, legislation, cooperative, board of directors, corporation


People have been asking why didn't the Miami, Florida Champlain Towers South Home Owners Association  just do the recommended repairs before the building collapsed instead of wasting time arguing about it. It's not that easy. I'll explain how HOAs work. 

Condominium buildings and Cooperatives are owned collectively by the owners of all the individual units combined. Each owns a percentage based on what percentage they own of the total building. A Board of Directors controls the Home Owners Association which is a corporation made up of the condo owners. They each get a vote according to their percentage ownership of the project. If someone owns two units or a large top floor penthouse, they may have more votes or voting power than someone who just owns a small condo. 

The HOA must vote to approve major special assessments and expenditures beyond the normal monthly HOA dues or repair funds. You need money to pay for repairs especially $15,000,000 worth. 

In this case the Board didn't realize the building could soon collapse. The Board is made up of condo owners who would definitely care if their condo could collapse and be worthless or they could die. If the engineer involved thought the building could collapse, he would have reported it to Building and Safety. If Building and Safety inspected and agreed the building could collapse, they would have red tagged it stating no one is allowed in or around the building and it may have to be demolished (like they just did with the remaining part of the building as of 07/04/2021). If they thought it just needed some repairs, they would have yellow tagged it ordering the repairs. 

The HOA would have to agree to pay for, order and make repairs or people can't live in their condos. If most vote for the special assessment, it passes. If a condo owner doesn't pay, the special assessment will become a lien against their condo unit. HOA may then need to get a loan to pay for repairs if many owners refuse or just can't pay the assessment. HOA loans aren't cheap or easy. It would also be difficult to sell a condo with a huge looming special assessment or needed repairs. If you're an elderly person on a fixed income, bought your condo cheap many years ago and have no savings, you may not be able to afford the assessment. Some owners sold because they couldn't afford the assessment. They are the lucky ones today. 

I'm sure many HOAs are completely reviewing their maintenance and repair schedules, HOA dues and repair funds after this horrible disaster. So are regular apartment and office buildings. I'm sure cities, counties and states are also reviewing regulations and protocols so another tragedy can hopefully be averted in the future. 

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Monday, June 28, 2021

Congratulations to winners of Los Angeles Business Journal Women's Leadership Awards! Mary Cummins

Mary Cummins, nominee, los angeles business journal, women's leadership award, los angeles, california, real estate, appraiser, appraisal
Mary Cummins, nominee, los angeles business journal, women's leadership award, los angeles, california, real estate, appraiser, appraisal


Congratulations to all the winners of the Los Angeles Business Journal Women's Leadership Awards for 2021! LABJ Publisher: Josh Schimmels; Winners: Wallis Annenberg of the Annenberg Foundation, Lynsi Snyder-Ellingson of In-N-Out, Jenefer Brown, Audrey McLoghlin, Jessica Nouhavandi, Pharm.D, Emiliana Guereca, Gwendolyn Givens-Jones, Dara Eliacin, Bing Jiang, Adrienne Tymon Kentor and Cheryl S Chang. Congrats to all the nominees! Thank you, LABJ for the nomination! #losangelesbusinessjournal #labj #awards #winners #losangeles #california #marycummins

Sponsors:

Annenberg Foundation, BlankRome, RSM, UCLA Anderson School of Management, USC University of Southern California, Wells Fargo, The Chicago School of Professional Psychology, Child Care Resource Center, HansonBridgett, Loyola Marymount College of Business Administration, Colliers, FivePoint, Glaser Weil, KPMG, L.A. Care Health Plan,  NutriFit, Pepperdine Graziadio Business School, Shangri-LA Construction, The Vertical Collective, Woodcraft Rangers, Pacifica Hospital of the Valley, Reddock Employment Law, UBS. 

Mary Cummins, nominee, los angeles business journal, women's leadership award, los angeles, california, real estate, appraiser, appraisal
Mary Cummins, nominee, los angeles business journal, women's leadership award, los angeles, california, real estate, appraiser, appraisal


More about the event. 


There was a three part series of events with some great discussion about women in business. I learned a lot. Video is here. 

https://labusinessjournal.com/wsa2021/

A great magazine they made for the event with bios of all the finalist and winners.


Below are a list of the almost 400 nominees! Some great women in this group. I know quite a few. It's in alphabetical order. Sorry the format fell apart. 

Jolene Abbott Lauren Acosta Sameen Ahmad Mitra Ahouraian Susie Albin-Najera Imee Albornoz Carolina Alvarez Charisse Anderson Lori Anderson Natalie Anderson Kimberly Andrews Wallis Annenberg Bita Ardalan Rainy Hake Austin Keri Curtis Axel Arminé Babayan Dominique E. Banos Sheeva Banton Lilian Barker Monica Baumann Burcin Becerik-Gerber Perica Bell Betsy Berkhemer-Credaire Robin Bertolucci Regina Birdsell Karen L. Bizzini Diana M. Black Jana Bobosikova Kara Boccella Martha Bonner Ann Borusiewich-Woirhaye Karie Boyd Tonja Boykin Giovanna Brasfield Elizabeth M. Brockman Julee Brooks Vanessa Brotherns Jenefer Brown Kimberly Brown Margaret Brown Megan Brown Kelly Bruno Gina Butler Megan Byrne Shannon Cain Mary Craig Calkins Kathleen Campos Jennifer Caravello Jacqueline Carroll Cedar Carter Diana R. Carter Natasha Case Laurel Casey Sarah Friedman Casparian Karinna Cassidy Ellen Cervantes Cheryl S. Chang Cyndie Chang Leslie H. Chang DeAnn Flores Chase Priscilla Chaves Eileen Szymanski Chen Hunvey Chen Karen Choi Yujin Chun Lynda Chung Nancy Sher Cohen Sheerly Cohen Keely Colcleugh Valerie Colin Claire Collins Kathryne Cooper Megan Creecy-Herman Gabriela Cuero Jesse-Justin Cuevas Shawna Cullinan Mary Cummins Ashley Dai Lilit Davtyan Vanessa De La Torre Kristi Dean Gina DeGaetano Penelope Deihl Maria del Pilar De La Cadena Alejandra Delgado Amanda Delzer Christine Deschaine Lauren DeVillier Natalie Do Stacey Dolden Anna Donlon Candice Driscoll Nancy Duitch Erin Edwards Dara Eliacin Katherine Ellena Christine E. Ellice Frances Ellington Amanda Fain Laura Farber Rachel Feinberg Erica Finck Anne Fletcher Lyndee Fletcher Ayjia Flowers Allyson Forster Sherri Francois Renee Fraser, Ph.D. Jean Freeman Elaine Fresch Susan Fries Ariane Fund Cassia Furman Haley Fuselier, LCSW Christina Gagnier Luana Galbeno Samantha Garcia Eden Garcia-Balis Julie Gerchik Sarah Geske Joanne Giang Jessica Ginther Gwendolyn Givens-Jones Ellen Goldsmith-Vein Christine J. Gonong Christina N. Goodrich Courtney Nichols Gould Tatondra Grant Quanda Graves Demetria L. Graves Natalie Greenberg Sapana S. Grossi Jamie Grossman Dianne Gubin Emiliana Guereca Monique Barraza Gutierrez Terri A. Haack Heather Habes Jaroenporn Hacker Glory Dolphin Hammes Jeri Harman Cooper Harris Genie Harrison Michele Havens Trina Hazzah Erin Heiden Beth Hilbing Bonnie Hill Krystle Hogan Stacy Horth-Neubert Kristen Hoskins Teena Hostovich Stacy Hubbard Erica Huggins Teresa Huggins Sonnet Hui Kaitlyn Hull Ashley Hutchens Sidney Ingelson Robbin Itkin La Tanya Jackson Kiaundra Jackson, LMFT Ruby Jadwet Monica Jaramillo Leanne Jenkins Shannon Jenkins Christine Jerian Bing Jiang Lynn Jochim Ashley Jordan Mary Jreisat Jaelyn Edwards Judelson Nicole Kamish Karine Karadjian Christi Karandikar Anna Karapetyan Cam Kashani Michelle Katzen Sibyl Kavak T. Katuri Kaye Mari-Anne Kehler Jackie Keller Skye Kelly Sarah Kelly-Kilgore Adrienne Tymon Kentor Christianne Kerns Erin Khan Madeeha Khursheed Kelli Kiemle Ahyoung Kim Carey D. Kim Helen B. Kim Linda D. Kim Natalie Kitchen Julianne Knox Vera Koch Tessa Kohl Lori S. Kozak Janet Kwuon Deborah J. La Franchi Anne L. Laguzza Jasmin Larian Regina F. Lark, Ph.D. Wendy M. Lau, Dr. Bernice Ledbetter Dianne Lee Jennifer J. Lee Danielle R. Leneck Marissa Lepor Lola Levoy Kelsey Lew Jamie Lewin Sarah Lewis Jennifer Lieser Karin Liljegren Christina Lincoln Wendy Liu Omoné O. Livingston Miriam Long Emma Loos Dana Lowy Sarah Lucenti Nicole Dania Lueddeke Karla Chavez Luna Karla MacCary Helen Macfie Rochelle Atlas Maize Lana J. Manganiello Nina Marino Amber Martinez Maja J. Mataric Precious Mayes Janet Maza Joanna McFarland Suellen McFarling Denise McGee Carly McGinnis Laura McHolm Audrey McLoghlin Mauria McPoland Trina McWilliams Jodi V. Meade Damaris Medina Tanya Menton Mary Meusborn Leighann Miko Janice L. Miller Christina Miller, Ph.D. Anne Miskey Kayla Montgomery Alina Moran Ann Marie Mortimer Laurie Murphy Natalie Mussi Sabrina C. Narain Dr. Sharona R. Nazarian Michele Nealon, Psy.D. Lizbeth Nevarez Shandreka Niblett Heather Nielsen Kimani Norrington-Sands, Ph.D. Dr. Jessica Nouhavandi Myra Nourmand Heba Nowyhed, Ph.D. Pamela Jane Nye Tunisia Offray Doreen Olson Mirna Orihuela Oriana Ortega Alicia Loh Ortiz Anita Ortiz Lavinia Osilesi Anoosheh Oskouian Pandora Ovanessian Shideh Ovaysikia Yanghee Paik Sharon Pak Tara Pak Annette Palazuelos Pamela S. Palmer Elisa Paster Robin Kandell Paulino Alix Peabody Julie Peck Jeicel Perez Erin Perez-Coleman Audrey Peterson Javette Adams Pettaway Denise Pines Jodie Poirier Breanne Harrison Pollock Jill Potts Naama O. Pozniak Starlett Quarles Fawn Radmanich Christa Haggai Ramey Elsa Ramo Avivah Rapoport September Rea Angela Reddock-Wright Lisa Reddy Saman Rejali Toni Ricci Ashley Richardson Karina Rico Kim Rocco-Shields Joni Rogers-Kante Vanessa Roman Leslie Rosado Carol Rosenstein Whitney Jones Roy Melissa Russo Monica Safapour Juana San Martin Carol Schary Reena Scoblionko Kathy Scott Brianna L. Seabron Andrea Servadio Dana Settle Sapana Shah Rasha Gerges Shields Stacey Shin Miwa Shoda Mercedes Sierra Tina Simmons Ashley Simonsen Danone Simpson Renata Simril Laura Small Dayle M. Smith, Ph.D. Lynsi Snyder-Ellingson Margaret Sohagi Julie Song Ana Soulriver Kirsten Spira Nicole Stan Jessica Starman Jennifer Levin Stearns Mercy Tolentino Steenwyk Melanie Stricklan Wylie Strout Danielle Takata-Herring Tina Tayag Dynasty Taylor Dr. Sara L. Terheggen Ruta K. Thomas Tunua Thrash-Ntuk Leanne Tomar Frances Townsend Tiffany Travillion Natalie Tronkina Heather Turner Kim Turner Jade Turner-Bond Minoti Vaishnav Angelica Vale Lori Valencia AnnaMarie Van Hoesen Nancy Hoffman Vanyek Heidy Vaquerano Joan Velazquez Emily Burkhardt Vicente Saytina Vielot Srividhya Viswanathan Clare Vivier Bianca Vobecky Monique Vobecky Jenny Walker Kitty Wallace Val Watkins Ellen Way Pamela Kohlman Webster Alysen Weiland Alyssa Weinberger Tiffany Whipple Jennifer White Christina Wickers Rayni Romito Williams Shelley Williams Tara Wilson Marla Wooton Lisa Worden Jordynn Wynn Liat Yamini Lidia Yan Rebecca Louve Yao Lara Yeretsian Phoebe Yu Caitlin Zirpolo Rachel Zoe

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Saturday, June 26, 2021

How real estate appraisers measure homes for real estate appraisals - by Mary Cummins, Los Angeles, California

How a real estate appraiser measures a home, house, measure, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, marycummins.com, marycummins
How a real estate appraiser measures a home, house, measure, mary cummins, real estate appraiser, real estate appraisal, los angeles, california, marycummins.com, marycummins


Real estate appraisers measure homes using the ANSI method. ANSI stands for the American National Standard Institute. It is a square footage method for calculating the gross living area of a residential property. The standard is ANSI Z765-2013. It was first approved in 1996 by the American Institute of Architects, the Appraisal Foundation, the Building Owners and Managers Association, the Manufactured Housing Institute, the National Association of Realtors, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, HUD and others. Here is the 2020 draft though the 2013 version is approved.

Detached Single-Family Finished Square Footage

"For detached single-family houses, the finished square footage of each level is the sum of finished areas on that level measured at floor level to the exterior finished surface of the outside walls."

Legal room counts, bedrooms, bathrooms

A real estate appraisal will include the total number of rooms, bedrooms and bathrooms. An average home with a living room, dining room, kitchen, two bedrooms, one full bathroom, one half bathroom would have five rooms, two bedrooms and 1.1 bathrooms. A 3/4 bathroom which is a toilet, sink and shower is considered a full bathroom. A half bath only has a toilet and sink.

A room does not have to be divided by walls to be considered a room. An example would be a large open living/dining area. It would be considered a living room and a dining room. "Bathrooms, laundry rooms, sun rooms, closets, storage rooms and entries are not usually considered rooms." 

A bedroom generally has a closet. If it's an older home, it may have been built without a closet. It could still be considered a bedroom if it's at least minimum size and meets all other requirements for a bedroom. A legal bedroom would have its own access off a hallway or main room. The only access cannot be through another bedroom. It would most likely be considered a sitting room for the adjacent bedroom in that case. 

Openings to the Floor Below

"Openings to the floor below cannot be included in the square footage calculation. However, the area of both stair treads and landings proceeding to the floor below is included in the finished area of the floor from which the stairs descend, not to exceed the area of the opening in the floor."

Sloped ceilings

"Ceiling Height Requirements: To be included in finished square footage calculations, finished areas must have a ceiling height of at least 7 feet (2.13 meters) except under beams, ducts, and other obstructions where the height may be 6 feet 4 inches (1.93 meters); under stairs where there is no specified height requirement; or where the ceiling is sloped. If a room’s ceiling is sloped, at least one-half of the finished square footage in that room must have a vertical ceiling height of at least 7 feet (2.13 meters); no portion of the finished area that has a height of less than 5 feet (1.52 meters) may be included in finished square footage." See graphic.

Attics, lofts

"Lofts and finished attics must be accessible by a conventional stairway or other access to be counted. If you can only reach the loft by climbing a ladder or very steep small stairs, it’s not part of the  finished floor area regardless of the ceiling height." The loft or attic must be a legal conversion completed with a building permit and included in the tax assessment roll to be included in the gross living area. It must be finished with heat.

Finished Areas Connected to the House and Not Connected to the Main House

"Finished areas that are connected to the main body of the house by other finished areas such as hallways or stairways are included in the finished square footage of the floor that is at the same level. Finished areas that are not connected to the house in such a manner cannot be included in the finished square footage of any level."

A finished area that is not connected could be a separate guest house, separate Accessory Dwelling Unit ADU, separate mother in law unit or converted garage. Those areas will be measured and included in the report. They just won't be included in the gross living area of the home. 

Unfinished, Unpermitted Areas which are not included

An unfinished area would be a basement that doesn't have finished walls, ceilings or flooring. Unpermitted areas such as unpermitted garage converted to living quarters; porch, patio, balcony which was enclosed and added to a bedroom and any unpermitted addition would also not be included in the gross living area. The living area must be livable year round. A garage would be measured, included on the sketch, included in the sales grid with credit and included in the cost approach. The size of the garage just would not be included in the size of the gross living area of the home.

Finished Areas Adjacent to Unfinished Areas

"Where finished and unfinished areas are adjacent on the same level, the finished square footage is calculated by measuring to the exterior edge or unfinished surface of any interior partition between the areas."

Above- and Below-Grade Finished Areas

"The above-grade finished square footage of a house is the sum of finished areas on levels that are entirely above grade. The below-grade finished square footage of a house is the sum of finished areas on levels that are wholly or partly below grade."


The exception to the above and below grade area is multilevel homes built on a sloped lot. 

From Fannie Mae ( link to Fannie Mae Selling Guide for this quote ) in regard to basements and multilevel homes. "For consistency in the sales comparison analysis, the appraiser should compare above-grade areas to above-grade areas and below-grade areas to below-grade areas. The appraiser may need to deviate from this approach if the style of the subject property or any of the comparables does not lend itself to such comparisons. For example, a property built into the side of a hill where the lower level is significantly out of ground, the interior finish is equal throughout the house, and the flow and function of the layout is accepted by the local market, may require the gross living area to include both levels. However, in such instances, the appraiser must be consistent throughout the appraisal in his or her analysis and explain the reason for the deviation, clearly describing the comparisons that were made."

Below is a home that fits that exception which is very common here in Los Angeles, California. The middle level is at street level. The lower level is considered above grade because it's built on a sloped lot and three sides are out of ground. It is common for the area.


The above are only some areas which are not included in the gross living area of the main home. All areas will be measured, photographed, included in the report and given credit if they contribute to value. While the size of a permitted ADU would not be included in the gross living area of the main home, it would be included in the appraisal report on the line "Basement and finished rooms below grade" and given credit if it contributes to the value of the home. An ADU adds value to a home. A 100 year old unpermitted guest room that's about to fall down might be included on the same line but probably not given credit. A small old tool shed would not be included and not given credit. A large unfinished workshop would not be included in home size but would be measured and given credit if it contributes to value. 

The main purpose of using ANSI is consistency. People need to be able to compare apples with apples. If all real estate agents, developers, appraisers used ANSI and stated ANSI measurements on their reports and listings, it would make for more transparent real estate transactions. Unfortunately most living area sizes in real estate listings do not comply with ANSI. The size listed on MLS listings is generally larger than the legal gross living area. That's why they include the disclaimer on the bottom stating they don't guarantee the size or legal bed, bath count. 

References:

https://www.e-rallc.com/ANSIstandards

https://themilfordteam.com/How_to_measure_a_house.pdf

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Google+ Mary Cummins, Mary K. Cummins, Mary Katherine Cummins, Mary Cummins-Cobb, Mary, Cummins, Cobb, wildlife, wild, animal, rescue, wildlife rehabilitation, wildlife rehabilitator, fish, game, los angeles, california, united states, squirrel, raccoon, fox, skunk, opossum, coyote, bobcat, manual, instructor, speaker, humane, nuisance, control, pest, trap, exclude, deter, green, non-profit, nonprofit, non, profit, ill, injured, orphaned, exhibit, exhibitor, usda, united states department of agriculture, hsus, humane society, peta, ndart, humane academy, humane officer, animal legal defense fund, animal cruelty, investigation, peace officer, animal, cruelty, abuse, neglect #marycummins #animaladvocates #losangeles #california #wildlife #wildliferehabilitation #wildliferehabilitator #realestate #realestateappraiser #realestateappraisal #lawsuit

Friday, June 18, 2021

False statement by President Joe Biden on home valuation and race - by Mary Cummins

Home Valuation is not related to race, President Joe Biden


SUMMARY: Joe Biden, HUD, Marcia Fudge repeatedly cite Andre Perry's paper on race and home values. Perry's paper is not published or peer reviewed researched. It's deeply flawed in its execution and analysis. Race is not related to home valuation. Socio-economic status is related to income which is related to race which is related to the value of a home bought by a POC. Blacks, POC make less money than whites. People buy the home they can afford. The value of those homes are not being reduced by appraisers, appraisals or AVMs. 

UPDATE: 03/26/2021 Here is a very well researched and written reply to Andre Perry's misleading paper. Perry conflates race with socio-economic status. SES is income, marital status, % single mothers with children under 18...) If you adjust for SES, the differences disappear. If you compare whites with low and high SES, the gap appears. This proves it's not a race issue. It's vitally important to know the real cause of the wealth gap between black and white so a proper solution can be applied. I've been stating that we need to fix the income gap to fix the wealth gap. Helping people with lower SES pay for a down payment won't help them down the line if they don't have enough income to easily make the mortgage payments. You just set them up for failure and bigger financial losses. This research is from Edward Pinto and Tobias Peter of from American Enterprise Institute (AEI).



This research brings up more flaws in Andre Perry's paper than I stated. Most importantly Perry intentionally did not include income stating it wouldn't affect the results. When income is included the value gap shrinks by half. Perry didn't include other important SES factors such as % single mother with children under 18. Everyone knows how expensive and difficult it is to work and raise young children as a single mother of any color. Perry also didn't include lot size, condition of neighborhood, condition of home, location next to natural amenities... I would bet Perry did this intentionally in order to show the results he desired. This is why his research was not published or peer reviewed. Thankfully AEI took it upon themselves to independently review the research. 

Interesting findings from their report.

"We find that with higher incomes, Black borrowers increasingly chose neighborhoods, in which the Black share of residents is lower." "If Black and White neighborhoods are identical in every aspect except for price and their racial makeup (as Perry et al. claim), then why are Black buyers not taking advantage of lower priced homes in Black neighborhoods? It must be that Black buyers understand that White neighborhoods do have more amenities and those who can do so are willing to forego the “cheaper” homes in Black neighborhoods in order to get those amenities."

"The Black homeownership (HO) rate is much lower than the White HO rate, but the difference
gets smaller as income grows. The HO rate for White or Black married households (HH) is
much higher than for unmarried White or Black HH."

"There is a big disparity by marital status between Blacks and Whites. Unmarried Black HH
comprise 70% of Black HH, and the vast majority are below area median income." Their research has also shown more integration, increased income among blacks.

"Diagnosing the causes of the home value gap, along with a recognition of
decreasing racial and ethnic segregation and increasing Socio-Economic Status
(SES) stratification, helps in the consideration of appropriate policy solutions that
will increase financial security and shrink the SES gap."

They offer some sound solutions at the end of the report.This is the type of real scientific fact based data that Joe Biden and HUD needs to see and use. Using Perry's report harms POC and will not help them. Perry is harming black people with his dishonest paper. 

11/08/2021 Farther below in this article it's proven that Andre Perry's "paper" about the value of white and black owned homes is based on major statistical errors. Perry compared the values of a very small sample of two intentionally extreme groups which Perry himself chose. Perry also did not control for the other variables especially location which we all know is the main contributor of value. There is no way to control for location. Perry also used Zillow data. Zillow stated they had a median error rate of 6.9% today and previously it was over 14%. Within the last week it was shown that Zillow's data is totally unreliable today. Zillow used their own data to buy and sell homes for profit or at least that was the plan. They ended up selling them for less than what they bought them. This proves Zillow's data which Andre Perry relied upon is deeply flawed. That makes his paper even more meaningless and worthless.

ORIGINAL: I'm glad that on June 17, 2021 President Joe Biden made Juneteenth a Federal holiday. It's been a holiday in most states including California for years. Unfortunately during that presentation President Joe Biden made a totally false statement about home valuation and race when he stated the following (sic),

"...it belongs to an aggressive effort to combat racial discrimination in housing. Finally address the cruel fact home owned to this day by a black American family is usually appraised at a low rate for a similar home owned by a white family in a similar area."


Someone repeated a misleading statement related to the misleading Brookings report to Joe Biden. A paper was written by Andre Perry who is promoting and selling a book on the subject. It's not peer reviewed research or a legitimate paper released by a University. The "report" misstates an alleged relationship between home valuation and race. The report only showed that all people of color including Latinos, Native Americans, Alaskans ... tend to buy and own less expensive homes in less expensive areas. The home values were determined from Zillow listing price robots who didn't see the homeowners or the homes. The values were list prices which are agreed upon by the homeowners and their own real estate agent and the homeowners estimate of value of their own homes. Real estate appraisers had nothing to do with the values. Race and color were not a factor in the calculation of home values. Perry doesn't say if these are active or off market listing prices. There is error in both prices but off market list prices has a much, much larger error making them meaningless. And again Zillow even states their Zestimates should never be considered an "appraisal" and are "no substitute for an appraisal." Perry also doesn't bother to mention that anyone can edit Zillow's data. I could go in there and say a home actually has ten bedrooms and not two. 

This article shows that Perry conflates race for socio-economic status. When adjusted for SES, the gap disappears. https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/comments-on-the-pave-report/ 

UPDATE: Yesterday July 15, 2021 Andre Perry stated that "media articles" appear to indicate that real estate appraisers low ball the value of homes owned by black people. He didn't say his research proved this. He inferred that "white staging" homes for real estate inspections seemed to show this. 

The mathematical formula used to determine value is the most common asset valuation formula used worldwide for thousands of years. That formula compares one item to another similar item. It's also called matched pairs analysis. Homes of the same size, bed/bath count, condition, amenities were compared to other similar homes which recently sold in the SAME EXACT AREA. Homes in certain geographical areas are worth less than others in more desirable geographical areas with different characteristics. The mathematical calculation has absolutely nothing to do with race or color. In this instance they used Zillow listing prices per square foot. All appraisers know the "a" in "Zillow" stands for "accuracy." Zillow "zestimates" are not accurate at all. They also used ACS data which is the value the actual homeowner thinks their own home is worth. 

A home in South Los Angeles is worth less than a home of the same size, condition and features in Beverly Hills. The main difference is the value of the land and not the house. Here in California the land makes up over 70% of the total value. A vacant lot in South Los Angeles is worth less than a vacant lot of the same size in Beverly Hills. Everyone knows home value is based on three main factors, i.e. location, location, location.

There is a correlation between all people of color, new immigrants, people who don't speak English, people with less education... and level of income and net financial worth. ALL OF THESE PEOPLE tend to have less income and a resulting lower net worth. Because they have less income and less financial worth they tend to buy less expensive homes which they can afford in less expensive areas. Andre Perry committed the main fatal statistical sin confusing correlation with causation. That makes his "report" totally meaningless and useless. There are even more grave errors in his analysis which will be examined below. 

In Andre Perry's paper he used the separate inaccurate Zillow home valuation listing prices per square foot and self reported home values from the American Community Survey. The ACS is sent to a sample of 3.5 million people in the nation in the mail. A response to their written questionnaire is mandatory but most people throw it away assuming it's junk or scam mail. All of the information is self reported including when the home was built, number of bedrooms, rooms... Here's a sample form. Based on my experience most homeowners don't know all of this information off the top of their head. They generally don't know what their home is worth today. I would not trust the results of the ACS to be accurate about real estate values or home characteristics. Perry refers to the ACS results as the Census results. The ACS is not part of the Census. 

Perry compared those values to the racial makeup of the areas at large. Again, Zillow valuations are not accurate and listing prices don't equal home valuations. Homes don't always sell for listing price. Perry used price only per square foot which is never used in appraising because it's not accurate for home valuation. We weight comparable home sales based on similarities. Self reported home values are also very inaccurate. 

UPDATE: 07/30/2021 July 29, 2021 Andre Perry was on a panel talking about this issue. He stated, 

"Appraisers have the freedom to discriminate. In the price comparison approach they compare homes in area to another in the same area. If you only compare homes in a discriminated area to the same area, discrimination continues. There are multiple ways to arrive at value. We look across metropolitan areas instead of just the same neighborhood to get our values."

This proves that Perry knowingly compared different areas to each other. Perry only looked at 113/384 metropolitan areas which he chose based on his % black limit. Of course different areas would have different values. Everyone knows the main factor in value is location, location, location. Perry didn't control for location because it's impossible. If all the areas were truly similar, they would have had the same values. Perry basically admitted his research was flawed. UPDATE

Perry allegedly compared the values of alleged "similar" homes in "primarily black" areas to the same in "primarily white" areas. He claims the homes and neighborhoods had the exact same characteristics except for color of homeowner. Perry alone made that determination based on no real science. He ended up comparing 10% of all homes which he stated are in "primarily black" areas to an even smaller percentage of homes which he stated are in "primarily white" areas. The "primarily white" areas have 0-1% black people. He doesn't even bother to state the racial makeup of the 99-100%. Are they white Latinos, Asians, light Native Americans...? We don't know. Perry then took that data and extrapolated, stated it represented the entire USA. Let's look closer at the groups he compared. 

Perry stated an area was "primarily black" if 50% or more of the population identify as "black." He compared that to an area with less than 1% black residents. Perry actually stated zero black residents in the report. How many places have zero black people? I find it hard to believe they are any unless they are very tiny towns in the middle of nowhere. Perry clearly intentionally chose two very extreme comparison groups in order to create the most extreme statistics possible to fit his preconceived "results." That would be like comparing only very tall people to very short people to see if there's a difference in their lives. Of course there will be a difference. This is clearly an example of "garbage in, garbage out" i.e. GIGO statistics. Perry actually stated the areas that are "primarily black" are "more segregated." If you are looking at an area that is 50% plus black of course it's more segregated. 

Below is Table 2 from the report for comment. It shows the 10 metropolitan areas with the largest and smallest differences in the value of homes. Notice how widely the home "values" range in only the 99%+ white areas. What is causing the wide range of values in the white only area? It's not black people. The values range from $61,000 to $783,000. The same is evidence in the mainly black areas with a range $59,000 to $403,000. Perry stated he controlled for all factors except black or white skin color yet the "same homes with same amenities" are worth very different values in different areas. Could it be that there are other factors involved besides skin color? Maybe it's the location.  


Here is Table 6, the 10 metropolitan areas with the most and least devaluation of homes. The ones with the most alleged devaluation due to black skin color are depressed areas. Some neighborhoods in Detroit, Michigan? The city is auctioning off vacant homes for $1,000 just so they don't have to demolish them. I would bet that people who could afford to leave those specific neighborhoods left. Those that couldn't are still there. 

Per the chart, "Devaluation measure estimates median list price per sq foot after adjusting for home and neighborhood quality." We still don't know exactly how the home and neighborhood qualities were derived. Perry doesn't show the math. 
Perry has now added an "anti black sentiment index" from Stephens-Davidowitz. The "paper" is a New York Times op-ed opinion piece (pay wall). It's not peer reviewed research. Anyone can write an op-ed piece. The paper is based on "the percent of Google search queries that include racially charged language." The author Seth Stephens-Davidowitz then compared the search results to Obama's votes. His conclusion was anti black sentiment cost Obama 4% in votes in 2008 and 2012. Obama won. Did Obama win in spite of this or maybe he won because people wanted a black President and he was extremely well qualified? Perry is not only cherry picking his groups for comparisons but also his reference material. 

How much of the US fell into only those two very specific small categories of 50%+ black verses 0-1% white? Perry states that 10% of the US falls into the category of "primarily black." An analysis of only 10% of the country does not represent the entire country, see Perry's map below. Per the map this 10% appears to only be in the East and a little in the South. This is still only the percentage of the population living in the specific area and not the percentage of all black homeowners in that area or the entire country. Most homes in less wealthy areas which tend to have more people of color are actually owned by white investors or large public and private corporations. Perry then compared those values to areas with only 1% black people. Again, that would be a very small group for comparison. Of course it will show differences when you intentionally choose two very small and  extremely different groups for comparison. This is very misleading statistical analysis. It's as bad as any Fox News "statistics" or poll.


 

What about the white, red, yellow person who lives next door to the black person in an identical home in the "primarily black" area? What about the other <50% in the area who are not black? From Perry's report "Though most residents are Black (because he chose 51%+ black areas)(14.4 million non-Hispanic Blacks) by definition, approximately 5 million non-Black Americans live in majority Black neighborhoods." The 5 million non-Black person's home is worth exactly the same as the black person's if it's the same size and condition. The white person's home value is not "caused" by being black because they're not black. They're white or other. The home was not "devalued" or valued by black skin color of the homeowner.

If you actually read the 28 page report, Perry out of one side of his mouth admits "Majority
black neighborhoods do exhibit features associated with lower property values, including higher crime rates, longer commute times, and less access to high-scoring schools and well-rated restaurants." He then states that only explains half of the alleged devaluation of homes. Those are just the characteristics of poorer areas in general. I live in a high crime area in Los Angeles, California with poor schools. It's 80% Latino. The homes are valued less here but it's not because of black homeowners. 

Perry goes on to say there is a "significant correlation between the devaluation of homes in black neighborhoods and upward mobility of black children in metropolitan areas with majority black neighborhoods." The real correlation is any and all children living in poorer areas will find upward mobility very difficult. It has to do with more than just the value of the homes in the area. It has to do with the people being poorer. Homes in poor areas are just worth less. One should also note that most people living in poorer areas don't even own a home. They're renters in poor areas. That's the main reason it's difficult to move up the ladder. 

Here is another example of poor data used. Perry used the EPA walkability index to determine if an area had amenities such as "access to shopping, jobs and schools." This is how he compared areas with the "same amenities." The EPA index only shows the "suitability for walking as a means of travel." It doesn't show if there are lots of great local shops, cafes, great high paying jobs or great schools. It just shows if you can walk to the bus stop to take the bus to your job, school or store. Two homes with the same walk score can be worth very different amounts. Walk score does not equal value. In poor areas there are few grocery stores, retail chain stores or shopping malls. The reason is high crime, theft, higher insurance rates, higher expenses and less projected net profits which keep major chain stores away. Most people in poorer areas don't have cars. They can't just drive to the next city to go shopping or escape from hurricane Katrina. More info on the walkability analysis here

I remember the Los Angeles Rodney King riots. There were a few chain stores there like Payless Shoes. They were looted along with many other stores then burned to the ground. They didn't reopen. The area is still a grocery store desert. There are only liquor stores and a few non-chain fast food restaurants in the better pockets of the area near the freeway on ramps. I appraise in these areas. This is a huge issue in Los Angeles. 

Here is yet another example of Perry selectively using statistics. He states there is a correlation between a high number of violent crimes, black areas and reduced valuations. He also stated there is a correlation between high number of property crimes in high valuation non black areas. For that reason he only included violent crimes in his analysis of black areas. Then he didn't really include "crime" in his analysis. His "conclusion" is crime doesn't explain the devaluation of homes in primarily black areas. That's actually the opposite of what he said in another section of his report. A high violent crime area does explain a lower home valuation area. That's why all the home sites include the crime statistics. I would not live in a high crime area if I could afford to live elsewhere. 

On top of the useless statistics Perry then used the results of his limited analysis to extrapolate devaluation to 113 other metropolitan areas if they had at least one majority black area. He took very bad math from a few small extreme areas to state that many other areas he did not analyze have his same preconceived results. Andre Perry's entire paper should be dismissed because of the intentionally misleading statistics used to fit Perry's personal agenda to sell his book.

One more ridiculous comparison. Someone with less money will buy a less expensive car which they can afford. People of color tend to have less money as do some others who are not of color. Kelly Blue Book uses a computer program to calculate the value of your car. You type in make, model, year, mileage, condition and it tells you what it's worth. They will tell you the value of a Rolls Royce or a Ford Escort. They don't know the color of the person typing in the information. Is Kelly Blue Book "intentionally devaluing" cars owned by black people when they tell the owner of a 1990 Ford Escort that their car is worth less than a 2020 Rolls Royce? No. Real estate robot appraisals are the same. Actual appraisers follow the same mathematical formula as the robot appraisals. Land in Beverly Hills is the Rolls Royce of land and worth more than land in South Los Angeles. It's perceivable that all homes in less desirable areas could be worth $48,000 less than homes in more desirable areas per Perry's report.

A last thing to consider is that people who own homes in less expensive areas paid less for the homes originally compared to homes in more expensive areas. They bought a home they could afford. When they go to sell that home they will sell it for the same price as a similar home in the area which is market value. If they bought a home in South LA, it will sell for less than a home in Beverly Hills. Did someone "devalue" or "steal" the difference in price between their home and a home in Beverly Hills? No homes were "devalued" by $48,000 by robot appraisals, appraisers or anyone. 

Andre Perry has done very poor biased research. The report is therefore meaningless. Perry is guilty of using misleading statistics and data to prove his preconceived bias that black homes are devalued compared to white homes only because they are owned by black people. Perry used small extremely biased sample sizes. He organized the data to omit any findings that contradict the result he tried to prove. He manipulated the results to influence perception through misleading graphs and visuals. He used faulty correlations and causations to create false statistics. He committed every single statistical sin in the book. The Brookings Institute should retract his report. 

At the June 20, 2019 House Finance Committee meeting Andre Perry spoke about the alleged devaluation of black owned homes. There were real estate appraisal industry experts at the meeting. I watched the meeting and took notes, see above link. When the speakers were asked by a Committee member if they thought appraisers discriminate against black people in arriving at their home's value Perry was the only person who raised his hand in a room of real estate valuation experts. Perry was the only non expert in the room. 

Perry clearly does not understand real estate valuation. He is trying to use his report full of bad statistics to state that racist appraisers intentionally devalue the homes of black people by $48,000. He stated that in the Committee meeting. He stated the purpose of the report was to give "Black homeowners and policymakers a target price for redress." Oddly enough in the meeting Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib stated that the government should just add $48,000 to the value of all black people's homes. One doesn't have to be a real estate appraiser to realize how ridiculous that would be. What about the white person who has an identical home next door that's worth the same? Does he also get $48,000?

If Joe Biden or anyone wants to tackle the real issue of the correlation between people of color and income, net worth, they need to deal with those issues.The issue is most people with less income and money are people of color including many other colors and races other than black. Those issues have nothing to do with robot home appraisal analysis or home appraisers. They would need to make sure everyone makes the same amount of money regardless of any other factor. Until that happens all people with less money will buy and own less expensive homes in less expensive areas. People with no money won't buy or own any home at all. Most people in the US don't even own a home. Some don't even rent a house but maybe rent a tiny apartment or else they're homeless. Don't forget about those people.

The point of this article was to analyze the Brookings report and prove Joe Biden's statement incorrect. No one should ever rely on this misleading report. The media and others today have been stating that white real estate appraisers are intentionally appraising homes owned by black people lower than market value because all appraisers are white racists. No appraiser appraised any home in the report. The alleged valuations came from misleading computer analyzed Zillow listing prices per square foot and the ACS which uses self reported home values from the homeowner. Any low balling would therefore be caused by Zillow or the homeowner. 

These attacks on appraisers must stop. While racism certainly exists and there are racist appraisers not all appraisers are racists who devalue homes owned by black people. Most of us are hard working appraisers who always provide the best appraisal possible which complies with all the laws for everyone and anyone. 

* I'm a Democrat and voted for Joe Biden. I just disagree with Biden on this specific issue. I believe he was given an incorrect talking point. I'm also a Latino real estate appraiser. I appraise in primarily lower income areas which are mainly POC. I live in a lower income, high crime, very mixed area in South Los Angeles. 

** I went to the University of Southern California. I took statistics and a graduate class in research as an undergraduate. My research was selected by two Psychology faculty members to present at the Western Psychology Conference for Undergraduate Research at the University of Santa Clara in 1984.  The subject of my research was Classical Conditioning as a Factor in Response Bias. I used chi-square tests on my data. My Faculty Sponsor was Herm Turk. I do know a thing or two about statistics and research. 

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References



Perry, Andre M. (2020). Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America’s Black
Cities. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press


Sweeney, Maureen (2019). Is Race Baked into Big Data?  My Letter to Housing SubCommittee.


Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game and the USDA. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


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